FanPost

Guard stat musings

As the Bulls signed guards (shading over into small forwards) this offseason, I went and looked up some key stats that I was interested in and compared them with Bulls players from last year.  My musings based on those stat comparisons follow after the jump.  (Stats are for last year unless otherwise noted.  For players that were traded mid-season, the stats are for only the portion of the year that they were on the Bulls)

Ronnie Brewer is a very different player from anyone else in my comparisons.  His jumpshot percentage is way lower, at about 48%.  The next lowest are Rose and Deng, with 68% and 69%.  Brewer's close percentage is higher, at around 35%.  Again, Rose and Deng are closest, with 30% and 26%.  Brewer's dunk percentage is off the charts, at 17%.  Nobody else is above 3%.  Not surprisingly, his foul drawing percentage is also highest, although it dropped from 18.1% in 08 to 13.2% in 09.  Deng and Redick were closest at about 12.7%.  So what that tells me is the guy is super athletic, and he probably gets a ton of his points in transition or on backdoor cuts.  Brewer's eFG% on jumpshots dropped from 38.8% in 08 to 33.8% in 09.  Even the 38.8% number would be the lowest on the list.  Closest comparisons are Murray at 39.9% and Deng at 42.4%.  So Brewer is next to useless in terms of spreading the floor.  That is backed up by his 25.8% on 0.6 3PA/36.  Other than Rose's 26.7%, everyone else is over 30% on treys.  And other than Rose (0.8), Deng (1.1), and Watson (2.9), everyone else takes over 4 3PA/36.  Overall, Brewer's PER dropped from 16.1 in 08 to 12.5 in 09, which moves him from second (behind only Rose) to almost last (only ahead of Hinrich and Murray).  So we all need to hope that 09 was an aberration, not a trend.  His usage dropped from 18.8 (behind only Rose and Deng) to 13.9 (last by a lot).  His TS% dropped from 56.5 (behind only Korver and Redick) to 52.4 (ahead of only Murray and Hinrich).  His Ast% and A/TO did increase, though.  His best Ast%, however, is still only ahead of Deng, Salmons, and Murray, though his best A/TO ties Hinrich for the lead.  So he's an adequate ballhandler at best, but he lives within his limitations and doesn't force much.  His Stl% of 2.7% is a hair behind Watson and quite a ways ahead of third place Salmons, at 2.0%.

 

Kyle Korver, I think we all know exactly what he is - a one dimensional spot-up shooter.  Pretty much the opposite of Brewer in every respect.  92% of his shots are jumpshots.  Hinrich and Redick are closest at 86% and 84%.  Korver's eFG% on jumpshots was 60.1%, again first by a significant margin, and again followed by Redick (52.7%) and Hinrich (47.7%).  He was assisted on 94% of his jumpshots, so he's purely a catch-and-shoot guy.  Korver's 3P% of 53.6% speaks for itself.  Surprisingly, his 3PA/36 of 4.2 was behind Redick (5.5) and Murray (4.8), and about the same as Salmons and Hinrich.  Korver only drew fouls on 4.1% of his shots.  Only Hinrich's 5.3% was close.  His Ast% of 13.9% puts him in company with Watson and Redick, so for a SF/SG, he passes quite well.  His A/TO of 2.1 is just a touch above Salmons and Murray; normally, I would expect a pure shooter to have fewer TO.  His PER was 13.9, above Hinrich, Murray, and the 09 version of Brewer, and basically tied with Watson.  His usage was 16.2, which is on the low side, and his TS% was 62%, which is amazing.

 

C.J. Watson, I'm pretty excited about.  I just wish he were tall enough to play alongside Rose.  However, playing for Golden State could be skewing all of his statistics.  Watson is middle of the road on shot profile, with 77% jump shots and 22% close.  His eFG% on jumpshots was 45.8, just a little below Salmons, Rose, and Hinrich, but his eFG% on close shots was 69.2%, tops among the bunch.  I'm not sure what that mean; maybe he makes a lot of layups?  He was only assisted on 56% of his jumpshots.  Rose's 30% was lower, but almost everyone else was in the high 60's.  So Watson is definitely capable of creating for himself.  His foul drawing percentage of 11.7% was just above Rose and Salmons and just below Redick and Deng.  Watson's PER of 13.8 was about the same as Korver's, as was his usage of 16.  His TS% of 55.6 was behind only Korver, Redick, and Brewer vintage 08.  His 3p% of 31% and 3PA/36 of 2.9 show that the long ball is part of his repertoire but not necessarily a strength.  His Ast% of 14.3% is a little low for a PG, behind Rose's 30.3% and Hinrich's 20.5%.  His A/TO of 2.6 is solid, though, so he takes care of the ball.  His Stl% of 2.8% leads the group.

FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

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