Nocioni may need the Orlando Woolridge/Ricky Davis treatment
[From the Diaries. My thoughts on this are in the comments. -Matt]
I hate to be so bold to lead into this diary with a cliche like "addition by subtraction," but it would appear it's too late now. I've been whining about Nocioni not being a good fit at power forward because he's undersized, doesn't rebound well enough for the position, and doesn't block any shots. Those problems were kinda solved with his removal from the starting lineup. Replaced by Tyrus Thomas, and presumably PJ Brown when Ben Wallace is healthy, Nocioni figures to be a scorer and PED off the bench. This would be great for most teams, but most teams don't have a competent veteran like Peej, and a rookie forward who could be a monster come playoff time if given enough experience during the regular season. The Bulls also have Sweetney, Veek-tor Ha-ra-pa, and Malik Allen who are more than the average band of rogues at the end of an NBA bench.
I've mentioned usage rate (USG-r) before, which is the number of possessions a player uses per 40 minutes. Nocioni's 22.0 USG-r is higher than every Bull but Ben Gordon. I don't think a team with Hinrich, Deng, and Gordon should be sacrificing the ball (so much) to the wild and turnover prone Nocioni.
Maybe it's time to trade Nocioni for a slug to sit at the end of the bench, or seriously consider not picking up his contract at the end of the season. Tyrus Thomas is going to have to play at some point, and the Bulls are committed to Ben Wallace who will need to play with a defender and rebounder to be effective as he declines over the course of his contract. The recent defensive focus on turnovers doesn't bode well for Nocioni either. Even though the flops are nice, they don't create transition oppurtunities.
Tyrus isn't ready now, but Nocioni is stunting his growth, taking shots away from better offensive players, and taking minutes from better suited power forwards. It's possible the Bulls could actually gain something without him.
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66 comments
Comments
Trade Noc and Old Man Winter
by Colossus on Jan 16, 2007 11:03 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
please no
The rooks and backups are not as good as you suppose and Noc provides the valuable third scorer when Hinrich is inevitably in a slump.
At this point in time, we need to keep him (and I'm not just saying this because of my favorability toward his style of play and that fact that my profile name is named after him), but because it is in the best interest of the team at this current time.
by NocChapu on Jan 16, 2007 11:12 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
noc is good
by milesgmsu on Jan 17, 2007 9:08 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
BFF
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 10:37 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I'm a little worried about the off season though. Sure, Deng and Gordon still have a year left, but look how long it took Hinrich. Yes, Reinsdorf said he'd be willing to pay a luxury tax if it meant keeping the core and/or staying contenders, but to what extent?
I just googled and found this and while it isn't anything worth putting in stone, I can only wonder how much more he can spend and handle in luxury tax before backpedaling. Keep in mind that's from the 04-05 season, so it's very likely that it increased last year, and this year, as a result of us not sucking and increasing ticket/merchandise sales.
by Colossus on Jan 17, 2007 10:47 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
two things
- it's not jsut us not sucking, biut think about the white sox too
- Im not saying we can resign noch and save 10M because of deng or vice versa, but we might be able to get the hometown discount at a larger rate because of his closeness with deng....keep in mind that they are best friends and go to the mall to each other, and when noch first came here, deng was the only one that opended up to him (or vice versa)...hell they lived (maybe still do) next to each other
by milesgmsu on Jan 17, 2007 4:35 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
All good points, PaxJax
Anyway, while I agree with you, I don't think we should overlook the positives, many of which don't come out in the statistics. Chapu is quite frustrating against certain scorers in the NBA. He can hit the open three, and seems to get those open looks more often than anyone else on the team (because he's playing out of position at the 4? Maybe, but he's hitting them nonetheless). Also, while drawing charges does not lead to fast breaks, it does make an offense think twice about driving - akin to what a weakside shot-blocker can do - and Andres is one of the best in the NBA at setting up in front of that little circle.
To sum up, yes, I think he's better coming off the bench, but he's also one of our four scorers. He's gotta get enough minutes. If you can trade him before the deadline for something really good, that's great, but giving him minutes will only make that something "prettier".
