Assessing the value of Hinrich, Gordon, etc.
[From the FanPosts. A must-read when it comes to thinking about a future Bulls backcourt. -ed]
With the all the arguing over whether to keep Gordon or Hinrich or both. And with Derrick Rose potentially altering a backcourt that has been essentially the same for four seasons, I thought it might be worthwhile to take a look at the history of the team's backcourt over the last three seasons. Hinrich, Gordon, and Duhon have played over 89% of the available minutes in the backcourt over the last four seasons and with Duhon finally not returning the backcourt will be significantly different next year even if Rose isn't selected. Since there has been so much arguing over the value of Gordon's offense or Hinrich's defense, I thought the plus/minus numbers would be worth looking at to give people an idea of their value offensively and defensively.
I took the player pairs data for the last three seasons from 82games and added up the totals for each of the three backcourt combinations of Duhon, Hinrich, and Gordon. This gave me the raw plus/minus numbers for each backcourt with a sample size of at least 2385 minutes. Because the three players played nearly all the minutes in the backcourt and all three started significant amounts of games, and because of the large sample sizes these plus/minus numbers can be looked at seriously without the need for adjustments. I pretty much knew what the results would be having looked closely at the individual seasons, but it's easier to show with the cumlative numbers.
The Bulls as a team scored 96.4 pts/48 min with Duhon on the floor over the last three seasons. They scored 97.5 with Hinrich on the floor and 99.9 pts/48 min with Gordon on the floor. What's interesting about the offensive numbers is that whether Gordon was paired with Hinrich or Duhon, the team was still able to score around 100 pts per game. And the Duhon/Hinrich packcourt produced 97 pts/game.
| Player | Duhon | Hinrich | Gordon | Duhon | Duhon | Hinrich |
| Player2 | Hinrich | Gordon | Gordon | |||
| Min | 5542 | 8166 | 7473 | 2843 | 2385 | 4808 |
| +/- | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Off | 96.4 | 97.5 | 99.2 | 97.0 | 100.6 | 99.9 |
| Def | 96.3 | 96.6 | 97.9 | 97.6 | 99.5 | 97.7 |
Gordon's scoring matters, especially because he can carry his teammates. This is seen with how each played with Thabo Sefolosha on the floor over the last two seasons. All three paired with Sefolosha a roughly equal amount of minutes. With Sefolosha and Gordon on the floor the offense only dropped to 98.8 pts. When paired with Hinrich the offense dropped to 95.9 points and then disaster struck with Duhon and an offense that scored only 93.3 points. These numbers suffer some from Thabo playing more than a quarter of minutes at SF, but they still illustrate the backcourt dynamics well.
| Player | Thabo | Thabo | Thabo | Thabo |
| Player2 | Duhon | Hinrich | Gordon | |
| Min | 2303 | 1007 | 912 | 1010 |
| +/- | -0.7 | -2.6 | -0.3 | 0.2 |
| Off | 95.4 | 93.3 | 95.9 | 98.8 |
| Def | 96.1 | 95.8 | 96.1 | 98.6 |
Now defensively notice that the defense was worse with Gordon on the floor, but notice that Hinrich/Gordon was just as good as Hinrich/Duhon. It was Duhon/Gordon combination that struggled. But, Gordon's offense allowed the team to maintain a positive point differential. Last season was the only season where the best two combinations of Hinrich, Gordon, and Duhon didn't both include Gordon, which is why his awful plus/minus this last season should be seen as an aberration.
I appreciate the value Hinrich brings to the table. If his performance rebounds to near 06/07 levels then I would place him among the ten best PGs in the league. But, if Rose is drafted and it's choice between Hinrich and Gordon. Gordon needs to be the one that stays. Hinrich's defense isn't good enough to justify playing him significant minutes out of position on both ends of the floor, especially when he is barely adequate offensively as a SG. More importantly, Gordon's value to the offense outweighs the defensive question marks. Both Gordon's defensive deficiencies and turnover problems have been greatly exaggerated. In the midst of Gordon's difficulties getting a good shot off in his last second opportunities and some dumb passes, Gordon posted a career low TO% that was the best among the Bulls' guards. Plus a lot of the that stuff will go away when the ball is in the hands of the #1 overall pick at the end of the shot clock, whether it is Rose or Beasley. In addition the Gordon/Thabo backcourt has been just as successful as the Hinrich/Thabo backcourt. And it's a lot easier for me to envision Gordon/Thabo improving defensively than Hinrich/Thabo improving offensively.
I'm also comfortable keeping Gordon if Rose is picked because I believe Rose can defend SGs. Rose is an 1'1/4" shorter than Hinrich, but he has 2" longer wingspan and the same standing reach. Rose is also 10 lbs. heavier and benched the same amount as when Hinrich was drafted. Add to that Rose's significantly greater jumping ability and it appears likely that Rose will play at least as big as Hinrich. The question will be whether he will be as relentless as Kirk is defensively. And in many cases, SG will be the easier position to defend because Rose biggest struggle defensively eight now is containing dribble penetration. It's not perfect, but it's better than playing a lesser player than Gordon just because he's taller. I hope that sheds some light on the value of the backcourt players over the last three seasons, and their value going into the future.
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Comments
Scott, you rule
I totally was probably one day going to maybe write a ‘why Gordon’s a better two-guard than Hinrich’ post, I swear :-)
Though, man this puts a lot of pressure on the Bulls concerning July 1st. They cannot go into this negotiation thinking they’re set at the guard position just because they have a lot of guards.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 12, 2008 10:17 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
It will be interesting
to see how things play out.
by sue369 on Jun 12, 2008 10:19 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Great analysis
The summary seems to be that while Hinrich and Gordon may have comparable value in the aggregate, Gordon is more valuable as a shooting guard. I believed that ten minutes ago, and now there is more evidence to support the idea.
One of the neat things with being able to use 3 years of data, is that due to the size of the sample and the extent to which minutes were shared among various players, is that the multicollinearity issues that plague some plus/minus analysis is greatly reduced.
The only area where I’d particularly disagree is on having Rose defend 2-guards; my support for a Rose/Gordon backcourt is greatly a result of Thabo’s presence. I would use Thabo liberally against teams where the matchups (i.e. Detroit) make playing Gordon 35 minutes a nasty proposition. The key to this – and where the strategy might break down – is that it relies upon a player who just signed a long-term, multimillion dollar contract to maintain a positive attitude while playing 40 minutes one night and 20 minutes the next.
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by Jivas on Jun 12, 2008 10:34 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I thought Sefolosha being around was implied.
If Gordon plays 30-35 minutes per game then Rose and Gordon are teamed in the backcourt 20-25 minutes and if Vinny manages his rotations correctly at east a 1/3 of that time can take place when the other team is also small.
The size issue in the backcourt matters more in the playoffs, which I believe the team needs to get back to before freaking out about backcourt size. It isn’t that significant a problem in the regular season, and wouldn’t be i most matchups in the playoffs.. The small backcourt hasn’t stopped the Bulls from wining 6 of the last 8 regular season games with Detroit, nor has been a significant reason for consistently losing games against any team in the regular season.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 12, 2008 11:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Couple of issues with the data
First, you’re looking at points per 48 rather than points per 100 possessions, which I think could be a big difference. A higher percentage of Gordon’s playing time is in the 4th quarter, where there is more scoring, and Gordon’s poor defense would logically lead to shorter opponent possessions, further speeding the pace. There’s no clear evidence there that the Bulls are actually better offensively with Gordon, or that Hinrich’s defense is anything less than his all-defensive team appearances would indicated.
Second, I thought it was really an odd choice to document how each player matched up with Thabo of all people. Not only has Thabo’s played a bunch of garbage minutes against non-factor competition, but Thabo is a 6’7” SG who can guard bigger players and handle the ball. It just seems like if you wanted to pick one player who would most benefit from playing Gordon, it would be Thabo. It hardly proves anything about Gordon’s overall worth.
Derrick Rose isn’t Thabo Sefolosha. While Thabo can guard opponent SGs, Rose will have a harder time. And Rose isn’t Hinrich defensively, either. You can list standing reach numbers all day, but Hinrich is an all-nba defender while Rose wasn’t even guarding star point guards he played against in the tournament. Calipari switched Antonio Anderson on Chalmers, Collison, and Augustin while Rose guarded the weaker off guards.
by YaoPau on Jun 12, 2008 10:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
1stl, 82 games only provides per 48 minutes statistics for free.
2nd, I’ve looked to see if there were significant pace differences in the various backcourts before by using basketballvalue’s data. And the various backcourts ended up playing at pace within 1 possession per game of eachother.
