FanPost

January-Basketball on Paper Style

[ UPDATE: Scotter's also done the same work for Nov+Dec -ed.

From the FanPosts. I'll even add a couple numbers via David Thorpe (naturally, given the subjects): PER since December 1st (up until the Suns game) for Deng was 18.03, for Thomas 17.57. With Deng's PER over 21 in January -ed.]

There's been a lot of discussion about what's happened in January.  I calculated some of the advanced statistics for the month of January since advanced splits aren't available online.  Here's January:

January USG% TO% eFG% TS% ORtg DRtg Poss OR% DR% FTr AS% MIN
TEAM 20.0 15.5 48.5 52.9 106.7 107.6 1492.6 29.4 74.3 22.0 61.3
OPP 20.0 15.0 48.6 54.2 107.6 106.7 1490.6 25.7 70.6 28.0 54.4
Rose 24.1 14.5 44.8 47.5 100.7 112.8 261.7 4.3 6.6 11.6 32.3 570
Gordon 23.4 17.4 49.6 54.9 103.3 111.5 252.2 1.8 8.7 25.1 17.5 565
Thomas 17.7 12.4 45.9 54.0 112.2 102.8 153.2 7.9 16.1 38.3 6.9 455
Deng 19.9 9.9 51.0 56.8 117.1 105.2 152.1 6.4 21.3 28.6 10.5 402
Nocioni 19.3 14.1 46.1 51.8 100.7 107.6 141.7 1.7 19.7 23.9 6.9 386
Noah 15.6 14.7 56.6 54.0 115.2 104.8 108.7 17.5 20.4 10.8 6.3 366
Hinrich 19.3 20.7 49.4 52.7 102.9 109.1 111.3 3.0 8.8 18.0 28.9 302
Sefolosha 15.6 21.0 52.1 55.1 103.3 105.9 80.8 5.4 21.3 12.9 13.5 272
Gooden 22.3 9.4 47.6 54.6 115.9 108.5 84.9 10.1 21.7 29.3 9.5 200
Gray 16.0 23.4 55.9 58.5 105.8 106.6 47.1 8.0 21.1 26.5 12.0 154
Hughes 22.5 21.1 42.9 47.5 87.1 107.5 61.6 1.6 14.2 19.6 12.1 144
Hunter 18.8 29.3 45.0 46.0 83.4 107.7 27.3 1.5 3.2 10.0 25.0 76
Simmons 21.0 0.0 60.0 57.4 124.1 109.2 9.6 14.0 10.0 20.0 0.0 24

Statistically this was a .500 team that went 7 and 9.  The one encouraging sign was that the team performed much better on the defensive boards than earlier in the season.  Deng, Sefolosha, and even Nocioni were all back to their career norms after very poor starts by all three on the defensive boards.

It was a terrible offensive month for all the perimeter players.  Gordon, Hinrich, Sefolosha, and Nocioni all had offensive ratings below 104.   Derrick had an especially bad month with a TS% below 48% and a free throw rate that was basically last on the team.  The other guards had serious turnover issues in January.  When Nocioni is taking a shot every time he touches it, a turnover rate of 14% is a serious problem.  And so is getting out rebounded on the offensive boards by Ben Gordon.

If there's a bright spot this month it's the play of Thomas, Deng, and Noah.  Thomas had a solid month.  He was able to make 46% of his FGA.  That's how low the threshold is for him to be an effective offensive player because he gets to the FT line so much.  Deng was pretty close to what he was in 06/07.  Noah's usage rate was up so he was much more involved offensively, while still playing efficient offense.

It's only one month so the usual caveats apply, but there's at least a glimmer of hope.  If those three could maintain their January level of play this team could be what many of us hoped it could be with some improved play by the guards.  And of course if Gooden, Nocioni, and Hughes would just magically disappear from the roster, I could really enjoy this team.  If they were terrible, which I don't believe that they would be, at least they would be terrible with a purpose.

 

FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

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