As far as whether we give him a new contract, it's way too early to determine that, so let's not sweat it now. The team won't be extending him mid-season (I don't even think they can if they wanted to?).
by corey williams corey benjamin on Jan 16, 2007 11:36 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
re: Nocioni's contract
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 17, 2007 10:12 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
well
I agree Noc could cut down on turnovers and his rebounding would be okay if he was more SF then PF, which off bench he should be
by NY Chicago Fan on Jan 17, 2007 10:31 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You need Noce during the playoffs.
by JoJoEnglish94bulls4ever on Jan 16, 2007 11:50 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Corey
by piccolomair on Jan 17, 2007 3:05 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
i dont mind his dribbling
by milesgmsu on Jan 17, 2007 9:09 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I nearly-buy this whole premise
But unless he's a part of 'the big trade' I don't want him moved just to free up time for the rest of the frontcourt scrum. He's flawed but it's not like the roster is overflowing with offense and bigs, so having him gunning off the bench is a nice luxury. And if he's 'just Noc' as he always says, maybe they can get him not to dominate the ball so much (this year's usage rate is a few points above his career norms).
And a lot of this is presuming that Tyrus is close to being ready and should get many more minutes to get him there this year. Which I still don't believe (I think he's so far away he'll be the same type of player all season, which isn't that terrible), but basketball mind-gods can disagree on that one.
But if a 'the big trade' doesn't happen, resigning Noc in the offseason shouldn't be a foregone conclusion. But while Thomas and Veektor are signed through next year, PJ and Sweets aren't, so there likely will still be a place for him.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 11:03 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Funny
by bullshooter on Jan 17, 2007 11:27 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Noc is a luxury
As for next year, if Noc comes back for around the midlevel exception, I think he should be signed. He is an energy guy who can hit shots and seems to rise to the occaision. But I don't think he should start at 4 anymore, unless forced to by injuries.
This is a team going through growing stages. The better Noc plays, the more it forces Tyrus to know what he should be doing out on the floor in order for Tyrus to take Noc's minutes. Ultimately, it's Skiles job both to make sure Tyrus is progressing, and to recognize it's time get Tyrus on the court. Also, it's been two games and I am sure Tyrus will have a few off games before they give him the ROY... so let's not dump Noc just yet.
by bullshooter on Jan 17, 2007 11:06 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Shakes head..
He is in control these days. He is also a great team player and has an unmatched attitude. Do I think his natural position is SF? Yes. All the more reason to be impressed with the guy.
I can't beleive a diary like this (and numerous support posts) came out at a time like this. The guy VOLUNTEERED to move to the bench and play a bench role on this team. In today's league, do you know how special this is?!?!? He cares about the team first and himself second. Not many can claim that.
I beleive he should and still can get 25 minutes plus off the bench with Deng still getting 35 or so. When Skiles goes small, as he likes to often, then Deng and Noc will play side by side.
To actually suggest that we dump him is 100% laughable. I'm sorry to get so emotional, here but I absolutely can not believe that bulls fans are ready to turn their back on Chapu. Not in my most desperate moment would I "dump" Andres Nocioni.. Come on! wow.
by Scott 9 on Jan 17, 2007 1:13 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Don't cry dude
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 17, 2007 1:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nobody's crying...
Last night.. case in point. We are not the type of team that can rely on the same guys every night. We need consistent shooters to pick up the slack when a Gordon or Deng (or Kirk) is not stepping up. Chapu is that guy.
by Scott 9 on Jan 18, 2007 10:37 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
One game isn't "case in point"
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 11:17 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
no dump
If in offseason if there is large demand for Noc and the salary offers get out of hand, the Bulls could look to package him in trade, but I don't think anyone knows how much $s in free agency Noc will get offered at this point
Would be nice to replace Duhon with a defensive point guard (to only backup Hinrich) that can actually shoot and wants to shoot the open 3, but I know that might be hard to find at Duhon's price, suspect it could be target with 2nd round picks this year or next
by NY Chicago Fan on Jan 17, 2007 1:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
If Noc isn't going to be a Bull next year, he'll be traded before the deadline rather than in the off season.
Trading Duhon would be sweet. Too bad a package of Noc, Duhon, Brown, and Lard Ass wouldn't get enough to fix our holes :(
by Colossus on Jan 17, 2007 3:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nobody seems to know for sure
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 3:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Good to know
by Colossus on Jan 17, 2007 4:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Noc is a Restricted Free Agent
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=2654216
and for good measure: http://hoopshype.com/salaries/chicago.htm
by dcarioca on Jan 17, 2007 10:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
eh?
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/features/traderesult?players=99~2456~2175~91&teams=12~12~12~4
but probably it would take something more like this
http://games.espn.go.com/nba/features/traderesult?players=91~99~2381~2456&teams=4~12~12~12
either way I'd do it to get a reliable low post guy again...
by micah on Jan 17, 2007 1:39 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
quick answer
No.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 2:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Can't agree.
