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Big Jilm's avatar

Dunc'd On had them at 40 wins and the 8th seed, What was more telling tho, is they just obviously hated talking about the Bulls. This team is so predictable, so boring, with no potential interesting storylines on the horizon, that national guys loathe talking about them. They wouldn't even give Caruso the obligatory DPOY contention mention in their awards projections, seemingly overlooking him because he's got that Bull's smell on him. They said whereas the team is projected to finish 8th, they are rooting for any lower team to supplant them because of who the Bulls are (a veteran play-in tier team refusing to make any real decision toward the future). And local guys covering the team... You could really just listen to the discussion leading into the 2022-23 season and it's basically the same thing with minor trivial changes. All a long way of saying, this is really one of the most unwatchable/ unlikable teams in the league from an objective intrigue perspective, until something major happens.

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Diabolo's avatar

I found someone who is bold on the Bulls prospects for this coming season (granted, it's one of his so-called increasingly bold predictions, and the Bulls are prediction 12 of 20):

https://www.theringer.com/nba/2023/10/23/23927702/nba-preview-predictions-joel-embiid-nikola-jokic

12. The Bulls will host a playoff series.

Philosophically, I still don’t like how myopic Chicago’s front office is. Its vision has a low ceiling, which is an injustice to fans who understand that this era is unlikely to end with a single playoff series victory. But that doesn’t mean this iteration of the Bulls won’t be competitive or even pretty good.

They enter this season as a fascinating test case for the value of continuity in a league full of change. Last year, they tied the Bucks and Pelicans for the second-most minutes rolled over from the previous year (a whopping 87 percent). This year, pretty much every integral member is back: Chicago re-signed Nikola Vucevic, Ayo Dosunmu, and Coby White, while Zach LaVine and/or DeMar DeRozan have somehow not been traded. Instead of doing reconstructive surgery on a roster that didn’t make the postseason, over the summer, Chicago added Jevon Carter and Torrey Craig, two auxiliary pieces who can up this team’s 3-point rate and fit nicely into its aggressive defensive scheme.

When you separate big-picture nausea from the actual roster Billy Donovan will coach, what’s there is OK! The Bulls have a bunch of good players who make sense next to each other! Their best five—Alex Caruso, DeRozan, LaVine, Patrick Williams, and Vucevic—outscored opponents by 10.3 points per 100 possessions in 200 minutes last year. Swap White in for Caruso—their expected new starting lineup—and they were at plus-11.5 in 81 minutes.

Chicago had the best defense in the NBA after the All-Star break last year, a stat that might be fool’s gold considering the lethargic competition, but it shouldn’t be ignored entirely. This team finished 13th in net rating for the entire season and 29th in win differential—which means their overall record had 4.2 fewer wins than was expected based on their point differential. Related: They won only 39.5 percent of their clutch games, the fourth worst. That will probably be better in 2024.

A commitment to more 3-point shots will put math in their favor, too. Chicago’s primary shot takers love the midrange, but all of them can drill spot-up jumpers from the outside, too. Targeting 3s was a clear mandate during the preseason, and we’ll see how long it lasts. But if the Bulls are even just slightly below league average in 3-point frequency—instead of dead last—their offensive rating will rise.

Unlike last year, the Bulls finally have some clarity on Lonzo Ball’s status. They’re better constructed to fill the void he left last year, swarming the floor with three-guard lineups (Caruso, Carter, and Dosunmu are a bed of scorpions) that can create turnovers and speed up the game’s tempo.

There’s always a chance Chicago will start slow and finally acquiesce to whoever calls with the best offer for LaVine or DeRozan. But finishing with a better record than the Sixers (a mess) or the Heat (down two starters from last year’s Finals run and also not that much better than Chicago during last year’s regular season) isn’t out of the question. Don’t sleep on this team’s talent, cohesiveness, and room to grow in a conference that’s competitive, albeit top-heavy.

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