I chose Thabo because he’s the only other player to play significant minutes in the backcourt in the last three years. And he’s the player that will likely still be on the team no matter what happens. If your deciding to trade Hinrich or Gordon then figuring out who can play with Thabo in a 3 guard rotation is important. Who else was I supposed to include?
Hinrich is a 1 time 2nd team All-NBA defender that mostly took this last year off of defense. And most of his defensive value is harassing high usage perimeter scorers. I paid homage to Kirk’s defense in the diary, but he also got killed by 2nd rate guards all last season. He’s harassment defender, not a shut down defender.
I’ve watched all of those games several times. The reason Calipari took Rose off of the opposing point guards is because he struggles containing dribble penetration right now. His footwork and anticipation need a lot of work before he’s going to be able to cut off the quicker point guards in the NBA. If you watch his defense off the ball, he’s attentive and fights through screens. This all stuff Doug Thonus also pointed out in the Rose Bullsbeat podcast. Which is why I pointed out that SG will often be the easier position for him to defend because he doesn’t have to contain dribble penetration every trip down the floor. He’s obviously not as good as Kirk at fighting through screens right now, and he certainly hasn’t learned all the tricks. And he may never develop that defensive attitude to be an elite defender, but that doesn’t mean you can’t have him defend the 2. I never said he would have an easy time defending SGs. It’s going to take time, which is why it’s important than Gordon’s offense could cover for some of the defensive drop off.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 12, 2008 11:07 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't force Rose to guard players 3-5" taller than him
You’re developing a 19-year-old #1 overall pick, and you want to complicate things right off the bat by having him constantly switch off his man to try to guard Kobe, Wade, Roy, Hamilton, and a dozen other scoring SGs when you already know he’s not a great defender? (There aren’t nearly as many scoring point guards in the league.) Let’s guide him along smoothly, pleeeease.
To me, Hinrich over Gordon is obvious. Kirk’s our only point guard besides Rose, and Rose could use a good example to learn from. When the two play together, Hinrich will gladly guard the bigger player, letting Rose focus on developing as a point guard. And Hinrich’s game – spot up shooter, good ballhandler, good passer, great defender – seems like the perfect complement to Rose’s.
As for the other option, a Gordon/Rose backcourt spells disaster when we go up against the better PGs and SGs of the league. Do you really want Gordon guarding Billups while Rose switches onto the 6’7” Hamilton? Are you okay with Gordon guarding Tony Parker while Rose switches onto Ginobili? Gordon might be better than Hinrich, but he’s not the better fit with Rose.
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 12:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
1st. If Rose is going to be a true difference maker as an NBA PG then you have
to put the ball in his hands as much as Nash or Deron Williams have it, I doubt Rose will ever be as extreme as Chris Paul. That means who ever is playing SG will touch the ball significantly less than they have been the last four years. That devalues a lot of Kirk’s skills. Kirk isn’t any less turnover prone as an off the ball player than Gordon. His passing doesn’t matter nearly as much because when he catches the ball, he should be shooting. And if you can’t recognize the difference in consistency between Gordon and Hinrich as spot up shooters, or recognize the difference in ability in terms of coming off screens and getting open off the ball between Hinrich and Gordon then I can’t help you see the light? If Hinrich is handling the ball less, he’s doing less of what he does best offensively. And if he’s handling the ball, he’s taking it out of Rose’s hands. If it’s a contest to see who can play more like Ray Allen then you know who wins.
Sure I have Rose guards those guys for the 10-15 minutes per game where they would be cross matched like that. What’s the worst that happens? He gets scored by the best players in the world? It happens If Rose is going to be a superstar, he has to be near elite on the defensive end and I’d rather have him motivated to get there by going against the best in the league than sheltering him on that end of the floor.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 13, 2008 1:11 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A couple of comments
Actually, both Gordon and Hinrich do well coming off screens. That was one of the big reasons they were so hard to defend a long time ago, it seems, is because they both use screens effectively to get open jump shots with rhythm. Though they tend to go to different parts of the floor, Gordon in the corners and Hinrich to the free throw line.
There is also this perception that Rose should be the primary ball handler when he is on the floor and it is a lot to ask of him, especially right off the bat. And if i was coaching against a Rose/Gordon back court all i would do is back court traps, then half court traps, full court pressure and challenge them to get the ball up court without turning it over. The best counter the bulls would have is to put Sef at the 3 and either take Deng out or put him at the 4. The reason the trapping would work is using Roses inexperience against him, a trap with NBA quality players is much different than anything he faced in college.
Thats not to say i like a Rose/Hinrich back court either because Hinrich isnt a tough guard especially an athletic 2-guard that can either prevent him from running through screens or being quick enough to fight through them and take away his biggest weapon.
So what I am trying to say is neither Hinrich or Gordon is ideal but we all can agree that Hughes sucks and should trade him to a NBDL team for 36 of the microfiber balls that no one liked
by wojcmic1 on Jun 13, 2008 1:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
All good points, except
Rose is 19. He’s not a true difference maker, yet. He’s not an elite defender, yet. And he’s not Chris Paul or Deron Williams or Steve Nash, yet. Those guys didn’t become great until they were 22, 23, and 28 years old. Rose is a teenager that hasn’t played a minute of professional basketball.
So I don’t want the ball always in Rose’s hands right away. I don’t want him guarding 6’7” 20ppg players night after night right away. And I don’t want him to have to carry the load of being the only player on the team with developed passing ability right away. Let’s guide him along this first year – give him a veteran point guard to learn from, who can take some of that load off him and allow him time to grow. The Bulls aren’t in a rush to win now anyway (we suck).
Besides, if your main argument is that Gordon is a more consistent shooter, well… there’s not that big of a difference. Kirk, at 37.7% career from 3s, is no slouch himself, and I don’t see how Ben’s slight shooting advantage makes up for everything Kirk can add to a Rose team. If I’m Portland or Sacramento or Cleveland – with a big point guard that’s not an elite passer/playmaker – I’d take Gordon over Kirk in a heartbeat, but it doesn’t work like that here.
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 2:09 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think you quite understand the difference between Gordon
and Hinrich as shooters. Yes, Hinrich is a career 37.7% 3P shooter. But, Ben is a career 41.6% 3P shooter. His career average is higher than Hinrich’s career high of 41.5% To put that in context, Ben is 10th all time among players with at least 400 attempts. And Drazen Petrovic is the only one in the neighborhood in terms of also being a high usage scorer. Unlike the other guys, he’s doing it as his team’s 1st option. Hinrich is 90th in career 3P FG% as a 3rd scoring option. Gordon is flat out a special shooter.
Ben had the highest offensive rating on the team at 110 points per 100 possessions and the highest USG% on the team. So if you send Ben away then not only do less efficient players have to take those shots, but other players also have to make up the usage gap as well. Without Ben, Deng has to become the 1st option instead of the 2nd. What happens to his offensive efficiency then? They’re all these dynamics that change on the team level when you swap out Gordon for Hinrich offensively and defensively. Which is why I framed it in terms of plus/minus at the team level. Gordon’s offense has been more valuable to the team than Kirk’s all around game at the team level.
As for Nash, Williams, and Paul. Nash doesn’t even really apply as he was the 15th pick in the draft and went to team that had Kevin Johnson and then traded for Jason Kidd. And your not recognizing when Williams and Paul put it together. Paul had a 22.0 PER as a 20 year old rookie and started every game he played. Paul was great from the very beginning of his carer, he just took it to new heights this season. Williams was the best point guard on the roster as a rookie, and had broken out by his 2nd year. Rose will have struggles. He’ll have turnover problems. That doesn’t mean you don’t give him the ball. You give him the ball and let him learn and adapt.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 13, 2008 3:21 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Umm... It's called rebuilding, right?
You know, suffer through the mistakes for a year or two w/ a chance to create something “truly special”. I think that’s what I’ve heard.
Can’t we just get rid of Hughes? heh
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 8:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
YaoPau said it himself
“The Bulls aren’t in a rush to win now anyway (we suck).”
So what’s the harm in letting Rose run wild then? A potential drawback could be damaging his confidence, but he doesn’t seem the type.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not the type?
Based on what?
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 10:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It must be cold in hell right now
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 13, 2008 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ha.
A person’s unkind words and actions create their own hell. Standing up against unwarrented attacks tends to lift one to a higher place.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
don't act like a martyr here
unless you’d like it arranged.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
well, to be the type to be picked #1 overall
assumes that they can handle relative rookie struggles.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not enough offense with a Rose/Hinrich backcourt
That’s the single mitigating factor for my preference of Gordon. Working through the lineup with Rose and Hinrich in the backcourt (with Thabo as the third guard) and our current frontcourt, we’re simply not going to score enough. Not now, not three years from now.
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by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 2:01 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ugh!
