Weekend project: role players who got guaranteed long-term contracts
This is a very unscientific list. I basically went through the salary pages (ESPN trade machine actually, since they had last year's expiring contracts still) and tried to pick out the players who were signed to long-term (4+ years) contracts as knowingly limited players. This kindof leaves out the Sam Dalemberts and Mike Dunleavys of the world who were given premium money based on youthful potential, height, or both. I don't think it's an insult to say that Nocioni has little of either.
The Bulls kindof know what Nocioni is: a quality bench player. He does some things well (3-point shooting, attacking the rim) but is limited. The league is littered with players who had put in seasons as good role players and were overpaid as a result. And it's not as much about the money as the commitment in years. Some of these guys don't make much but still are near impossible to deal because of the remaining length of the contract.
Feel free to add or remove names in the comments. Like I said this was just a glance at the rosters and using my memory to think of how long the contract was signed for at the time, what that player had done beforehand, and what the perceived 'fit' he had when signing the new deal.
| Speedy Claxton Eric Snow Damon Jones Donyell Marshall Damon Jones Ira Newble Greg Buckner Eduardo Najera Reggie Evans Austin Croshere Nazr Mohammed Adonal Foyle Mike James Bob Sura Vlad Radmonovic Brian Cardinal Kenny Thomas Vitaly Potapenko Shane Battier |
Kyle Korver Danny Fortson Earl Watson Damien Wilkins Rasho Nesterovic Matt Harpring Derek Fisher Antonio Daniels Darius Songaila Etan Thomas Cuttino Mobley Tim Thomas Pat Garrity Hedo Turkoglu Juwan Howard Tony Battie Brent Barry Willie Green Mike Miller |
Antoine Walker Brian Skinner Mark Blount Marko Jaric Troy Hudson Mark Madsen Trenton Hassell Jason Collins Jerome James Jared Jefferies James Posey Malik Rose Raja Bell Kurt Thomas Joel Przybilla Shareef Abdur-Rahim Brian Scalabrine Damon Stoudamire Corey Maggette |
There are some success stories on this list but not many. Nocioni may have had a better resume than a lot of these guys (he'll also soon be making more money than a lot of them too) but my reasoning behind this isn't that Nocioni is better or worse than the players listed, it's that he fits the profile of the type of player on this list: a long-term financial commitment to a bench player.
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90 comments
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well I can see one thing
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 1:34 PM CDT
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2 additions I would add are
by LD9 on
Jul 7, 2007 1:44 PM CDT
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yes on banks
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 1:49 PM CDT
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yeah, I think Jamal fooled some people
I wouldn't put him on this list though...he has way more skill than pretty much everyone listed.
by ScottieCartwright on
Jul 7, 2007 7:54 PM CDT
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The Sad Thing
by Wade.Jones on
Jul 7, 2007 1:48 PM CDT
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pax also did it with tyson
by milesgmsu on
Jul 9, 2007 10:16 AM CDT
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the defense for Chandler
by hscs on
Jul 9, 2007 10:32 AM CDT
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Add to that...
No one here is deluding themselves (or very few anyway), that Nocioni should play 30+ mpg, can/will improve over the life of the contract or should be a starter.
by tyger1147 on
Jul 9, 2007 12:20 PM CDT
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Maggette would be earning his keep
Jared Jeffries should probably be added. 4 not good seasons for the Wizards earned him a long term (4 years plus a player option for a 5th) deal with the Knicks.
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 1:50 PM CDT
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jeffries made it
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 1:51 PM CDT
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jefferies is on there
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 1:51 PM CDT
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Why would the the Clippers
by EdNealy on
Jul 7, 2007 9:52 PM CDT
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Dan Gadzuric, Joel Przybilla, Theo Ratliff
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 2:05 PM CDT
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Przybilla is on there
I think I left Ratliff off because he made SO much money. That's a deal too awful even for this list.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 2:20 PM CDT
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It was Gadz or Zaza
Again, neither are the best in the world, but Zaza has a few in the world.
