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Should/would Thibs go to the zone against the Heat?



The faint whimpering sound you're hearing tonight is not the neighbor's dog. No, it's Chris Bosh all the way down in South Florida, after realizing that his team has yet to figure out how to solve the zone defense.

Star-divide

Watching the Heat-Hawks game tonight, it looks like the zone is still the Heat's kryptonite. Several people in the Around the NBA thread were wondering whether we should go that route, and I'm curious what the consensus is.

Not only was the zone effective, but the Hawks were consciously trying to slow the game down, and execute more of a half court game to keep the Heat from running them out of the gym, and it worked. Seems pretty smart to me.

Obviously the Hawks aren't breaking new ground here. Everyone knows that Rick Carlisle and the Mavs did the same thing (well, the zone at least), and won a title because of it. So should the Bulls try to do something similar when they take on the Heat this season, or in the Playoffs?

There seems to be a few issues here that I see regarding whether the Bulls would employ a similar strategy:

1) One of the main storylines coming out of training camp, and something we've seen plenty of since the season started, is that the Bulls are really looking to run this year. I believe I read that the Bulls are currently second in the league in pace (too lazy to look it up, sorry). So while other teams want to slow down (at least against the Heat), it looks like we're trying speed up. And while I like this strategy against 28 other teams in the league, I'm not so sure we want to try and out-run those assholes in South Beach.

2) Thibs is VERY proud of his defense. I just can't see Thibs essentially giving up, and telling his team to play a zone after drilling his defensive principles in their heads for 2 years. Since he's been coach, I don't think they've played a zone defense one time. Yet we expect him to do it for the majority of a playoff series? I don't see it.

Personally, I think they need to do whatever they can to beat that team (or any team for that matter). If the Heat are that weak against that particular defense (which is kinda remarkable, really), then you HAVE TO use it. At least during certain stretches of games, here and there.

Part of being a great coach is exploiting the other team's weaknesses, and while Thibs may not like it, it's something that may need to be done. Anyway, I'm just curious what everyone else thinks. Should the Bulls use a zone against the Heat? Would they?

"You silly bastards, I do what I want"

Poll
Should the Bulls use a zone against the Heat?
Yes
129 votes
No
49 votes

178 votes | Poll has closed

FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

Comment 46 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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i feel like our defense already works almost like a zone

the way we defend is kinda like a semi zone and i think thats why we had success against miami last year in the regular season. but when lebron and dwade start hitting 834832948324832 threes in a row. theres no strat against it

Should've traded for Melo.

by sin on Jan 3, 2012 12:29 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah, I like our defense

I’m just thinking this is the type of thing you can use to slow them down if they’re on a run, or something. It’s just a way to switch things up. Maybe it’s something you don’t even use til the playoffs, as an element of surprise type of thing.

I just think that any kind of little edge you can give yourself, you should use.

That being said, our defense is much better than these other teams, so it’s probably not a necessity.

Sadly, my self worth is almost entirely based upon the outcome of the previous night's Bulls game.

by Juiceboxjerry on Jan 3, 2012 12:47 AM CST up reply actions  

indeed

the bulls defense is a spectacular hybrid of zone and man…..

I dont care what the D.N.A. Says, the Guy wearing number 12 Cannot be Kirk Hinrich, he is definetly Kurt. Kirk can actually play basketball!

by piccolomair on Jan 3, 2012 1:26 AM CST up reply actions  

This*

...no flies on me.

by Envy on Jan 4, 2012 11:44 AM CST up reply actions  

:O

that would be 2.50449884 × 10^15 points!

by kpd on Jan 3, 2012 1:41 AM CST up reply actions  

reading the above post and then coming to this one

made me think that 82,85,96,101 was 828,696,101 for some reason.

"What do you think, I just dunked my whole career?" Jordan asked Henderson after making a 3.
"You’ve got to miss eventually," Henderson told him.
"That’s what Cleveland said," replied Jordan

by MRubio52 on Jan 3, 2012 9:42 AM CST up reply actions   2 recs

Yeah, I thought it was a random massive number too. >.>

Rose decides not to go 1-on-2 and I was thinking, "what are you doing?! You've got the numbers!" -Zach Harper, Daily Dime Live

by Prevenge on Jan 3, 2012 6:58 PM CST up reply actions  

I think a second year in Thibs' defensive system is enough.