Rose is a pretty elite scoring PG. What did you think Rose excelled at, anyway?
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 2:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
I’m just some retard who makes unintelligent posts because I don’t know any better.
/sarcasm
We need to channel Barack Obama here: disagree without being disagreeable.
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by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 2:12 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well no, seriously
I like your posts and I know you’re a big stats guy, so I want to know if you see things differently. To me, Rose is about as big a scoring PG talent as there has been. His passing and defense are the slight questionmarks. Have you gotten a different impression?
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 2:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rethinking this
You might be right, that a lineup with a Rose/Hinrich starting backcourt wouldn’t have the scoring issues that I forecast. I see it as both a scoring and a spacing issue – I just don’t see Hinrich providing the value alongside Rose (on the offensive side) that Gordon would provide. I mean – we all realize that Hinrich is better than he played last year, but we can’t just forget that he went through an entire season shooting the ball like a 10-year old, can we? His ‘06-’07 season is looking like a complete outlier right now – outside of that season, his season FG%s are .386, .397, of .418, and .414, with TS%s of 51.0, 49.5, 52.8, and 50.1. His three-point percentage has fluctuated wildly from .350 to .415 over his career. All things considered, I see no reason to think he’ll be the consistent shooter over a period of the next few years that Rose will need when he’s creating offense. I think your post above was suggesting that there’s not that much of a difference between Hinrich and Gordon’s value on offense (correct me if I am wrong), and on this matter I strongly disagree.
Ben may give back all of those gains – and then some, perhaps – on defense, but I think aggressively “platooning” him with Sefolosha can help minimize the losses there. I think, in general, we’re in somewhat of a denial regarding just how awful our offense has been the last couple of years, and how far away it is from championship caliber. We were 26th in the league in Offensive Efficiency last year, and while I don’t have immediate access to the prior year figures, I do recall that we were in the 20’s (around 22nd, IIRC). Removing our best offensive player from the equation pushes the gap between where our offense is and where it needs to be, beyond the point of comprehension.
____
Problem with the written word – you’ve probably seen this in the workplace with e-mail – two people read the exact same thing in completely different ways, with the writer’s intent being lost to the reader. It’s all good.
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by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 2:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope Hinrich isn't considered a longterm answer
at starting SG. I wouldn’t start him next year – I think he’s a 6th man type player. You’re right, his career TS% is pretty awful, and if he’s a top-3 scoring option, our team isn’t going very far.
At the same time though, Kirk can spot-up shoot. He runs into problems when he shoots those 18 footers flying off screens, or tries to create on his own, but if he catches the ball with his feet set and in space, he’s pretty good. Not Gordon-good, but close. (If Rose penetrates and kicks out effectively, all we’ll really need is a spot-up shooter. In that way, Kirk and Ben are similar. I didn’t mean to imply that Kirk and Ben were equally good overall scorers, but instead that having Rose will close the gap.) That combined with everything else Kirk does makes him a pretty good guy to have around as Rose develops.
Gordon though… as good as he is, I don’t see any future with him and Rose. We aren’t going to win anything starting two 6’2” shaky defenders, and his inconsistency is scary for a #1 or #2 scoring option.
I’m with you in that I want to see Thabo step into a major role this year, which realistically would be at best an aggressive platoon. If Thabo can develop a 3 point stroke the same way Raja Bell and Bruce Bowen have, he and Rose could work. To me, Thabo is the only SG on our roster that could be that longterm answer.
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 3:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
We can agree to disagree
on Kirk’s ability as a spot-up shooter. Certainly his low FG% is due in part to trouble finishing at the rim, and some contested long 2-point attempts (although it seems like he’s reduced these the last 2 years), but I still don’t see him having any real value as a spot-up shooter, not when it’s in the form of an undersized, overpaid 2-guard playing out of position.
Scotter’s post above gets at my point on BG’s value to an already poor offense, and is a good companion comment to mine immediately above.
I guess the point is, we can’t escape the inherent flaws in our backcourt even by adding a big-time true point guard! Maybe the option, as noted below, would be to trade BOTH Hinrich and Gordon and actually find a piece that fits perfectly. I don’t see this as being likely, and I’m more willing to live with Gordon’s faults than Hinrich’s faults at the 2-spot for the coming years.
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by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 3:43 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even if Kirk was a comperable spot-up shooter
I don’t see the reason to set our sights so low when thinking of a complement to Rose. Gordon wouldn’t only be a spot-up shooter but he can create his own shot (especially if you see a future of fewer double-teams).
We’re assuming Rose will be the primary ballhandler and creator on the perimeter, but it’s nice to have another option as well. I don’t think Luol can do it.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
can u guys clear something up for me
im really not good with contract situations and all the rules that go along with that. but if we do keep gordon this season, then isnt his contract with the bulls up? and isnt there a chance that he could sign with other teams after this coming season? plus if he wants to stay with the bulls, i dont see him asking for less than what he wanted last time. especially if his game improves (i mean how could anyone’s game not improve from last season), with rose. wouldnt that be a sticky situation then after next year, ? and if somehow we geet someone like jermaine or elton, dont they have huge contracts also??
All this Hinrich hate, is making me like him more...
by Yibs on Jun 13, 2008 9:42 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He certainly has that potential
but as you’ve noted, he hasn’t become an elite scorer – yet. I
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by MPG on Jun 13, 2008 8:05 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The second rule of scoring
After scoring of course is staying on the floor. Gordon’s defensive improvement is necessary to keep him out of foul trouble. He’s too valuable to be sitting on the bench watching. He can bring you back into games and he can extend marginal leads into blowouts.
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But there is not enough defense with a Rose/Gordon backcourt
and a Rose/Sefelosha is just too French for me, too much like a decaf latte light on the foam while reading poetry about a poodle.
And the more that I think about it the more I convince myself that I dont know which will be better. Because lets face it no one knows what kind of player Rose is going to be or how he will match with anyone on the Bulls. What we can understand is that a Gordon/Sef backcourt is average or break even, and a Gordon/Hinrich backcourt is better than average and none of the stats include Rose at all.
by wojcmic1 on Jun 13, 2008 2:11 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm hoping that there's enough defense
With a Rose/Gordon backcourt combined with liberal use of Sefolosha – this will involve Gordon spending many minutes sitting next to VDN when the matchups dictate as such.
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by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 2:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If only we could use Thabo
as a libero (much as is done in Volleyball), where he could enter the game at any time in place of Gordon, that is every time that we defend, then Gordon would come back every time we attack. Would have to change the rules though.
Hinrich then backs Rose.
The Game chose him !
by Diabolo on Jun 13, 2008 4:06 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you obviously have done your work
but the idea of a backcourt with noone taller than 6’3” and a rookie guarding SGs in the NBA just sounds like a disaster waiting to happen. I’m not saying that Hinrich should stay; I honestly don’t know what we should do. But I don’t think a backcourt on Rose/Gordon is going to be successful in the NBA
by darksmokepuncher on Jun 12, 2008 11:20 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Great analysis.
My initial comments:
- As many would agree, Gordon is better paired with Rose than Hinrich paired with Rose.
- Gordon is one of the most valuable “score in bunches” shooting guards.
- Why do you think Gordon’s defensive deficiencies are exaggerated? He’s an undersized shooting guard who doesn’t play defense. I don’t know what’s being exaggerated.
- Gordon will be one of our top 3 scorers next year. But should he start? I just like the idea of playing a bigger shooting guard who offers D and potential (Thabo). And playing Gordon off the bench doesn’t seem to limit his effectiveness. He will still get his shot attempts, and put up similar numbers that he would starting.
by swede2287 on Jun 12, 2008 11:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Because you just exagerrated his defensive deficiencies
Because a lot of people here tend to think here think taller automatically means better defender. A theory Michael Redd does his best to disprove season after season.
When Gordon is focused on defense like he was most of 06/07, he’s at least an average defender against opposing PGs. He’s not built to be a great defender, but he also doesn’t qualify as a non-defender either. You don’t have the success defensively against opposing backcourts over a three year period that the Bulls had if the guy with the 2nd most minutes played is at least an average defender. When focused Gordon does a decent job limiting penetration and forcing his man into the help. Where he struggles defensively is staying with guys through screen and be aware enough in help defense to recover to shooters. His on the ball defense is acceptable, but he tends to look focus off the ball. That makes him an average defender against PGs.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 13, 2008 12:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry about the extra words in that 1st sentence.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 13, 2008 12:25 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he's a shooting guard.
It’s usually good for shooting guards to defend shooting guards.
I just have memories of teams, like the Pistons, exposing our individual defenders (specifically Gordon). We have always had good team defense – I definitely wouldn’t argue that.