OTOH, GAdz played for Terry Stotts after the signing. Stotts has no idea how to coach anyone besides guards.
by KT on
Jul 7, 2007 2:43 PM CDT
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ooh! Bobby Simmons!
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 2:10 PM CDT
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at least Simmons and Williams
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 2:23 PM CDT
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well
By the same token I guess then you could pre-emptively add Ben Gordon to that list when he gets his contract this or next summer.
by thug life on
Jul 7, 2007 2:28 PM CDT
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don't take 'bench player' too literally
There are outstanding players off the bench too, and I don't think Nocioni is in the same category as Barbosa (young) and Ginobili (a lot better). And whether Ben Gordon returns to the bench (and who knows maybe I jump off a bridge when that happens anyway) doesn't diminish his status as a far better talent than Noc.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 2:31 PM CDT
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In retrospect
by cubbybear on
Jul 7, 2007 9:50 PM CDT
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I also think...
When you're trying to be a championship team without a "superstar" and just a number of really good players, you can't really afford any black holes. (I think this is one thing PaxJax and I can agree on in this matter.)
by tyger1147 on
Jul 8, 2007 3:46 AM CDT
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Name dump for debate
Mike Dunleavy
Troy Murphy
Jammal Tinsley
Jason Williams
Bredan Haywood
Peja Stockovic
Bobby Jackson
Stromile Swift
Erick Dampier
Tyron Lue
Rafer Alston
Sam Dalembart
TJ Ford
Marcus Camby
Larry Hughes
Raef LaFrentz
by LD9 on
Jul 7, 2007 2:43 PM CDT
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a lot of those guys were paid to be core players
I'll accept Jackson, Lue (I don't remember the length of his deal though), and Alston
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 2:53 PM CDT
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Pax's arguement
by LD9 on
Jul 7, 2007 2:54 PM CDT
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I hope that isn't his argument
by Colossus on
Jul 7, 2007 2:58 PM CDT
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meh
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 3:02 PM CDT
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agreed
But I never thought before (like hscs) that Pax really believed the platitudes he's use when evaluating Nocioni. This contract makes me less sure, but I doubt Pax really thinks Nocioni is signed to be one of the top 4 or 5 contributors on the team.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 3:14 PM CDT
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There's a thick silver lining, I promise
by bullshooter on
Jul 7, 2007 10:33 PM CDT
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You could also argue
by LD9 on
Jul 7, 2007 2:58 PM CDT
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Jason Kapono
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 3:09 PM CDT
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i didn't do this summer
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 3:11 PM CDT
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it's obvious I'm very confused
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 3:27 PM CDT
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According to my very limited estimation
Players close to or worse than Noc (at least when they signed): Kyle Korver, Nazr Mohammed, Vlad Radmonovic, Joel Przybilla, a few others
Asterisk (is he good, or does he just take too many shots which inflates his value, in turn actually making him really bad?): Antoine Walker
My knowledge is not complete on all of these guys, so I would guess that I missed a few in each of the categories. However, even with that in mind, he appears to be among the top third of these players, and only definitely worse than the top sixth.
In conclusion, contracts are a lot like teams. You are gonna have some super awesome ones, some less than awesome ones, and some comparatively bad ones. How valuable--not how expensive--those contracts are determines how good your team is, and having this type of player be in the top quartile amongst these types of players is a good thing.
by Craig Hodges Explosion 3000 on
Jul 7, 2007 3:17 PM CDT
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I sure hope something else happens this summer
by bullshooter on
Jul 7, 2007 3:43 PM CDT
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yeah, it's been a rough 4 whole days
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 4:03 PM CDT
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I think counseling is in order
by cubbybear on
Jul 7, 2007 9:52 PM CDT
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Matt told me he is setting up a new site
by chgobr on
Jul 8, 2007 7:17 AM CDT
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I don't look at as 4 days
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 5:16 PM CDT
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hopefully
by bullshooter on
Jul 7, 2007 10:16 PM CDT
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I know
by thug life on
Jul 7, 2007 5:16 PM CDT
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duhon
Anyone heard of any rumors? Maybe once earl boykins, Blake and Mo Williams get signed, the rumors will pick up.