But I wouldn’t mind seeing it if only to fluster Miami every now and then; further take them out of their game.

Oh, and your memory is a bit off, my friend. Bulls are only 18th in pace and yet 3rd in fast break points, which is quite weird but also screams ‘sample size.’

"The flames on his pants looked way too.... Bam Bam Bigelow-y."

- Comment on Bleacher Report about Kane's new digs.

by Dr. Handsome, D.D.S. on Jan 3, 2012 1:20 AM CST reply actions  

actually I wouldn't mind ending up at those spots if it meant

getting out in transition when it presents itself while being more patient in the halfcourt and taking less contested midrange/long twos

I've built myself up from nothing to a state of extreme poverty." -Groucho Marx

by paddyfairview on Jan 3, 2012 5:52 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Thibs owes it at least some consideration

Try it out in the regular season…if it works, have it in your back pocket for the playoffs

"Shame he’s such a goofy fuckface."
-JBJ, referring to Dwight Howard

by SidM on Jan 3, 2012 1:22 AM CST reply actions  

Get a high enough seed and it won't matter

if it truly is the heat’s kryptonite, some bush league team will pull the upset for us.

"Sportsmanship is just loser talk for losing."

by boyonthedock on Jan 3, 2012 3:56 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Not sure if Thibs will use it or not but

I’m pretty sure he is going to see what worked against Mia and find way to use it in his scheme somehow.

by JustAnotherFan on Jan 3, 2012 5:45 AM CST reply actions  

The Bulls have the best defensive scheme in the league

I don’t want them to change it up one bit.

Besides, I’m not sure that Miami is weak against the zone. I didn’t watch the Miami-Atlanta game, but on paper, Miami has a bunch of shooters and the two best ball-handling and passing wings in the league. If Miami’s having problems with the zone right now, it’s not because of their personnel, but because they haven’t prepared for it and practiced against it. I’m sure that’ll change if the zone continues to be a problem for them.

Pat Riley is the devil.

by Poloplaya14 on Jan 3, 2012 7:23 AM CST reply actions  

agreed

we lost that series because of our offensive shortcomings, not defense.

by BULLieving in Miami on Jan 3, 2012 11:14 AM CST up reply actions  

From Sebastian Pruiti's Twitter:
They are shooting just 38.1% (vs. 48% against man) and posting a PPP of 0.740 (vs. 0.944 against man)
Miami has now scored just 37 points against 50 zone possessions…11th out of the 11 teams who have played against zone

I think its definitely worth throwing the zone at the heat a couple times just to test it out

by ChiTownSportsMaster on Jan 3, 2012 9:01 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah, this and avoiding quick, long, transition jumpers.

I think the key is less about zone and more about stopping the Heat from running. i feel that the zone can be effective in spots to stop some runs the Heat might go on, but in end of game situations you kinda have to ride the defense that brought you there, the one everyone is extremely familiar with.

"What do you think, I just dunked my whole career?" Jordan asked Henderson after making a 3.
"You’ve got to miss eventually," Henderson told him.
"That’s what Cleveland said," replied Jordan

by MRubio52 on Jan 3, 2012 9:46 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, you obviously can't use it the whole game

But maybe you use it for a couple 3-5 minute stretches just to get the Heat out of their comfort zone.

Sadly, my self worth is almost entirely based upon the outcome of the previous night's Bulls game.

by Juiceboxjerry on Jan 3, 2012 10:00 AM CST up reply actions  

I wonder how the Bulls rate in that category

that seems like the type of play that a lot of our players are caught doing.

BaB on Twitter | BaB on Facebook
"Don't nag, flag!"

by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jan 3, 2012 10:50 AM CST up reply actions  

Here’s an article from ESPN about it from Tom Haberstroh. Pretty good. Also, a pretty wild quote:

To be clear, most teams don’t fare as well against the zone compared to transition. It’s just easier to pick apart a backpedaling defense than a settled one that packs the paint. That much is obvious.