But simply put, Ben Gordon is undersized for his position. Because he’s an undersized shooting guard, it’s difficult for him to guard his position (look at Monta Ellis’ defense). Good, big shooting guards have known that he’s the player to attack on our defense. He’s vulnerable especially when shooting guards isolate on him or post him up. Look at how the Pistons played us two years ago in the playoffs.
He also uses a ton of energy on the offensive end. Many times he’s our best offensive threat when he’s in the game. This probably takes away from his energy on the defensive end.
I’m not saying that Gordon isn’t a good NBA player – his stroke is a thing of beauty and he can do a lot for us next year.
But he’s a subpar NBA defender – one of the worst individual defenders on our team. So what’s to exagerrate.
by swede2287 on Jun 13, 2008 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
the exaggeration is usually re: how that effects the team defense.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think BG does work on defense, and doesn't get credit for that.
There are plenty of offensively talented guys in the league that make little to no effort at defense. I remember reading a quote from BG last year that he wanted to improve and was working at it.
Rewatching games from last season in a calmer frame of mind, it seems pretty obvious to me that a big part of the defensive problems (at least early on) came from everyone not being on the same page. Eventually, of course, the morale/effort/lineups completely deteriorated, but there were still plenty of examples of the guards trying to force a ballhandler a certain direction, only to find someone was out of position and the other team ended up with a pretty clear path to the basket or at the foul line.
Here's to what was suppose to be the most exciting offseason in years, but has instead spiraled downward into pitiful morass of indecision. Cheers!
by wjb1492 on Jun 13, 2008 12:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He is coming around
Ben Gordon improved his defensive footwork last year. He performed much better in keeping his man in front of him by moving his feet. It was progress. It was just progress on top of a very low starting point.
His main weakness is still about size. He wants to elevate to get a hand up or block the shot, but this isn’t his game. He doesn’t have this skillset and his smaller size makes spending time to develop that portion of defense a waste of time. He’s much better suited for focusing on staying in front of his man, keeping him 10 feet from the rim, and trusting the shot blocking beasts behind him.
Despite Boylan’s terrible rotations, Gordon did get a decent amount of time on the floor with the shot blockers. There were instances where Gordon should have just stayed on his feet because the shot blockers did reject the shot. However, Gordon was elevating too and creating body contact for the cheap foul.
When Gordon moves his feet, squares his shoulders, and prepares himself – ironically just the way he excels offensively – with discipline he will migrate from a below average defender to an above average defender. Once Gordon does this our point differential should really start to get around +6 per game.
The new staff still needs to work with all our guards in defending the pick and roll and the high screen. This just killed us last season by opening up lanes for penetration which drew in help defense from Noc and opened the perimeter for wide open threes. We were 5th worst in opponents 3pt fg% last year. The prior year we were 6th best in opp 3pt%.
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Huh...
A.I. is pretty short, and he was a defensive player of the year….defense has less to do with size of frame, and more on frame of mind…Ben gordon isnt a horrible defender, he is pretty average, its just that i think he wants to get back on offense real quick and do what he does. As the info shoes above, ben does what he does well…
On a side note, although ill admit that kirk isnt the better shooter, i think if d-rose turns out to be as good as he is supposed to be, having a guy like kirk will still make more sense. Sure ben can create his own shots, but will he have to? Sure Gordon can draw double teams, but will he have to? Rose is supposed to make the whole team better, Guys like tyrus thomas will be dunking the ball more then ever, noah will be catching the ball in an unexpected spot in teh post to finish with power! Deng will be slashing and hitting mid range jumpers, just until the 4th though. Rose will be driving at the rim and finishing with superb athleticism. Penetrating, and when in trouble, being able to kick out to kirk hinrich…who i might add IS an nba guard, and is a very solid 3 pt shooter, he can and probably will knock down the open shots.
Plus im thinking its easier to keep Hinrichs contract, rather then create a new one for gordon (probably will be worth more, with more years)
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 13, 2008 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A.I. as in Allen Iverson?
He has not won the NBA defensive player of the year award. The shortest player to do that was Sidney Moncrief at 6’3”.
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 10:36 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
wow
Sorry about that, for some reason i have thought that a.i. won the award at some point….my bad…....
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 13, 2008 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's a league leader in steals usually
But other than that, he’s not exactly a world beater in defense.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 13, 2008 1:20 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
that probably was in part where my confusion came from
plus a guy i play ball with idolizes A.I. and i think he once mentioned that “fact” to me so it stuck there, but i stand corrected.
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 13, 2008 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gary Payton "the glove"
6’4” could handle shooting guards (other than MJ) just fine.
"If you're not going to compete, then I'll dominate you." MJ
by Rankdog on Jun 13, 2008 8:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
One wonders
if Gary Payron were coming out today, would he be taken before or after Rose. Payton’s college resume was unworldly.
shharpo/glove/osu.html” target=”_blank”>http://www.frontiernet.net/shharpo/glove/osu.html
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 9:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No question AT ALL
I’d take Payton.
Of course, I may be biased by my knowledge of what he accomplished in his career.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 9:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know what's going on with this link.
It’s supposed to take you to a recap of Payton’s college career at Oregon State.
Back then (I don’t know if S.I. still does this) there used to be a Sports Illustrated Vollege POY award. I remember reading that issue when they gave it to Payton. He was truly a phenomenon in college.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 10:05 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's good info on Gordon's defense
the elite Eastern Conference teams know that he is the player to attack on our defense. I’m not saying he can’t improve his defense. But there’s no reason to deny the fact that he’s the hole in our defense.
by swede2287 on Jun 13, 2008 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you want defensive holes...
Try every bigger/stronger elite powerforward manhandling our skinny bigs in the middle.
by gman2849 on Jun 13, 2008 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno.
Have a look at the new grown-up version of Tyrus in the fanshot section.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Holy $#%
if Deng is a legit 6’9, and Tyrus projected to be just under that when he came into the league, then what would that make him now?
by gman2849 on Jun 13, 2008 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's all marketing
Thorpe’s an expert at this stuff.
“When you attend his camp you even grow larger”
I’d bet Tyrus was standing on a large book or stepper stand… Deng was told to slouch. If this kid grew 3 inches, it would be all over and IMG would be advertising it like crazy.
Stomile Swift is tall (6’10”) and barely can put the ball in the basketball during the game. Swift, 7 years in the NBA and his and Tyrus numbers are the same. Swift’s second year numbers are better than Tyrus second year. I’m one who haven’t witness extremely hyped tournament players live to the expectations of elevated high draft picks (O’Bryant & Tyrus). This guys weren’t projected in the top 25 draft picks at the start of the ncaa tournament, they came from nowhere and unfortunately that’s about where stardom will find them.
I'm like one from Missouri on this one...
by exult463 on Jun 13, 2008 8:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Umm...
Tyrus nearly broke John Hollinger’s forecasting system based on his production throughout his redshirt freshman season. He was NOT a product of the NCAA Tournament.
And yes, Stromile Swift is one of the comparables that arise when you analyze Tyrus’s statistical production and skill set – however, this is a sample size of one. That’s only one of the comparables and one of the possibilities for his career, and there are plenty of comparables/possibilities that are far more optimistic. I wouldn’t state that TT will turn into Swift (or Shawn Kemp or Antonio McDyess for that matter), I would state that each of these outcomes are possibilities with varying liklihoods.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 10:00 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Thabo's value as the 2/3 spot wing-stopper
but I don’t think he offers much potential. Gordon is only a year older, and has a better chance of realizing a potential to at least his career highs, and likely (given his age) to surpass them. Thabo hasn’t had a good season yet.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 9:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Disagree but I have no sample to back this up
I see all-star talent in Thabo, and see him as a Scottie/Tayshaun type (not quite as long, though) in that he’ll probably never be outstanding from the perimeter but he’ll be competent enough to keep you honest and have a big game now and then. His defense and ball-handling are the current strengths I see from him but I would not at all be surprised to see this guy averaging Luol Deng numbers in a few years. I think he’ll be better than the Doug Christie projections placed on the guy during the draft.
by messwiththebull on Jun 13, 2008 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
he still has some time before becoming Doug Christie
Luol Deng averages Luol Deng numbers now, and hasn’t been selected to an all-star team.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
And i don't see Thabo as a Luol Deng in a few years...
though I hope that’s true. I didn’t know his ball-handling was one of his strengths either.
by swede2287 on Jun 13, 2008 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't realize Thabo is only a year younger.
But Gordon has got plenty of playing time in his career – we know exactly what he offers as a player. Thabo may not have the potential we think, but we know that he is a good NBA defender.