by Sambossanova on
Jul 7, 2007 4:39 PM CDT
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honorary mention
by hscs on
Jul 7, 2007 5:15 PM CDT
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I don't fully agree with Turkoglu
He was never very efficient, but he did score 21 pts/40 in his first year in Orlando. And his defensive win shares were impressive his last year in Sacramento.
Anyway, he's definitely erratic (and my opinion is muddled due to liking him in spurts in Sac-town), but I think as much as a 25-year-old can have potential, his contract wasn't that bad.
But I'm probably wrong.
by tyger1147 on
Jul 7, 2007 6:11 PM CDT
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maybe not that bad
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 6:48 PM CDT
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also
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 6:49 PM CDT
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Well... hmm...
Nocioni has NO potential. He won't get much better (if it all) over the course of his contract. More minutes, less minutes, he is what he is: a good bench player. And he got overpaid for that.
But if someone is given a contract on potential... say, they're young, like Milicic, or have really good per minute stats and someone thinks they just need more time...
Anyway, Turkoglu didn't have really good per minute stats, but if the Magic paid market value and expected him to be a 30-minute starter, just doesn't seem the same as Nocioni to me.
But then, I don't know what they were thinking and am not looking back to find out what they thought. I'll drop this, sorry. I just suck at doing point-counterpoint on blogs.
by tyger1147 on
Jul 7, 2007 7:18 PM CDT
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nah I think that's correct
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 9:02 PM CDT
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Nocioni's contact....
by LnP77632 on
Jul 7, 2007 7:41 PM CDT
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Very well stated.
by EdNealy on
Jul 7, 2007 10:08 PM CDT
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Comparisons to Lewis' rediculous
I agree, they need him this year. But Tyrus and Noah figure to play 30 in two or three years. At least if Noc's foot is still messed up, he'll have time to rest it then.
by marionette on
Jul 12, 2007 1:43 PM CDT
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Pistons signed Billups
by vlad001 on
Jul 7, 2007 8:20 PM CDT
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I think he's worth it
by your friendly BullsBlogger on
Jul 7, 2007 8:23 PM CDT
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Billups is good
by jamestkirk on
Jul 7, 2007 9:58 PM CDT
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isnt the part of the PG supposed ot be to run
by milesgmsu on
Jul 9, 2007 10:19 AM CDT
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Yeah the pistons went
by T MaK on
Jul 11, 2007 1:04 AM CDT
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Without Billups,
by cubbybear on
Jul 7, 2007 9:55 PM CDT
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wizards clutch scoring
by Sambossanova on
Jul 8, 2007 11:06 AM CDT
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I forgot that.
by cubbybear on
Jul 8, 2007 12:59 PM CDT
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bilupps wasnt too clutcth this year
by milesgmsu on
Jul 9, 2007 10:20 AM CDT
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Best place I know would be 82games
neither team ahead by more than 5 points":
05-06 06-07
eFG% .545 .480
shot clock 16-20 .667 .575
shot clock 21+ .727 .250
"crunch time" .688 .500
This doesn't get to how many game winners he hit, and the numbers are still pretty good imo, but definitely down from last year. From 05-06 though, you can certainly see where the nickname came from.
by wjb1492 on
Jul 9, 2007 11:42 AM CDT
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Use it or lose it
So instead of giving the $7.5 million annually to Nocioni, would you prefer to bring in the "unrestricted free agent big man off the scrap heap" each year for the next five? If one or two of those five does not work out, it could blow that season.
Pax has money to spend, and he used it as opposed to keeping it in his pocket and letting it go to waste. The money is there for Deng and Gordon and they will get their extensions.