Chapu is one of the reasons I show up for games. I love his hustle, energy, and toughness.
by 1958ChiTown on Jan 17, 2007 2:44 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
'Being realistic'
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 17, 2007 4:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nocioni
Besides, they can play together for long stretches in a NBA heading towards fast paced games and tiny lineups.
by Chilai on Jan 17, 2007 6:09 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
nocioni
Deng needs to hit the baords a little harder. The guy is probably now 6 10 and 230. Why isnt he a better rebounder than Noc. Why dont they plug him in there at power forward more often? Everyone does seem to be a little hard on nocioni, but the truth is he is extremely solid on all ends for a small forward. He sometimes needs to lay off a bit on the offensive end. He can defend multiple positions, shoot the jumper and make the occasional play. The team has size problems, but we need to stop blaming them on Nocioni.
by Sambossanova on Jan 17, 2007 6:34 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
because
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 6:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Rebounding
by bullshooter on Jan 17, 2007 10:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Because he's playing SF
by Scotter on Jan 18, 2007 1:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't Get it
He is currently the 19th rated PF in the league, while playing out of position at 6-7.
And seriously, did anyone see the playoffs last year?
by dcarioca on Jan 17, 2007 10:44 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
he's not out of position
and everybody needs to quit about the playoff stats. For one thing, it was 6 games. And against Antoine Walker. Not that it wasn't a great showing by him, but don't use those games to evaluate him.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 17, 2007 11:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
playoffs
by dcarioca on Jan 18, 2007 8:48 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It doesn't take much stepping up,
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 9:40 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He's out of position
Btw, he had good games against the Wizards on the playoffs too.
by Chilai on Jan 18, 2007 1:05 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
ya know....
So anyway, Noc can have the 8-15 minutes that Deng's not at the 3, and some at the 4 when Skiles wants to go small.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 18, 2007 9:29 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
btw
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 18, 2007 9:35 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That's exactly what I would expect
by Scotter on Jan 18, 2007 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Also
by dcarioca on Jan 18, 2007 8:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
So let's recap
Everybody needs to relax and enjoy the ride.
by bullshooter on Jan 18, 2007 8:57 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
In my own defense
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 9:34 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If it's about the rookies
by dcarioca on Jan 18, 2007 9:45 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
please never call him thabs...
by milesgmsu on Jan 18, 2007 10:19 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yeesh,
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 10:21 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
To be fair
by bullshooter on Jan 18, 2007 11:28 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I like Khryapa
by Scotter on Jan 18, 2007 1:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nocioni
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 1:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Based on what?
by Scotter on Jan 18, 2007 2:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I just looked at the per 40's
As far as the "most effective scorer" goes, I'd like to see Noc not hog the ball so much and give to guys that get to the line and pass. Am I alone on the Orlando Woolridge/Ricky Davis reference?
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 18, 2007 2:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think you might be
I agree that he is taking valuable minutes and learning opportunities from Tyrus, but Tyrus hasn't shown me that he is completely locked in yet, either. He's also taking minutes from Khryapa, who to me is a younger version of Noc. But I feel like Noc has earned most of the minutes he gets and the team benefits from him being out there.
by bullshooter on Jan 19, 2007 2:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The stats and his play this year
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 19, 2007 3:34 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm still...
by Scott 9 on Jan 19, 2007 4:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Period?
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 19, 2007 6:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And that's not to say you have
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 20, 2007 8:25 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget
by Paxson Jackson on Jan 19, 2007 3:48 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Frontcourt minutes
Wallace - 31
Brown - 13
Deng - 31
Nocioni - 27
Thomas - 18
Khrappy - 4
Sweets - 3
Allen - DNP
This seems more-or-less adequate. Deng will be closer to 40 minutes most nights but he got in early foul trouble. I'm ok with Wallace getting less time, just say they're 'saving' him for the playoffs.
A lot of the lower-bench players' minutes will depend on matchups, but I'm starting to think Thomas should be getting around 15 guaranteed minutes.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 18, 2007 10:27 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
sweetney
by Sambossanova on Jan 18, 2007 12:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
In the first half I thought Skiles found
by Scotter on Jan 18, 2007 1:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
TT is going to be HUGE
Btw, we have to thank Webber for making those Pistons worse, and Mike Brown for being so inept. GO BULLS TO THE FINALS!
by Chilai on Jan 18, 2007 2:00 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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