Even if Thabo only develops into a 2 spot wing-stopper, I like playing him in our starting lineup. Because Gordon seems to almost as effective scoring off the bench, as he is in the starting lineup. We know that Gordon can put up numbers off the bench. Thabo isn’t that quick scorer who can put up numbers off the bench.
I think we can get the most value out of both players if we start Thabo – have Gordon getting good minutes off the bench.
by swede2287 on Jun 13, 2008 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The problem with bringing a guy off the bench
is it’s hard to do so without limiting the minutes he plays. Plus, bringing a guy off the bench for “instant offense” usually means that the offense wasn’t working with the starters on the court. Quite often, that’s going to mean the team is already trailing or the score is closer than it should be with the other team struggling offensively as well.
It’s a two way game, and you can’t ignore either offense or defense to start or end a game. To that end, Gordon’s a net positive when taking into consideration both ends of the court. Thabo appears to be a net zero, at best, at this point in his career.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 13, 2008 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
maybe I just have seen too many Skiles/Boylan games
but sitting Gordon to start the game at least meant 6 minutes to start each half.
And swede, it only ‘seems’ that Gordon’s more effective off the bench. He’s had good stretches as a starter as well, and I really don’t think either scenario effects his play personally that much. Even if he was somehow better off the bench, it doesn’t matter if it makes the team worse.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why not
blow the whole backcourt up? Trade Hinrich and Gordon for draft picks(future and present) and expiring contracts. Draft Rose and his future complimentary guard (Brandon Rush maybe). Then Sign Deng, and you’ve got a nucleus of Rose, Deng, Tyrus, Noah plus TONS of future cap space to go after a free agent in the magical year of 2010. That way we don’t have to deal with these Silly Gordon/Hinrich debates every day. Don’t you think that no matter who we end up keeping out of the two, people will eventually turn on him?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 12, 2008 11:57 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
On the head
Thats where you hit it. Youth, cap space. Getting this draft pick will allow us to go back a few years learn from our mistakes and build it right this time, we were so close when we had Eddy and Tyson we had the right ideas and fundamentals and then we got ballsy and snooped in Detroits graveyard. We were one game away from getting Portlands balls last year! Look at Boston and LA they had to make trades we can surely pair Rose up with someone to be in this type of situation in a few years. So I say lets dump em for some picks ANYONE 6’6” will be more effective
by TRiCioNeRo on Jun 13, 2008 1:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great I hear Adam Morrison is at least 6'6"
and available. Let’s go get him.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 13, 2008 1:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The funny thing is
The Bulls could probably trade for him with their trade exception and nothing else
by wojcmic1 on Jun 13, 2008 1:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Worst top-3 pick ever?
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bobcats outright released him to save $4 mil this year. I doubt he has any significant value, and he’ll never play with Richardson now on the team.
by YaoPau on Jun 13, 2008 3:19 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's the poster boy
for scotter’s analysis about not drafting the developed jump shooter.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 13, 2008 8:25 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jordan disagrees
Morrison shot poorly in his first season because the Bobcats had no scoring. Morrison missed all of last season due to a devastating knee injury.
If you factor in Gerald Wallace’s concussions the Bobcats start to look like they have to have a healthy Morrison.
I won’t cast off Morrison because we just haven’t seen what he’s capable of doing. Missing your 2nd season with a knee injury is about as worse as it can get. I think he’ll bounce back.
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Morrison may play with the Bobcats Summer League team
http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/655047.html
I think the deadline has already passed to pick up the 3rd option. Therefore the Bobcats must already have exercised the option to keep Morrison for a 3rd season.
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 8:59 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
the team option is for 2009-10
2008-09 is guaranteed.
by hscs on Jun 13, 2008 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um... It's after the first year, no?
Rookie scale contracts will provide for two guaranteed seasons with two separate one-year options in favor of the team for seasons 3 and 4. (In the previous agreement, rookie scale contracts provided for three (3) guaranteed seasons with a team option for year four.) The first team option is exercisable following the end of the player’s first season, and the second team option is exercisable following the end of the player’s second season. A team that exercises both options will continue to have first refusal rights following the player’s fourth season.
So yeah, I’d say the deadline passed—about 7 1/2 months ago. Granted, that did take about 63 seconds to google that, and I know how you just can’t be bothered to look things up.
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
and you were still 4 minutes slower than me
by hscs on Jun 13, 2008 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I had to do the fancy formatting.
I like my sarcastic cutdowns in style, unlike your ugly copy and pasting you have above. Duh.
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 9:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's a good strategy
wish for guys to get dealt so we don’t have to argue about them.
I was going to make a sarcastic comment about how dealing for picks still makes it a longshot that you’d draft a scorer as good as Ben Gordon, and was even going to use Brandon Rush hype as an example, but…
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 13, 2008 9:36 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rush's highest potential...
...is probably only as a shooter almost as good as Gordon. There’s no way he’ll be the scorer Gordon is. If there was even a chance, w/ his pedigree and defensive abilities, he’d be a Top-5 pick. If he ever avgs. > 15 ppg in a season, I’d consider it a success. I look at Rush as Thabo w/ a jumpshot. And a Nat’l Championship. Otherwise, they’re the same.
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
And yes, I understand you were just baiting someone to talk about Rush...
...which I’m wont to do. :-)
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No doubt, but it's hard to quantify Ben's shortfall on D
I’d rather keep Ben out of the two of them, especially if the PG position is filled but some of my complaints about Ben aren’t necessarily quantified by your stats. Whenever Ben plays, his backcourt mate has to be someone who can both handle the ball/set up the offense AND have the ability to guard the opposition’s bigger guard. This puts a tremendous strain on that player because Ben can not guard the position he plays nor can he play the position he guards. That is why Ben is best suited to come off the bench because you’ll still get his strengths while theoretically limited the exposure to his weaknesses.
by messwiththebull on Jun 13, 2008 10:08 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I would rather keep Ben than Duhon or Hinrich
assuming we take Rose.
by swede2287 on Jun 13, 2008 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why can't we keep both?
Seems the best course to me. Some points:
(1) We need a back-up PG. That means keeping Hinrich or trading for someone who can carry the team for stretches during Rose’s growing pains. I don’t think Larry Hughes is going to bring in someone like that on the trade market.
(2) As has been pointed out, we shouldn’t expect to contend next year. It’s possible, and it would be great if it happens, but realistically we’re a team on the cusp and hopefully on the come-up. The season after next is when the hype turns to reality, I think, when we’ve shored up the roster, broken in Rose, established Tyrus, gotten reps for Del Negro, and engendered a good team culture. To effectuate shoring up of the roster, we’ll need assets to make trades. Gooden is expiring this year, and Hughes next year. We’ll need actual players to pair with them or no one will trade with us. If the Chairman could loosen up the checkbook in the interim to allow us to get good value for our pieces in any upcoming trade, that would be the best option, I think (instead of trading people piecemeal right now because we feel we have to).
by arjoseph on Jun 13, 2008 11:57 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Kind of like Joe Smith.
Getting surprising production and using him to make stupid Cleveland take Ben Wallace, too. Although, they probably thought that Wallace was the centerpiece and Smith was just a throw-in. And probably still do.
by tyger1147 on Jun 13, 2008 12:00 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not enough minutes to go around, even this year, ...
... and even if we buy out Larry Hughes’ contract. Let’s do the math, using an easy-to-calculate 100 minutes per game at the guard positions (figuring a few minutes per game of a 3-guard lineup):
PG – Rose – 30 minutes
SG – Gordon – 32 minutes
PG2 – Hinrich – 26 minutes
SG2 – Sefolosha – 12 minutes
TOTAL BACKCOURT – 100 minutes
You can play around with these numbers all you’d like, but the math just simply doesn’t work. You end up with either a ~$10M-per-year player (Hinrich or Gordon – yes, I know that Gordon may not re-up for that much, save the comments) playing minimal minutes in a true back-up role, or with Thabo playing ~12-15 minutes a night, which would destroy his development in what should be his last year of significant improvement.
Or, if you mess with the numbers enough, you end up with your #1 pick playing backup minutes. Does anyone want that?
(Also, the model assumes ZERO minutes for Shannon Brown/PeeOn/others, which of course is effectively impossible).
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
When I look at this backcourt
I see 2 guys that have started for 3 years and who were part of the core players responsible for our previous success.
Sefolosha was brought in to respond to Detroits manhandling of our guards and it was thought that he would be developed over a few years and take the 3rd guard rotation duties from Duhon.