We were not signing any max-contract players anyway, at least until Wallace comes off the books. And, if we can make any blockbuster trades, we have talented young guys (Hinrich, Deng, Gordon) at fairly reasonable contracts, decent players (Tyrus, Thabo, Noah) on rookie deals, and draft picks. There are still assets to trade if Kobe or KG really are available.
Yes, that means Nocioni is a Bull for the next five years, but it is better than having a hole that needs to be filled every year in my opinion.
by nateroth on
Jul 7, 2007 9:56 PM CDT
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And if Garnett exercises his ETO...
I'm not a capologist so I might be barking up the wrong tree, but tell me again why Pax HAD TO SPEND the money this year (so it was either Nocioni or Kapono--you CHOOSE!!!) and couldn't have saved some for the great players available next year?
by tyger1147 on
Jul 8, 2007 3:40 AM CDT
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Would not have had room anyway
Now, if we can make some trades to bring in big name players, I'm all for it. Also, if signing Noc ends up preventing us from resigning either Deng or Gordon, then it is a huge mistake. But I don't think that will be the case.
by nateroth on
Jul 8, 2007 8:40 AM CDT
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I need numbers to believe you.
by tyger1147 on
Jul 8, 2007 10:48 AM CDT
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I'll give it a shot...
The cap for this past season was $53 million, so let's say that for 08-09 it is at $60 million. Given Deng and Gordon's projected extension numbers, and assuming we did not sign Nocioni, we would have had $55.5 million tied up among eight players: Wallace ($14.5), Hinrich ($10), Gordon ($11), Deng ($12), Tyrus ($3.8), Thabo ($1.9), Noah (around $2) and we'd still have Griffin ($1.7). That doesn't include the salaries of another four guys that we would need. So we would not be able to bring in any free agents for less than about $5 million, which would have been the MLE anyway.
If we simply resign our own guys, we can go over the cap. We will also be able to avoid the luxury tax threshold, which is where a contending team should be and I think where Paxson wants to be.
Assuming all of the above, if we hadn't resigned Nocioni we would have lost him for nothing and his replacement would have had to be a MLE guy. It's doubtful that we could replace Nocioni's production with that type of player. Further, we still would have had no ability to improve the team through big-time free agents until Wallace comes off the books, unless we let Deng or Gordon walk. That will not happen. Trades are still possible, and I hope we can make a blockbuster for Kobe or KG, but absent that it made no sense from a cap perspective to let Nocioni go for nothing.
by nateroth on
Jul 8, 2007 4:07 PM CDT
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If you believe
by sue369 on
Jul 8, 2007 4:54 PM CDT
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I guess that would work better
by nateroth on
Jul 8, 2007 6:57 PM CDT
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Actually he may be gone before the year is out
I'm not saying Noc will go but he does provide that flexibility.
by OldeBull on
Jul 8, 2007 12:03 PM CDT
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Hmmm
by pookeyguru on
Jul 8, 2007 2:08 PM CDT
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short
by Sambossanova on
Jul 8, 2007 11:08 AM CDT
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Definitely...
I honestly thing that he may bring what the bulls just need. If they somehow can strike a deal with the spurs (Duhon + future 2nd rounder) for Scola's rights, it would be great. Then sign Scola for the MLE (is that possible?).
by Diabolo on
Jul 9, 2007 5:12 AM CDT
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Is he with Tau Ceramica?
I'd like to see Scola here for half the Noc money. Except Pax already spent the Noc money.
I think the MLE ($5.5M) can go towards whatever you want it to. The trick is the buyout of the euro contract. I do know a player can buy himself out, with part of his contract's first year money, for example. Don't know the limits or legality of payment from Bulls to Italian team though.
by marionette on
Jul 12, 2007 2:07 PM CDT
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Anyone here follow the Bears?
My observations:
Defined system/style
Finding undervalued guys that fit the system
Having these guys play above what they would in other systems
I dunno. Not as much as I thought (or I'm too tired to think more), but I just got that thought earlier. Get a bunch of guys who buy into the system and might not be as highly regarded as others. And the cohesiveness makes the whole greater than the sum of its parts.
