FanPost

Basketball Prospectus with a new stat - BOGANS

Bradford Doolittle of Basketball Prospectus has put together a new statistic that gives us all some more fuel to the fire that Keith Bogans should not be starting and, appropriately, he has named it BOGANS (subscriber).

Doolittle says he began casually tracking whether the Bulls were outscoring their opponents while Bogans was on the floor using unadjusted plus-minus, and was expressing it as a won-loss record, rather than in a points-per-game context. He then compares that to the Bulls' overall record and sees where it places. The results are interesting:

PLAYER           TEAM    W   L  T   PCT   TM%  RATIO
Kyle Korver CHI 34 13 2 .714 .694 1.029
Derrick Rose CHI 33 14 1 .698 .694 1.006
Luol Deng CHI 30 18 1 .622 .694 .897
Ronnie Brewer CHI 28 21 0 .571 .694 .824
Omer Asik CHI 27 19 3 .582 .694 .838
C.J. Watson CHI 25 21 3 .541 .694 .779
Keith Bogans CHI 25 24 0 .510 .694 .735
Carlos Boozer CHI 22 8 1 .726 .694 1.046
Taj Gibson CHI 21 20 6 .511 .694 .736
Kurt Thomas CHI 17 12 1 .583 .694 .841
Joakim Noah CHI 15 9 0 .625 .694 .901
James Johnson CHI 7 4 1 .625 .694 .901
Brian Scalabrine CHI 5 9 0 .357 .694 .515

Unsurprisingly, Scal sucks, and the Bulls tend to outscore their opponents most frequently when Rose, Korver and Boozer are on the floor.

Doolittle concludes:

That the Bulls would consistently struggle to this degree with Bogans on the floor is a clear signal that the position needs to be upgraded.

FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

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