Now all of a sudden, you have Huges and Rose thrown into the mix.
what does this mean as far as guard development for the bulls is concerned?
for one, I believe that Huges will be gone next year. Despite having ALL the tools that we need for a 2 guard, he just doesn’t have the will. But with his salary and veteran status, we are talking about a difficult situation for the bulls to decide. We have however seen Pax cut good, but lazy players before and eat the contract.
the next point is that you potentially get a much bigger upgrade at the point. who according to league sources is big enough, athletic enough, and savvy enough to succeed in the nba right away.
at that level of skill, is he an improvement over last year’s hinrich (13.something PER)?
even as a rookie?
If we say yes, then that means that we have now altered completely the backcourt plans that had worked so wonderfully the 3 previous years.
However, last year we saw the NBA catch on to the bulls strategy and learned how to defend them so maybe that is not such a bad thing.
So now what do we have?
a young talented point guard who can penetrate and break down defenses and make teammates better. CP3 is what, the number one scoring option or is it simply a two headed monster with West?
right now as a rookie I couldn’t safely project Rose hire then a 3rd option player for the bulls
who then becomes your best 2 combo guards to fill around him. We have Gordon Hinrich and Thabo (in order of PER)
The Dilemma hear for me with Ben is not so much his defense, but that he gets tossed around like a rag doll when he’s doubled or trying to penetrate. Especially as the bulls top go to guy. But he is our purest shooter. unquestionably. and we know that he can score in a bunch. we also know that he can go cold from the top and he has not learned to get to the foul line to compensate.
Gordon is an ideal 3rd option but a good 2nd option with an inside scoring 1st.
Kirk is a taller defender who is a good shooter. he doesn’t have a very good first step and so he can’t break down the defense much. what’s more, last year when he did find himself under the basket, it seemed like he was afraid to lay it up and always dribbled himself out. Hinrich CAN finish under the basket. he did it the previous coupla years. And he gets into more cold shooting spells then Gordon does. He is a very good 4th option on a team whose top 3 are not guards other then Kobe. He’s a decent 3rd option under the same conditions. as second fiddle to rose he best makes for a very good 6th man off the bulls bench at point.
Thabo is young…ish he is tall and can handle the ball fairly well. he’s a good defender and he’s got a developing jumper. But he is the shakiest scorer by far. But we still haven’t seen him play enough to know for sure. He hasn’t really shown me that he will become anything other then a decent role player. maybe 8th or 9th man in a good rotation.
I’ve seen enough of Deng to feel that he will never be a top go to guy. too slow not mentally able to handle so much pressure.
With the addition of another scoring option (3) in Rose, (or Beastly) Gordon goes from a very rocky and unreliable 1st (by default) to a very good 2nd option.
Because we do not have a top guy yet (maybe rose in a couple of years) And Tyrus has not yet shown himself to be that inside presence that we can rely on to break down defenses, I Think that Hinrich becomes our best option to try and address our more pressing needs.
by gman2849 on Jun 13, 2008 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cut and consume
Pax guys: Eddie Robinson, Veeeeeeektor Khryapa.
Were there more? Did we buy out Tim Thomas too?
by NBA Observer on Jun 13, 2008 4:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
wasnt eddie robinson a krause guy that pax got rid of
CHICAGO MANE!!!!
by YEP on Jun 13, 2008 4:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That breakdown of minutes looks great to me.
We know it won’t be that structured every game (I hope it wouldn’t be strictly structured, instead playing match-ups and hot hands), but I’m fine with Rose/Gordon as starters, Hinrich as 6th man backing up PG mostly (but able to fill at 2 if necessary), and Sef doing the rest of the back-up duties. I also expect Sef to get burn backing up Deng at SF (with Noc getting traded or buried a little bit), so his total minutes will be more than the 12 you have him down for. To me, this is best, both for (a) competing now and (b) developing young guys in correct proportions.
If we don’t keep both Hinrich and Gordon, I think the team will be worse off. Getting rid of Hinrich means having NO back-up PG (unless we get one in trade or FA). Will we have Thabo run point? Gordon? Rose isn’t going to play 48 min a night period, much less running a team for 82 games in his rookie year. He’s not LeBron. If we get rid of Gordon, we’re sacrificing all of his offense (I don’t trust Thabo’s shot and Hinrich, while not as bad as some think, won’t be able to do what Gordon does at SG-and his defense won’t make up for it either; I’m convinced by the +/ above).
Plus, who are we going to get for either Gordon or Hinrich right now? We’re not going to get a starting-level SG. At the trade deadline, however, Gooden’s contract will be looking much better. Would Gooden/re-signed Gordon/filler look good for Redd/Villanueva? I’d take that. If we sign-and-trade Gordon over the summer, though, it’s off the table. What about next year, when we can shop Hughes Expiring K + Hinrich? I think we can live with a log jam for a year in order to maximize assets; that’s all I’m saying.
by arjoseph on Jun 13, 2008 5:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess if we were able to move Nocioni (sweet!)...
The logjam wouldn’t be too bad. While I’d prefer to concentrate pretty much all of Thabo’s minutes in the backcourt to use his size to complement the munchkins, it’s a minor issue in the grand scheme of things (as long as he gets his minutes this year from somewhere, that’s the more important issue).
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 13, 2008 8:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
definitely keep gordon over hinrich
as soon as the possibility of getting Rose, i started contemplating this, and i totally agree that hinrich should go, as much as i love his aggressiveness and D. but, gordon, i think, adds a lot more versatility to the line-up, not individually, but in the choices del negro has for the line-up. i love gordon off the bench cause he’s great at providing those short bursts of scoring. but with kirk gone, you can start gordon OR thabo alongside rose. if thabo can improve on offense, even better. gotta let kirk go. his contract is trade-friendly too.
by BULLieving in Miami on Jun 13, 2008 1:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
larry, larry, larry
its too bad larry hughes is no longer any good. i say bench him, bury him like duhon got burried after that trade. Thats a possibility, right. there is nothing in the rule book that says you must play your lazy, severly overpaid shooting guard. right? a backcourt rotation of bg, rose (fingers crossed), hinrich, and thabo is not too shabby. it allows VDN a lot flexibility. when the teams needs an offensive spark, rose and bg are the dudes, when they need to start shutting teams down defensively, hinrich and thabo are your guys.
I am with Scotter on this, if you have to choose, then i say go with bg, but right now, i say keep em both around to see how hinrich and rose play together. if anything, like kirk raise his value
I DRINK YOUR MILKSHAKE
by CONOR6 on Jun 13, 2008 2:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
You forgot one thing!
What are the Bulls going to do with Larry Hughes?
Bulls fan till death
by saalikjazz on Jun 13, 2008 3:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
A few options for Larry:
(a) Bury him. (b) Buy him out. (c) Cut him. (d) During pre-season, have the trainers or team doctor tell Larry he has a rare, painless ailment that could threaten his ability to walk if he plays with it. This will either spook Larry so much that he actually thinks he’s hurt, or will cause him to ask for a second opinion. If the latter, we use it in the press against him as being a distrusting, non-team guy.
It’s simple.
by arjoseph on Jun 13, 2008 6:06 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
if possible, keep du and trade either kirk or ben
duhon was the best pure point we have on the team and the only one who throw the oop, so if he wanted to come back next year i would sign him. he would be a good back up to d rose. then after signing du i would shop kirk and ben to see what is out there. if the wiz were willing to do a sign and trade with gilbert. i would package kirk, ben, and gooden, even hughes (if they wanted him back) for gilbert.
d rose du
gilbert thabo
luol noch
tyrus 2nd round pick
noah gray
by FUTURE12 on Jun 13, 2008 3:56 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Dear god no
I request that the name of the former backup PG should no longer be mentioned the same as the name of the former interim coach is no longer mentioned. I’ve seen too many references to said player today and it’s ruining the #1 pick, VDN, Tyrus and Deng @ IMG buzz I’ve got going.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 13, 2008 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like the idea of keeping du instead of Kirk-- much cheaper for same thing.
And personally I think he plays better D too.
Skip Gilbert, he’s no longer healthy, and was always shoot first.
by iBurkey on Jun 13, 2008 11:29 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is a difference between Kirk and Duhon
Kirk’s a very mediocre player. Duhon’s a replacement level player. While Kirk’s production doesn’t warrant his current salary, Duhon doesn’t warrant more than the league minimum. If you’re going to dump Kirk, don’t pay Duhon $3M to replace him. There’s plenty of guys in the NBADL who could do the same things for far less.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 14, 2008 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we have different definitions of "replacement" player
In baseball, it’s usually determined to be players of the caliber of “freely available” talent, such as Thomas Gardner. Duhon is clearly better than that.