Okay, that was dumb.
by tyger1147 on
Jul 8, 2007 3:50 AM CDT
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Sounds right to me!
by chgobr on
Jul 8, 2007 7:15 AM CDT
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Todd Mculluch (sp?)
by haze on
Jul 8, 2007 7:30 PM CDT
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Okay
Here is the hoopshype salary link.
by pookeyguru on
Jul 9, 2007 2:34 AM CDT
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Oh active players
by haze on
Jul 9, 2007 10:33 AM CDT
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my take
- Paxson has never made a major mistkae; his one big mistake could be contstured as signing tyson to such a large deal; but we're not dealing with that albatross anymore so it's a moot point
- Noch, for all intents and purpsoes, was the best fitting FA on the market.
- We got a hometown discount
- The contract is front loaded; always good but especially because it allows better flexability with jizzle and deng and possibly trading noch
- Noch is a proven player; while we don't know what he is going to be able to do after the foot injury; these things tend nto to be a career killer; just a season hurter
by milesgmsu on
Jul 9, 2007 10:43 AM CDT
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I think we've hit all the emotions
by bullshooter on
Jul 9, 2007 12:39 PM CDT
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That's an interesting question. The national
When you consider Kirk's numbers when he plays PG, the numbers are alot closer. Kirk's rookie year assist rate actually (When he played PG full time) matches Paul's.
Paul is probably the better player, but if I had a choice. I'd take Kirk because he can do more without the ball on offense, and has more defensive value. Kirk's simply more versatile. You could plug Kirk into any of the championship teams of the last 30 years and he could find a role to play and probably would start. I can't say the same thing for Paul.
by Scotter on
Jul 9, 2007 1:17 PM CDT
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I cringed too
While I'm ranting, doesn't it seem that NBA owners/GMs are the dumbest in sports? I bet it would be difficult to find another league whose teams spend so unwisely (I'd love to know the "Bust Rate" in the NBA).
Now that I've got that out of my system, I like the Nocioni signing. Thought it shoulda been a high priority. We NEED that energy he brings. Some say we've already got a lot of 'energy guys.' No we don't. Yes, we have a lot of players who give all-out effort, but I certainly wouldn't classify Deng, Gordon, Wallace, Brown or Sefolosha as "energy-bringers," would you? And I thought real hard about including Heinrich in that group. They play real good basketball and give good effort, yes, but they don't bring emotional energy to the game like Nocioni does or a guy like Tyrus Thomas does.
The energy those types of guys bring really helps teams to quiet crowds and stop runs, and a jump-shooting team like the Bulls Desperately Needs to be able to do those things.
A low-post scorer helps you do the above things too, but the Bulls don't have one of them, which to me made re-signing Nocioni that much more of a priority.
by Starred4Life on
Jul 11, 2007 10:26 PM CDT
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baseball gm's
by milesgmsu on
Jul 12, 2007 11:08 AM CDT
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This list should be a lesson
Still only 4 from the list that I'd prefer to Noc:
Battier (everything Bowen's touted as, and legal too)
Harpring (skilled footballer)
Miller (can't reb; replacing Noc means even smaller-ball)
Bell (as above; crosses the Bowen-line)
Camby (guess that makes 5)
Didn't Ratliff win DPOTY once? Brian Cardinal if healthy might've been worth taking (as a bad contract) as part of S'n'T w/Grizz. Isn't he the same player as Noc with less years/dollars now? No one crosses the Fortson-line. Maggette, more so than Miller even, does only one thing. Okay, he can reb too, but if people were disappointed in the defense of a fresh-from-the-boot Noc... Kurt Thomas would be well worth the $ if fool Suns coach played him. Add Bobby Simmons and Ricky Davis. Davis has no excuse. Sorry, but your list inspired a stream of thought.
by marionette on
Jul 12, 2007 2:58 PM CDT
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