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Chicago Bulls NBA Blogger Preview (2010-11 Season)

The following is my entry in the NBA Blogger preview series, follow all the team previews at SBNation.com:

Team Name:  Chicago Bulls
Last Year’s Record: 41-41
Key Additions: Carlos Boozer, Kyle Korver, CJ Watson, Ronnie Brewer, Tom Thibodeau (head coach)

1. What Significant Moves were made during the off-season?
The Bulls have spent the past 2 seasons clearing out long-term contracts in preparation for the 2010 free agent class. Rotation players John Salmons and Tyrus Thomas were shipped out for expiring contracts at the trade deadline, and the Bulls used their 2010 first-rounder to dump Kirk Hinrich and his two remaining contract years on the Wizards. Bulls fans knew to expect that most of the team that made the playoffs the past two seasons would be gone, but a strong group remained in Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, Luol Deng, and Taj Gibson with enough cap space to entice a star to join them.

Didn't work out, as the Bulls failed to land any of the top free agents. But the front office regrouped in making solid signings to fill out their roster, leading with Carlos Boozer. Boozer is one of the biggest acquisitions in franchise history, and finally ends the drought of frontcourt scoring that has plagued them for years. Coming from Jerry Sloan's Jazz, he should be a great complement in the pick/roll game with Rose on offense, and also fits in well on defense alongside an athletic tall big like Noah.

With Boozer in the fold as the team's major piece, the Bulls worked to fill out their collection of wings, making solid signings in young veterans Kyle Korver, CJ Watson, and Ronnie Brewer. Each filling a role and two of them having played with Boozer in Utah, these weren't inherently exciting signings, but were smart moves to be made in the wake of missing out on the biggest fish of free agency.

The Bulls also made a major change in firing Vinny Del Negro and hiring long-time NBA assistant Tom Thibodeau, who had become one of the league's hottest coaching candidates after gaining notoriety as architect of the Celtics defense. While a first-time head coach like Del Negro, Thibodeau comes in with a much more accomplished resume.


2. What are the team’s biggest strengths? 

Star-divide


Defense, rebounding, and overall physicality. With all the faults of the Vinny Del Negro era (and oh, there were many), he did have the Bulls playing as a top-10 defense for most of the season (finished 11th after the midseason trades and an injury to Noah). Anchored by Joakim Noah (one of the best help defenders in the game and an improving shotblocker) and supplemented by an underrated perimeter defender in Deng, Thibodeau's defense-first mindset should fit in well with this roster.

Kirk Hinrich will be missed on that end of the floor, but he was always undersized for the position compared to new acquisition Ronnie Brewer. Boozer isn't known as a great defender but he's a physical one, and Noah ought to cover a lot of his mistakes. The bigs off the bench include second-year player Taj Gibson and rookie Omer Asik, the former having proven to be an above-average defender and the latter excelling in shotblocking while playing overseas.

A big concern will be the maturation of Derrick Rose on that end of the floor, but while we can't buy into mere words, Rose at least acknowledges the problem and maintained it will be a focus of improvement, and a special project of Thibodeau.

The Bulls also should augment that D with very good rebounding, as their entire starting frontcourt of Deng, Boozer, and Noah is amongst the best at their positions. They are simply a big and athletic lineup overall, from Rose's superlative strength as a point guard on through Brewer and that frontcourt. A lot of teams in recent Bulls history came in with an inherent physical disadvantage, but this one certainly wont.

3. What are the team’s biggest weaknesses? 

The Bulls were one of the league's worst offenses last season due to a reliance on the least-efficient shot in basketball, the long two-point jumper. And they weren't even that successful at making those. Inside scoring should be much improved with Boozer, but the Bulls still have a glaring lack of 3-point shooting. The Bulls only shot 33% from the arc last year, exacerbated by shooting the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league. They may be shooting even fewer with Hinrich leaving, and though Korver is one of the best marksmen in the league he'll be coming off the bench.

Rose spent this summer working on increasing his range, and Deng always seems just a foot away (literally) from becoming more of a threat, but this will be a major issue for the Bulls offense this season as opponents will likely pack the lane to defend the drives of Rose and crowd Boozer in the post. Thibodeau has mentioned an increased emphasis on the 3-point shot as opposed to Del Negro's offense, but they simply may not have the personnel to keep opponents honest.

