Game-by-Game Predictions
With only 25 games remaining this season, I figured it’s about time to go game-by-game through the remaining schedule in an attempt to determine what the Bulls’ final record will look like. I plan on updating this fanpost after each game with actual results, and potentially changing some predictions if there are any fundamental changes to the Bulls or opponents as a result of injuries, signings, etc.
Below is the Bulls’ remaining schedule. Next to each game I have marked my prediction (W or L) as well as my confidence level in that prediction (1-10). I have tried not to be too radical in my predictions; they are largely based upon record and basic matchups. If I feel as though an explanation is necessary, I will include a short justification. Feel free to tear me apart and make your own predictions as well.
In looking at the remaining schedule, it becomes immediately apparent that the Bulls still have some work to do. There is a four game road trip against +500 teams in mid March. Then, April is just flat out scary, as the Bulls will face their closest competition for playoff spots and playoff positioning (Milwaukee, Toronto, and Charlotte twice), as well as Cleveland and Boston. Perhaps the only pushover teams the Bulls play in April are Washington and New Jersey, but as we all know, the Bulls are more than capable of dropping these games as well.
So without further ado…
Feb 26 - Portland: W7 (Looks like Camby won't play, and we all know Miller can't guard Rose!)
Feb 27 - @ Indiana: W8
Mar 1 - Atlanta: L7 (It's at home, but with Noah questionable and Tyrus gone, it doesn't look good.)
Mar 4 - Memphis: W5 (Let's hope Noah is back so as to mitigate their frontcourt size and strength.)
Mar 6 - Dallas: L6
Mar 9 - Utah: W3 (Bulls have matched up well with Utah lately. Plus they'll have 3 days of rest...maybe Noah is healthy by then too??)
Mar 11 - @ Orlando: L8
Mar 12 - @ Miami: W6 (Miami seems to be unraveling, but Wade has a penchant for hitting miracle shots against the Bulls...still, I think the Bulls starters will rest for the 4th quarter against Orlando and pull this one out.)
Mar 16 - @ Memphis: L5
Mar 17 - @ Dallas: L6
Mar 19 - Cleveland: L8
Mar 20 - @ Philadelphia: W7 (Again - unfortunately - I think the starters will get plenty of rest the night before.)
Mar 22 - Houston: W7
Mar 25 - Miami: L5 (See above about Wade vs. the Bulls.)
Mar 27 - New Jersey: W6 (Trap game, but we can't lose twice to the worst team in history...right?)
Mar 28 - @ Detroit: W7 (I'm sorry BG. You deserve better.)
Mar 30 - Phoenix: L6
Apr 2 - @ Washington: W8 (As long as Obama isn't in attendance.)
Apr 3 - Charlotte: L6 (The return of Tyrus Thomas!! I don't think this one will go very well...especially if Noah is still hurting).
Apr 6 - Milwaukee: W6 (If it was away, I'd say we lose. At home? They'll take care of business.)
Apr 8 - Cleveland: L8 (Unless the Lebrons have already tied up home court advantage.)
Apr 9 - @ New Jersey: W5 (Another trap game, but they'll get it done.)
Apr 11 - @ Toronto: L6 (And it will be the difference between the 5 seed and 6 seed.)
Apr 13 - Boston: W5 (Between the rivalry and the Celtics' injury problems, I say the Bulls take them down.)
Apr 14 - @ Charlotte: L6 (Unless Charlotte is already out of the playoff hunt.)
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Final Record: 43 - 39, 6th in Eastern Conference
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Not a condemnation by any means
but rather an idea. There’s a fair amount of variability between the expected result and the actual result. If you care to take the time, perhaps you could take each game and give what you think the Bulls chances are for each game on a scale 2-9 (2 being certain loss, 9 being certain win). Then take a random number generator to simulate the results.
For example, say you give the Bulls a 7. Then when you run the generator between the numbers 1 and 10, if the number that is spat out is 8 or above chalk that up to a loss. If it’s 7 or below count it as a win.
For the scale I said 2-9 so that there is still a small chance for an upset in the “certain” situations.
Obviously the more you run this “simulation” the closer the results will come to matching the set values you place.
-Jeeves Life in the Cell
I don't know if I agree with each game
but I do think 13-12 to finish out the season sounds like a possibility.
Joakim on whether he ever tried tennis: "I played a little bit. If anybody on the Bulls wanted to play me, I would kick their ass."
i read your first prediction
and stopped reading further. Bulls win against the Blazers with a certainty of 7? sure we have a chance of winning, but Brandon Roy is back, the blazers are favorites.
Practice beats talent when talent doesn't practice.
Is it mandatory for someone to respond to every BAB post with
“I stopped reading after _________”???
by Diz on Feb 25, 2010 6:28 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
interesting how
you totally ignore my argument, but focus on the words i use…..
Practice beats talent when talent doesn't practice.
by iamsasquatch on Feb 26, 2010 1:27 AM CST up reply actions
Sorry I stopped reading after "interesting how" (just joking!)
I realize the Bulls are the underdog for this game, but I also feel that Hinrich matches up well defensively against Roy, and Rose matches up well offensively against Miller. Though Taj will have his hands full with LMA! Also, the game is at home, and they might be without Camby, which should mitigate the fact that the Bulls are essentially without Noah.
It would be no fun at all if I just went through and gave the team with the better record the win every time. Plus this would be inaccurate, as the Bulls are bound to beat some teams better than them and lose to some that are worse. This is just one that I think (and hope) the Bulls will win!
fine so then give them a W3 or something
or are you more certain that we win against the blazers than we do against the new jersey nets??? if so, that could really kill your credibility…
Practice beats talent when talent doesn't practice.
by iamsasquatch on Feb 26, 2010 12:02 PM CST up reply actions

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