Actually, maybe our definitions of replacement player are the same, and our appraisals of Duhon’s value are different. I think Duhon is a very good backup point guard – in fact, I think he might be one of the 5 best backup point guards in the league. It’s when his playing time was stretched into pairings with Hinrich and pushed into the 25-30 minute per night range that fans such as myself became furious with Skiles’ ridiculous over-the-top affinity for Duhon.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 14, 2008 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'll admit I was probably overstating my appraisal of Duhon
As a reserve, you could certainly do worse. At the same time, I don’t see him as being all that uniquely talented. There’s plenty of players available who could provide the same level of production. Just doing a quick search for guards last season with PER’s between 10 and 12 (Duhon’s was 11.1), I was able to find 43. Granted, not all were PG’s, but I’m sure most could handle the duty of bringing the ball upcourt, dribbling in the same spot for half the shot clock, pass the ball, and get out of the way.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 14, 2008 8:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
But I think Duhon’s defense makes him more valuable than the vast majority of those other guards. Either way, he’ll be on another team next year and a new fanbase can bitch about their coach’s bizarre love affair with the heavy-partying backup point guard.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 14, 2008 8:43 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duhon's PER was the 55th best among point guards.
I counted that he has the 21st best PER among backup point guards last season.
His defense is solid.
Backup points like Dooling, Farmar, Ronnie Price all were more productive point guards than Duhon.
Maybe this lack of productivity was worsened because of the poor coaching of him and Kirk. But I don’t think you can say he’s one of the top 5 backup point guards – let’s be realistic and not overvalue Duhon.
by swede2287 on Jun 15, 2008 9:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It was also his worst PER for the last 3 years
His PER for the last 3 years: 12.95, 11.94, 11.13. I think the truth is somewhere right in the middle.
Additionally, while he may have been 21st among backup point guards in PER last year, it is probable that some of the players who ranked ahead of them were playing over their heads, or over their typical performance level, and would not be able to sustain the performance over a long stretch as Duhon has done. (And we seem to be in agreement that Duhon’s defense places him above at least a few of the players who rank ahead of him in PER).
You’re right in that my assessment of Duhon as a “top 5” backup was probably wrong. But I don’t think I was off by too much. I think snley undervalued Duhon’s worth, and then I subsequently overvalued it, and we’re zeroing in on the truth.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 15, 2008 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good points.
If Hinrich is traded (as some are hoping), Duhon will be a very valuable piece of our team. If Hinrich is here, I don’t think he will have an impact. This is all assuming we draft Rose.
by swede2287 on Jun 15, 2008 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Hinrich's here, Duhon won't be
Don’t forget that Duhon’s an UFA this summer.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Jun 16, 2008 8:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
a point so often neglected
Duhon plays better D..
by exult463 on Jun 14, 2008 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If we got rid of either Gordon or Hinrich...
wouldn’t we theoretically have a player that replaced them in a trade? Who is to say we can’t get a starting caliber 2 for either of them? Bring Thabo and whomever is left off the bench.
by E-Grizzle on Jun 13, 2008 5:48 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
who could we get for one of them?
maybe corey maggette in a sign and trade for kirk straight up
by FUTURE12 on Jun 13, 2008 6:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thabo potential is more interesting
than any other Bulls player. I really dislike this potential thing, but Thabo seems to have a high ceiling if properly mentored and feed a daily diet of red, black and habanero peppers
by exult463 on Jun 13, 2008 9:22 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Ben Gordon
would have been a much better NBA player if he played on a better team. He earned the right to be the 1st option for an offensive on an offensively challenged roster, thereby elevating his financial assessment of himself. Gordon has little incentive to play better defense, because offensive will get him the big contract and all of the other scrubs playing guard on the Bulls can’t keep him from getting his minutes. And when he gets minutes his primary job and duty as he sees it is to his to score – score and score some more.
What do you do with Gordon?
First VDN will need to clearly define roles for these players, and this is somehing that hasn’t been done in years.
Noc just jacks up shots, because he has no clealy defined role
Gordon thinks he’s 15 million dollar man, because he’s the 1st scoring option on the Bulls team which lacks any star players. Can this young player accept a lessor role at this point in his career? Nope!
by exult463 on Jun 13, 2008 9:57 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
On a team full of such timid players, Noce's job WAS to Jack up shots-
And go to the hole like a madman.
MVP MVP MVP….
by iBurkey on Jun 13, 2008 11:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
exactly so
which is why he isn’t worth $6.4 million and the Bulls should allow him to become an unresticted free agent
by hlac on Jun 14, 2008 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, I really don't understand the hard-ons so many people on BaB carry for BG
Ok, the guy can shoot, but nothing else!
I’ll have to give the BG-lover who made this statistical analysis some credit. Impressive work to make your guy look better. But making it span over 3 years is not good. It’s not the same team now and other teams have figured Benny out so he’s probably never going to be as effective as he was two three years ago.
And saying that we need his offense is pure bs. The offense is 0,8 points better with him on the court (per 100 pos) as opposed to him off. The defense otoh is 8,5 (!!) points WORSE, making for a net +/- of -7,7! By far the worst on the team (among players with enough PT)
net +/- per 100 pos according to 82games.com:
Noah +5,4
TT +3,7
Gray +2,1
Thabo +1,9
Duhon +1,7
Noc +1,0
Kirk +0,7
LH -1,2
Deng -1,6
Gooden -3,2
Gordon -7,7
In fact Noah is the only player on the team that the Bulls outscore the opponent when he is ON.
And BG is the only player on the team that the Bulls outscore the opponent when he is OFF.
That’s a testiment to the “importance” of BG to the Bulls offense, right there.
Let me remind you of the main objective in basketball: Not just to score, but to OUT-score your opponent.
Oh, and let me also add that defense is way more important than offense. Witness the current NBA-finals…
by BAB-Bass on Jun 15, 2008 5:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is really a first
Faulting a guy who can average 20 points a game on a team where no one even comes close to averaging that. Yes, let’s move forward from the Skiles era by continuing to put importance on hustle plays rather than actual basketball talent.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 15, 2008 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not the scoring I fault... It's the fact that it's all he brings
Yes, Dengs 17 PPG this year is MILES away from BG’s 18,6. You got me. I take it ALL back.
But that’s really not the point…
Actually hustle IS a talent. And playing defense is 10 % skill/knowledge and 90 % hustle and will. I’m sure BG can play better D, he’s just got to realize he has to. Hopefully VDN will make him understand this.
In the 21 years I have played basketball the most successful season we had we were a bunch of Thabos, Noahs, TTs and Kirks. We had no one-dimensional offensive players and all could play superb team-D from 1 through 12. we had an average margin of victory of over 40 points, which I still find hard to believe looking back. It was crazy. We would be up by 20-30 points but kept playing the same killer D. Causing turnovers and running the other team to shreds. Ah, good times… :D
by BAB-Bass on Jun 15, 2008 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Deng averaged 2 more minutes per game last season
It really is miles away, and we have a bigger sample than 2007-08. In the 6 years I have read basketball-reference.com… Oh forget it.
by hscs on Jun 15, 2008 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It really isn't miles away.
Unless you are talking about your judgement… ;)
by BAB-Bass on Jun 15, 2008 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
now now
I highly doubt that tone played well with the hustle-time all-stars squad you were on…
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 15, 2008 8:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It played about as well as we did... Wanna hear about it?
I’d like to know a little bit about your basketball background.
Care to share?
:)
by BAB-Bass on Jun 16, 2008 4:40 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Umm...
Deng’s TS% was 52.8% and Gordon’s was 55.8% – Deng used a lot more possessions to get his 17 points than Gordon did to get his 18.6, so YES, his scoring really is miles (okay, kilometers) away from Gordon’s.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 15, 2008 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
The original poster took data from the past 3 years…which Gordon has a good showing because 2 out of the three years he did very well with this team. However, Gordon just went through a whole season where he was the worst statistically out of the whole team in terms of his negative impact while he was on the floor….yet, most people just ignore this because Gordon is our best scorer. Now I even see people mention that hustle plays are overrated and imply that points per game is what makes a good player. Did any of you guys miss the finals? The Celtics won by hustle plays and they are a defensive team that beat an offensive team. Ben Gordon is probably the most one dimensional player on this team…he is extremely flawed. Perhaps our underachieving team defense last season was not able to cover up Gordon’s poor defense or the fact that our defense overcompensated for Gordon…who knows. However, something has to change drastically with Gordon’s impact on the team from last season…because it was absolutely horrid. This being said, I don’t really care about any Hinrich or Gordon debate. I’d much rather see Thabo develop into the starting shooting guard for this team.
by Parrotman on Jun 26, 2008 4:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kirk Hinrich
career goal: make it to the NBA and play for the Chicago Bulls.
Kirk made it, and he achieved more than 88% of the people in the world.
He met his life-long career goal and now can look forward to retirement.
by exult463 on Jun 13, 2008 10:02 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
lol
that’s too caustic even for you, exult…
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 14, 2008 1:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know...but
two issues.. the organization and Kirk himself did little in 5 years to help his game improve.