4. What are the goals for this team?

After two seasons of water-treading as collateral damage for reaching roster flexibility, the time is now for the Bulls to start building towards title contention. They're not at that tier yet, and the superteam in Miami (joining incumbents Orlando and Boston) may always keep them a step below.

But the Bulls should be out of defined mediocrity and up towards the top half of the conference, battling the Hawks and Bucks for the next few playoff spots. Winning a weakened Central Division is certainly possible and would guarantee the Bulls a top-4 seed, being favored in the first round of the playoffs.

5. What could derail those goals?

The offensive woes mentioned above could keep the Bulls from 50 wins, but an unforeseeable hurdle this season could be staying healthy. Carlos Boozer missed many games in his Jazz career, and (unfairly or not) becoming known as someone willing to sit out for longer than the diagnosis would suggest. There's a worry that a new fat contract could lessen Boozer's desire, but he also has something to prove in Chicago after being effectively let go by his former team.

Joakim Noah and Taj Gibson are also to be watched on the injury front, each suffering through plantar fasciitis through last season, with Noah missing 18 games due to the injury. They should be fully ready for this season, but it's the type of injury that historically plague big men throughout their careers in some form.

Another concern is that while the suggested improvement in coaching is all but assumed, what Tom Thibodeau can do in a head coaching role is still technically an unknown. He certainly won't fail due to lack of preparation, but there are certain things that a new coach can't be prepared for until he takes that lead position, and there may be growing pains especially in locker room management. The Bulls did a good job this offseason signing players with a set rotation (and hierarchy) in mind, hopefully easing the transition for Thibodeau.

Prediction:

What the Bulls do have that can mask a lot of deficiencies is a budding star in Derrick Rose. He'll pull out games that maybe they shouldn't win, and if he makes the improvements to his game and leaps into stardom, they really have a roster that complements him well.

I'm not counting on any major setbacks, but the Bulls path to 50 wins will see minor challenges throughout the season keeping them just short. The more important thing is that with a lot of new players and a new coach, the Bulls should improve over the course of the season, playing their best ball when it's time for that first round playoff matchup. Ideally at home.


Record: 48-34

Comment 66 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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Bulls should be a lock for 50+ wins

Only real potential problem I see is if both Boozer and Deng go down for long periods at the same time.

They probably will end up playing around 60 games, and as long as they are good to go in the playoffs, Bulls could potentially challenge to at least the conference championship, where Godzilla will probably be waiting.

"in this day and age of "let's erect a statue"-isn't it time Jerry Reinsdorf is honored" - The Swirsk

by RogersPark Kris on Sep 28, 2010 10:01 AM CDT reply actions  

i predict we finish third behind the florida teams

That’s if we have absolutely no injuries

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 10:15 AM CDT reply actions  

Bulls can absorb injuries

Pretty much every team in the NBA can deal with injuries and still hit their wins mark. If Boozer misses 5-10 games … a Taj and Noah front court works fine ( for regular season games). Korver and can fill in for Deng for 5-7 games.

I don’t see a situation where they survive a stretch without Derrick or Noah.

by Jscho316 on Sep 28, 2010 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

addendum

reason I am optimistic about playing through injuries….with a good coach ( which I think Thib is) your injured team just has to beat the injured team you go up against.

No greater example than last years Milwaukee Bucks. Without Bogut and Redd, Skiles had that team beating equally injured or healthier teams down the stretch because he out coached most of the idiot coaches in the NBA.

by Jscho316 on Sep 28, 2010 12:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

and John Salmons played out of his mind.

It’s funny that Bucks fans are expecting similar production out of him this year.

Teams without Chapu lost 1173 games during the 2009-'10 season.

by chapuforyou on Sep 28, 2010 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

Salmons played the same as he did for us the year before essetnially

The reason he didn’t do that in CHicago is that we in VDN’s system wanted him to spread the floor first, drive second because we had Deng out there at the more ideal with our structure system.

THey had guys like Illyasova and well Jennings even though post mid Dec he couldn’t shoot….still after that 50+ pt game folks were geared, etc to spread the floor a bit.

Salmons reverted back to his drive game and a few drives opens him up for a shot, which makes him more effective.

In the way we were structured he would have been much better at the 3 in Del Negro’s “system”…..on O.

