Playoff Seeding Primer

Hopefully this is of use to someone -- I was interested to see how the playoff seedings/tiebreakers would break down (and primarily the implications it would have for the Bulls), so thought I might compile this in case anyone else is interested:

1. Cleveland - 65-15 (clinched first): remaining games are @ Indiana, vs. Philadelphia.

2. Boston - 60-20 (2-2 in season series with Orlando, division record 14-1, conference record 39-10 -- UPDATE: Boston has clinched 2nd): remaining games are @ Philadelphia and vs. Washington.

3. Orlando - 58-22 (division record 13-2, conference record 36-14 -- UPDATE: Orlando has clinched 3rd): remaining games are @ Milwaukee and vs. Charlotte.

4. Atlanta - 46-34 (clinched 4th): remaining games are vs. Miami and @ Memphis.

5. Miami - 42-38 (2-2 season series with Philadelphia, 3-1 season series with Chicago, 2-1 season series against Detroit, division record 9-6, conference record 26-23 -- UPDATE: Miami has clinched 5th by virtue of a better conference record than Chicago and Philadelphia): remaining games are @ Atlanta and vs. Detroit.

6. Philadelphia - 40-40 (2-2 season series with Chicago, 2-1 season series with Detroit, division record 6-9, conference record 24-26): remaining games are vs Boston and @ Cleveland.

7. Chicago - 40-40 (2-1 season series with Detroit, division record 8-7, conference record 23-27): remaining games are @ Detroit and vs. Toronto.

8. Detroit - 39-41 (division record 7-8, conference record 26-24): remaining games are vs. Chicago and @ Miami.

Order of Tiebreakers (I haven't listed tiebreakers that are irrelevant to Chicago, or those that could not occur):

1. Head-to-head won-lost percentage.

2. Division won-lost percentage.

3. Conference won-lost percentage.

Implications for Chicago's seeding:

1. To finish 5th: Chicago MUST finish with a better overall record than Miami (Miami would win tiebreaker by virtue of winning the season series) -- Chicago can no longer win the 5th seed.

2. To finish 6th: Chicago MUST finish with a better record than Philadelphia; OR with an equal record to Philadelphia, AND either Chicago MUST beat Detroit OR Philadelphia MUST lose to Boston or Toronto (That way, Chicago would win the tiebreaker by virtue of better division record. If Chicago lost to Detroit and Philadelphia beat both Boston and Toronto, Chicago would finish 7th because of its worse conference record).

3. To finish 7th: Chicago MUST have a better record than Detroit (UPDATE: Noted that if Chicago beats Detroit, then 7th is sealed); OR Chicago MUST have an equal record to Detroit AND Chicago MUST beat Detroit (If both teams have equal records and Chicago loses to Detroit, both teams would have equal division records and Detroit wins 7th because of its better conference record).

NB: I've updated the records and scenarios in this post.

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