But the key here is that the Heat’s efficiency has fallen off a cliff even more so than we’d expect. The average team scores 112.8 points every 100 possessions in transition; the Heat have scored 121.6 points. The average team scores 101.9 points every 100 possessions against the zone; the Heat have scored a paltry 74.0 points. The gap is enormous and teams are undoubtedly taking notice.

Still don’t know why Thibs wouldn’t use this, at least a little bit here and there to throw them off. Maybe he just uses it in the Playoffs in a situation where we could use a little boost

Sadly, my self worth is almost entirely based upon the outcome of the previous night's Bulls game.

by Juiceboxjerry on Jan 3, 2012 9:45 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Are this averages for this year only?

Heat only played shitty teams until the Hawks game

by JustAnotherFan on Jan 3, 2012 10:35 AM CST up reply actions  

Idk, good question

Sadly, my self worth is almost entirely based upon the outcome of the previous night's Bulls game.

by Juiceboxjerry on Jan 3, 2012 11:09 AM CST up reply actions  

Dallas isn't exactly lighting the league up right now

They’ll be a good team by the end of the season but i don’t think its a stretch to call them a bad team right now

by Chicagoblooz on Jan 3, 2012 4:46 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Here's a relevant article

about the Celtics’ use of the zone against Miami. I took two points from this article. First, Miami thought the real problem was their defense; if they force turnovers then their opponent has no chance to set up a zone. Second, Miami was fine against the zone during the regular season last year and is the type of team that should thrive against the zone, so maybe this is a temporary issue.

by Tim S. on Jan 3, 2012 10:00 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

This is my feeling as well

For instance, I watched the Hawks-Heat game last time, and my takeaway was that Miami lost due to (1) awful shooting performances from Wade and Bosh (pre and post zone), and (2) a seemingly disinterested Miami team in the 3rd and 4th quarters.

The Hawks tried to give away the game towards the end with their abysmal shot selection, anyway.

by bryield on Jan 3, 2012 10:13 AM CST via iPhone app up reply actions  

I think we definitely have the players to pull it off

first and foremost, as stated above, limit the turnovers, which the Hawks did last night. that just keeps them from getting out and running.
but as far as the zone is concerned, I think the Bulls have the combo of length and speed to play successful zone D. Noah, Deng, Brew, and to some extent Rip, are long players that can cover a lot of ground, which is essential to running a good zone. if Boozer can truly learn to close out properly on perimeter shooters, that’ll help, but I think the zone is better executed with Taj. Wade and Lebron have only attempted one 3 between them. they are totally aware that it’s not their strength and that they’re letting the defense off easy by shooting it. I think a zone could force that hand. plus, the Heat, according to them, aren’t running much set offense which makes sense since they have two to the most naturally skilled players in the league and why not let them play off instinct. but man D might suffer a bit against such a fluid offense as its a bit more difficult to scout their sets and anticipate what cuts and screens they’d make on offense.
as in football where you want to play to your strengths and not let the opposition dictate what you want to do as a team (Thib’s philosophy), basketball is much more fluid and almost necessitates exploiting a weakness when it is found and making the adjustment to do so.

by BULLieving in Miami on Jan 3, 2012 10:09 AM CST via iPhone app reply actions  

A zone is nice here and there just to throw players off their game.

But it’s also an easy defense to break because you’re giving up a ton of rebounds and 3-pointers in the process.

Also, it’s early in the season. Let’s see how effective the zone works against them in March.

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 3, 2012 11:14 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah, the rebounding is a problem

Giving up three pointers, not so much. Because if you go to a zone, usually it’s because a team is killing you with penetration, and can’t shoot the ball all that well

Sadly, my self worth is almost entirely based upon the outcome of the previous night's Bulls game.

by Juiceboxjerry on Jan 3, 2012 10:10 PM CST up reply actions  

I like what we have now

It wouldn’t hurt to show the zone every once in a while. For all the love of running Rip has, chasing Wade will be tough and he’s gonna need to be physical with him, which I’m not sure he can handle like a Brewer or even Bogans last year. Zone will solve some of the issues, but we will need to rebound the hell out the ball and watch the turnovers aganist those freaks.