2010-2011: I put the Scottie-Barkley Rockets feud curse on the Wade-James-Bosh trio.....

by majoyenrac on Sep 28, 2010 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

brandon jennings must be writing that blog now

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 10:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

The backup center is ....

Drew Gooden.

Backup PG is Keyon Dooling.

I’m guessing 41 wins for Milwaukee. I think thats optimistic for them.

by JockstrapNoah on Sep 28, 2010 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions  

i always thought dooling was a good backup?

Weret a lot of people here wanting him for our backup?

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

He was actually pretty good

But I know was hurt most of last year and perhaps a piece of th eyear before.

What’s he though 32/33? He’s not bad as a backup when healthy if he can get to his former self again.

2010-2011: I put the Scottie-Barkley Rockets feud curse on the Wade-James-Bosh trio.....

by majoyenrac on Sep 28, 2010 3:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

Huh??

They 46 with Bogut going down towards the end of the season. LAST year. Now they’ve got Salmons for a full year and they’ll barely get to .500?

by Stacey_Is_King on Sep 28, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

One year is not indicative of a trend.

By that logic the Hinrich lead Bulls would never have fallen off the way they did.

by Dr. Handsome, D.D.S. on Sep 28, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

but these are all predictions

And those bulls were predicted to be good the following year. Most of these are based on the previous season and based on that alone there’s no reason to believe they can’t hit at least 45ish wins

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 1:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't recall saying that

But I don’t think it is any smarter to just assume that they will build on a single successful season unless you can accurately forecast how all of these players will play. Not unless you can prove that Jennings will build on what he did last year and if Bogut will return to form after the injury and that Salmons will stay the course he started with at Milwaukee last year. Based on the personnel and their history (those who have relevent history) I would not assume that they would improve at all.

by Dr. Handsome, D.D.S. on Sep 28, 2010 5:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

They had Gadzuric and Thomas

last year as bigs off the bench. Now they have Drew Gooden, thats got to be a step down. Salmons is tough but he has to share the ball with Maggette. Ridnour was huge for them last year, and he’s gone to Minnesota. Their starting 5 is good but I don’t see them having the depth they did last year.

by JockstrapNoah on Sep 28, 2010 1:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

how is that a step down?

Gadzuric and Thomas both blow. Gooden may be a space cadet but he can produce.

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"Don't nag, flag!"

by your friendly BullsBlogger on Sep 28, 2010 1:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

you lose two inches!

thats about the only advantage they had but yes i agree gooden is an upgrade for them

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 2:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

I guess its the lack of any 'center' other than Bogut that has me

looking at Drew Gooden as a downgrade. He’s a productive player and a great rebounder, but also a ball stopper and he’s never been known as a great defender as a power forward (106 defensive rating the past couple of years with 4 teams). Looking at 82games he did have some minutes at Center last year and was generally outperformed by his opponent.

Gadzuric and Thomas are both old and have declined but at least they both have a defensive rating of 100, which fits my image of them as defenders first, then offensive players.

The four 6-10 and better players for Milwaukee are Gooden, Bogut, Larry Sanders and Illyasova. We can’t say what Larry Sanders will do, but for the other three than only one offering any interior defense is Bogut. After him the defense is thin and small for the Bucks.

Gooden is a better player than Gadzuric and Thomas, but what he brings is offense but he’s not going to get touches on offense based on who he’s playing with (Jennings, Salmons, Maggette, Illaysova, etc).

by JockstrapNoah on Sep 28, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

with a 7'6" wingspan, Larry Sanders is a legitimate center

Gadzuric and Thomas were both worthless for the Bucks, which is why they went small with guys like Moute and Ilyasova playing down low when Bogut went out.

Jennings/Dooling
Salmons/Redd/CDR
Delfino/Maggette/Brockman
Ilyasova/Gooden/Moute
Bogut/Sanders

The last problem that team has is depth.

by darksmokepuncher on Sep 28, 2010 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I was definitely being hyperbolic

by saying 41 wins, 50 wins is optimistic for them, but if Sanders turns out well for them I can see that helping a lot. Jennings is a wild card too, in the same way that Rose is. The amount of improvement he makes this year will affect Milwaukee’s fortunes big time.

by JockstrapNoah on Sep 28, 2010 2:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

I completely agree.

I honestly think barring serious injuries or Skiles driving the Bucks to insanity that both teams will be neck and neck.

On a somewhat related note, I saw Jennings around town (milwaukee) the other day. It doesn’t look like anyone told him to try lifting a weight every now and then….

by darksmokepuncher on Sep 28, 2010 3:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gooden's not a bad pickup for them short term

He’s a great backup PF who can play an occasional C time well. He will have a monster game every so often in between the space cadet games.

2010-2011: I put the Scottie-Barkley Rockets feud curse on the Wade-James-Bosh trio.....

by majoyenrac on Sep 28, 2010 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

their depth is far better than last year

the only real loss is Ridnour.

As yfbb already stated, Gooden is a definite upgrade over Gadzuric and Thomas.
Given Skiles’ penchant for defense, I don’t see him benching Delfino for Maggette. So their starting five is the same as last year and they add Corey Maggette and CDR to their bench for offense. They are better off than they were last year.

by darksmokepuncher on Sep 28, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Our backup center is Kurt Thomas

And our backup PG is CJ Watson.

Edge: Bucks

Pat Riley is the devil.

by Poloplaya14 on Sep 28, 2010 3:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I wonder what the total wins predicted is for the SBNation blogs.

Are all the previews up today? I’m guessing the average record is like 44-38.

by cubbybear on Sep 28, 2010 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions  

Pretty well written and, overall, pretty balanced.

I’m guessing that the lack of realism from other bloggers’ predictions about their own teams tempered your own prediction for the Bulls?

That, and the fact that your vibe is one of caution more than unbridled optimism. After all, where’s the opportunity for analysis in having a blog of unbridled optimism all the time?

"It’d be ridiculous to hate someone for simply what they say in a sports blog. But I greatly dislike every syllable of your angst-filled, smarmy, nondescript, half-assed, elitist-garbage responses." –Rogerspark Kris

by bullhockey on Sep 28, 2010 10:46 AM CDT reply actions  

Good preview

but what’s Boozer holding in that pic?

Fukudometer: Created 3/31/08 Wrigley Debut 4/5/08 WGN and Japan TV Debut 4/6/08 Sun Times Debut: 4/20/08 Coffee Table Debut: 7/17/08 (http://www.wearecubsfans.com)

by Fukudometer on Sep 28, 2010 11:49 AM CDT reply actions  

I'll echo the "well written, balanced" sentiment.

I couldn’t agree more that the Bulls should be a better playoff team than their season record may indicate. Just a gut feeling though.

by kthrapp on Sep 28, 2010 12:04 PM CDT reply actions  

I just had a dream last night

The Bulls won the NBA Championship. It was amazing! :D

But unfortunately I woke up… (True story, and yes it’s the first time I ever dreamt about the Bulls…)

I stick by my prediction that The Bullies will win the Central and beat the Bucks by 5-10 games.

by BAB-Bass on Sep 28, 2010 12:19 PM CDT reply actions  

so when can we start signing up for game previews?

or is our team to bigtime now to have us measly bloggers writing about them on this most prestigious of basketball blogs? i got about three months of frustration at the hands of Heat fans to spew onto a typepad. i got dibs on the three Heat games.

the thigh bone is not connected to the free throw bone.- Shaquille O'Neal

by BULLieving in Miami on Sep 28, 2010 12:39 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

ill take the denver ones

And tyger can get the memphis ones

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 1:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

and wjb could do the wizard ones

I dont care what the D.N.A. Says, the Guy wearing number 12 Cannot be Kirk Hinrich, he is definetly Kurt. Kirk can actually play basketball!

by piccolomair on Sep 28, 2010 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

pan to a shot of me saying

Hey, I go to all the Bulls games in DC!

by torch on Sep 29, 2010 6:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

i just want a bit of a hinrich bias in there

and wjb is the most neutral (or respected i suppose) of hinrich fans…or something like that…shes generally good at game previews

I dont care what the D.N.A. Says, the Guy wearing number 12 Cannot be Kirk Hinrich, he is definetly Kurt. Kirk can actually play basketball!

by piccolomair on Sep 29, 2010 4:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

That was all just a ploy to make yfBB appear unreasonably harsh ;)

I hope we get to do game previews again – they’re generally a blast to write.