You always were second best! And in this business, Bub, second best don't *cut* it!

by Yibs on Jan 3, 2012 12:45 PM CST reply actions  

For me, it all goes down to how the Bulls score

in the fourth quarter should these two meet up.

The Bulls strong man-to-man defense is fine, and it wasn’t the Heat dribble penetration that hurt the Bulls the most, it was both Wade and LeBron hitting key 3 point shots late, so the zone wouldn’t have helped defended against that.

"The advanced metrics guys do not like Derrick Rose very much." - Bills Simmons podcast 2/4

by RogersPark Kris on Jan 3, 2012 12:59 PM CST reply actions  

Part of the Heat's issue against the zone so far

is Lebron’s reluctance to shoot the 3. He’s completely taken it out of his game; he’s averaging 0.2 attempts per game and hasn’t made one yet this year. He’s off to the best start of his career, but he needs to try and bust the zone with a three here and there. He can try and bust the zone by dishing to James Jones, Chalmers and Battier, but eventually he needs to take some of those shots too.

by dakoose on Jan 3, 2012 1:17 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

And that one 3 he attempted was

because Chalmers passed it to him with less than 2 secs left on the shot clock. This was in the 3rd or 4th qtr in last nights game. Also, Wade only attempted his 1st 3 pointer late in last nights game as well.

One day you feel like you're on top of the world when you beat the Lakers and then the next night you lose against Golden State. - Joakim Noah

by chicity773 on Jan 3, 2012 3:44 PM CST up reply actions  

It's kind of funny.....

they’re having great years, and Lebron in particularly is thriving with his new-found mid-range and post-up approach, but it also makes it tougher to bust the zone when teams bring it out. He’s cut out the 3pt shot so completely that when it’s a necessary weapon, it seems like he’s not comfortable using it.

But with that said, it’s only been six game. I’ll wait another month or two before I declare the Heat helpless against the zone.

by dakoose on Jan 3, 2012 3:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed.

Let’s hope he remains uncomfortable with it tho.

One day you feel like you're on top of the world when you beat the Lakers and then the next night you lose against Golden State. - Joakim Noah

by chicity773 on Jan 3, 2012 4:11 PM CST up reply actions  

I really think you hit the nail on the head

The Heat are worse against the zone this year than last year. It’s not because of small sample size, but because of the way they’re playing offense. I’m amazed that I haven’t read any in-depth stories yet on how Lebron and Wade have both completely stopped attempting 3 pointers. As long as they’ve made it clear that they don’t want to take that shot, teams would be smart play them in a way that leaves it open for them. Spacing the floor is useless if open players won’t shoot the ball. Those two will eventually start shooting 3s again as teams adapt, but until then keep playing zone.

I thought they were just paying lip service to changing their offense around, but they’ve really embraced trying to run other teams off the court and taking more inside shots. Lebron’s field goal percent is at 60% because of this. As it turns out, he’s a below average 3 point shooter, but the most unstoppable player in the league close to the rim, and every shot he take from outside was just letting other teams off of the hook. What’s equally interesting is how Wade’s numbers have suffered. Maybe he’s just rusty, but he has not been shooting well so far. The fact that Lebron has to make up for Wade’s play is the only thing stopping the Heat from blowing every team out of the water.

by runningman on Jan 3, 2012 6:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Doc did it...

Which makes me thinks Thibs might go to it.

THEO!

by wrigleyrocker12 on Jan 3, 2012 2:36 PM CST reply actions  

Practice and use the zone sparingly against other running teams.

Don’t use it at all against Miami in the regular season. If the Bulls have success with it and Miami hasn’t solved it by the playoffs, spring it on them then.

by mick11 on Jan 3, 2012 6:35 PM CST reply actions  

Clever. Too clever?

Maybe they should secretly practice the triangle offense.

by Tim S. on Jan 5, 2012 1:21 PM CST up reply actions  

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