I’m a bit partial to the games where the Bulls are huge underdogs, though, and I’m counting on not having very many of those this season.

by wjb1492 on Sep 29, 2010 8:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

good question.

maybe I’ll get the ball rolling for preseason. I certainly don’t want to write previews for those.

BaB on Twitter | BaB on Facebook
"Don't nag, flag!"

by your friendly BullsBlogger on Sep 28, 2010 1:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

please actually write them

"Sportsmanship is just loser talk for losing."

by boyonthedock on Sep 30, 2010 5:42 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Good write-up

im geeked for the season

man, fuck you! by palmpre on Sep 2, 2010 2:30 PM EDT

by Belize on Sep 28, 2010 2:40 PM CDT reply actions  

You and me both.

Teams without Chapu lost 1173 games during the 2009-'10 season.

by chapuforyou on Sep 28, 2010 4:40 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

HAHA! =D

man, fuck you! by palmpre on Sep 2, 2010 2:30 PM EDT

by Belize on Sep 28, 2010 5:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

What is the patch just above the right breast on the jersey?

Right to the player, left to the viewer.

I can predict the future using Norm Van Lier's crystal balls.

"Sam has a tendency to denigrate reports coming from any reporter who didn’t also cover the day Naismith first put up the peach baskets." - snley

by NBA Observer on Sep 28, 2010 3:40 PM CDT reply actions  

i mentioned it in the other thread

its a patch commemorating the 20th anniversary of our first title.
sad huh? we’re still hanging onto a title from two decades ago

This may go down as the most retarded decade in NBA history.

by sin on Sep 28, 2010 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

This city tends to do that

See Chicago Bears.

Doesn’t seem very moral to me. Might as well take Satan’s autograph while you’re at it. - N.C.

by Illini0509 on Sep 28, 2010 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

The 3-0 Chicago Bears!

it is so frustrating that the best place to chat about the bulls is dominated by a whiny drama queen moderator with a man crush on an average SG......6 recs

by BigforkBullsFan on Sep 28, 2010 4:50 PM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Just think of the poor Blazer fans...

They don’t even have other teams to stick in the equation.

by wjb1492 on Sep 29, 2010 8:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

according to basketball reference's Win Shares stat the new guys are worth 8 more

wins than the guys who left. so if you believe in point differential more than raw win-loss totals, Win Shares has the bulls winning 44 games this year. id buy 44 before id buy 50 with this team, i know that much.

"If I was to answer that question honestly, I would have to lie to you."

- Isiah Thomas, when asked if any teams were interested in trading for Shandon Anderson

by TheMoon on Sep 28, 2010 4:51 PM CDT reply actions  

I think the Bulls are going to be a solid team, but...

one area I feel they’ll struggle with is early offense. I don’t think they have the shooters to realize the potential of transition 3s.

That being said, they’re going to rebound well, and they have the legs and skill to push the ball in transition. They’re equipped to consistently dictate tempo.

In the halfcourt, I don’t think they have the ideal configuration of shooters, but Noah and Boozer will help space the floor. Brewer and Deng should be pretty involved in the offense, as they’ll need to cut. As Noah and Boozer are pretty good passers, the wingmen should see some decent success. The Rose/Boozer screen game should be their bread-and-butter

I think Deng will have a really good season. He may not have ideal range, but he’s a good mid-range shooter and I look for him to be kind of like a limited Ray Allen, using screens and curls to free himself up for good looks.

I look for the bench to look for early offense(transition 3s with Korver and Watson), but not force the issue over all. Generally, the tempo is going to be a bit slower. Defensively, I expect them to emphasize transition D. So, expect Gibson and Kurt Thomas to set picks up top, instead of setting up down low, and sprinting back down the floor instead of crashing the offensive glass.

"I've hacked into your brain. You're throwing a party and no one's showing up."

by ignign*kt on Sep 28, 2010 5:48 PM CDT reply actions  

I can just see Garpax faces reading this:

“Oh crap!” We did all of this just to get 7 more wins and a few more injuries! lol. No seriously though, I think 50+ is a very high possibility and even though a championship will be a little too hard to get this year, a second round should be a very realistic goal, then we move on and expect to see some fireworks in the next few years. I really hope Noah and even Deng stick around for a couple more years, stay healthy, and show their mettle!

by BullsFan22 on Sep 28, 2010 6:46 PM CDT reply actions  

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