He had potential written all over him his 1st and 2nd year, and then he got stage fear, paid and stop taking the ball into the hole attacking the basket. He lack leading in all three key areas: (1)vocal, (2)on-court play by not attacking offensively, and (2)demanding 110% from the other players on the team.
It’s lack of progression is unexplainable? But there’s lots of loyalty in this organization towards him, therefore AFireInside661 probably is right… Pax/VDN won’t draft Rose, and will give Kirk another opportunity.
The issue with drafting Beasley is the team still won’t have a necessary leader from the combined wings and pg position who will handle the ball 75% of the time.
by exult463 on Jun 14, 2008 8:22 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dont know--
I think its might have been clear that either Kirk is dimmer than some, or that he’s too emotional to grow anymore. The dim assessment would sort of match the lack of court vision, and inability to understand sometimes he needs to go hard to the rack, if the team is going to have a chance.
by iBurkey on Jun 15, 2008 12:03 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that Kirk needs to get to the rack
but I can kinda understand why he doesn’t anymore. With BG at the 2, Kirk has to guard bigger 2 guards. If he is expending all of his energy to keep up with guys quicker/stronger than him on one end of the court, is it really fair to expect him to go hard to the lane on offense? On that note, I can’t think of one player on this team that consistently drives to the basket.
I thought it was fairly clear after our last playoff exit that the Kirk/BG backcourt just wasn’t going to work out. If the plan is to keep BG, then I don’t see how Derrick Rose is going to help. Derrick Rose had success in college because he was able to use his size on the defensive end (see: tournament game against Texas). But if hes guarding guys bigger than him in the NBA, is he going to be effective on the offensive end? I see him settling for jumpshots, just like everyone else.
I guess I would prefer we try to get a big 2 guard that drives to the lane if we want to draft Rose. That way we could salvage a decent season with Kirk/whoever this 2 guard is, and let Rose slowly work his way into the rotation.
by darksmokepuncher on Jun 15, 2008 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Personally
I thought the kirk and thabo backcourt was really something special. Although thabo wasnt a great offensive threat, during the stretch that all other guards were injured the kirk and thabo backcourt did wonders. It allowed kirk to be more aggressive on offense which i think he needs to do for more then a one month stint to really know how to get into his offensive groove. Thabo could guard the big twos, and kirk could supply help defense, while kirk could guard some all star pgs with thabo supplying him help defense. Defensively it was formidable.
I dont know many peoples beliefs on basketball philosophy, one of mine is that offense will come. Meaning that the offensive part of the game will somehow make its way to you during the course of the game. What i use to prove this point is the lucky shot. You could throw a ball randomly towards the rim from any given location, without attempting to follow basketball shooting mechanics, and the ball could simply hit a wierd angle on the backboard (or any nearby objects) and for no reason fall into the rim, however, you cant randomly jump in the air with your arms outstretched and somehow come up with a block. you cannot wave your hands in front of you and randomly come up with a steal. You cannot randomly move around and end up accurately manning up on your guy. what this proves to me is that Defense has to be deliberate, focused, and requires alot of energy to keep consistently good, while offense can come to even the poorest players.
Take this philosophy into the nba, where teh players are anything but offensively incompetent (well except for ben wallace) and you should get to a point where you can realize that all the plaers on the court can score. Most teams often try to have a balance on offense and defense on thier teams, but i think most good teams settle to have a little more defense then offense. The Spurs come to mind as a good example.
This isnt saying you dont need good solid offensive players, but in the nba i think alot of the players have more of a chance to be solid offensive players rather then solid defensive players. I think ben gordon is superb on offense and that really is understatement, and i really would like to keep him on the bulls because of his inane ability to score, but kirk hinrich (as ive stated before) is a solid defensive player, and has shown flashes that he has the ability to be a solid offensive player too. Will he surpass Ben Gordon in terms of offense, i dont think so, although i think the better he can become offensively, the easier it is for a guy like him to get his other players involved, whereas i believe ben gordon not only will not get much better defensively, but lacks the ability to use his offensive abilities to get the entire teams offense working.
I would rather keep a guy like kirk who can give you defense and offense, and pair him with thabo who could give you defense and offense (and also offense quite different then kirks because thabo i think is more of a slasher himself, if you remember him in his good offensive games, performing kobe like manuevers while attacking the rim, while kirk is more of a perimeter scorer) rather than keep bg who will give you alot of offense, but less on defense. Also if we were to consider it, we could sacrifice ben gordon if luol deng continues to improve, and having someone like beasley at power forward as opposed to noch would also be a better fit, since beasley can do what noch did (shoot threes, wander from his man for a help block or two) and slash and power his way to rim.
Here consider this lineup:
Kirk
Thabo
Deng
Beasley
Noah
Kirk, and Deng especially can give you solid performances from both offense and defense positions, kirk despite his poor season this year i think is capable of scoring perhaps 20 pts a game, and his defense is good enough that he can at least be consistently placed within the defensive second team for a few more years. Deng does a good job guarding other sfs (like lebron) and his offense, until the fourth quarter is just phenomenal.
Thabo and Noah, are very good defenders for thier position, and though not superb they are far from defensive liabilities, who can score if they need to. Beasley is all offense and little defense, luckily when playing near the painted area, putting your body on a guy and keeping your hands up is usually all that is possible to do (unlike on teh perimeter where guards can go off of screens and have alot more room to beat you off the dribble) Beasley will have to get alot stronger to really hold pfs down, but his offense which unlike bgs can be effective from inside the paint and on the perimeter should really balance any and all scoring needs the team have.
Then for reserves we would still have tyrus, gooden, and hughes who can (but not necesserily will) play solid on either end of the court and at times, great. This to me would be a better 8 man rotation, with alot more flexibility then a rotation that consisted of rose and ben gordon (since this rotation really has only one short guard). Even with vinny coaching, the team would be a fairly solid defensive team as is, and have players all who could run (hinrich at the point running might be best since it would hide some his flaws as a pg). This roster would have a strong defensive presence, but solid offensive players who can keep playing defense, prevent other teams from scoring, and though not score in high numbers, could score enough to win games.
I regress that i dont think this roster would win championships as is, and having ben gordon not on this team is defenetly far from ideal, but i dont think ben gordon scoring is really going to be as missed as many believe it will be, its not like once ben gordon is gone then the offense has disapeared, although i think with kirk gone, the perimeter defense will definetly suffer (hughes will go for dum steals, rose will be raw still, gordon will save energy for his offense, and only thabo will be left as a solid defender).
Defense wins championships, and nba players all have the ability to score…why should we sacrifice some of our more solid defenders for a one dimensional (albeit amazing) player and a rookie who without playing one min of nba basketball is getting votes for the Hall of Fame (which hscs will tell you really means nothing).
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2008 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because Gordon has been a bigger positive influence
when it comes to winning than Hinrich. Great defense only works if your still scoring more points than the opponent. Over the last four years when Gordon isn’t on the court the Bulls have struggled to do that.
And your trying a little too hard with your offensive defensive analogies. You can’t tell me you never see someone run back with their hands up and randomly deflect a pass that leads to a steal. Shot blockers even at the college level often aren’t doing anything more than jumping when ever a shot goes up whether they have a chance to block it or not.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 15, 2008 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can’t tell me you never see someone run back with their hands up and randomly deflect a pass that leads to a steal.
That’s what I was thinking… this is how Larry Hughes gets steals…
by kidronmusic on Jun 17, 2008 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice post. Godawfully long, but good.
I agree with most of what you say, except the part about drafting Beasley.
I’m at a “no” after the 5-6 HS’s in 5 years.
When you throw in the tagging, disrespect to coaches and other signs of immaturity it really becomes a no-brainer.
We need a better PG and a leader. There is one available… Duh! (No, I don’t mean Duhon this time… ;) )
I don’t think we need to trade Kirk if we make this pick.
Rose-Thabo
Kirk-Thabo
Somewhere there’s a good combo.
by BAB-Bass on Jun 15, 2008 1:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pic, I knew that was you before I scrolled down enough to see it was.
:)
Here's to what was suppose to be the most exciting offseason in years, but has instead spiraled downward into pitiful morass of indecision. Cheers!
by wjb1492 on Jun 15, 2008 3:01 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Huh?
is this a good thing or a bad thing…
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2008 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Think of it as your calling card
KG has his roar, Kobe has his jersey pop, and piccolomair has the 10 paragraph blog comment!
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 15, 2008 11:50 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heh
If i ever get banned i shouldnt try to sneak back on, even if matt didnt have his special gizmo that figures out if a user has been registered before on blogabull (something to do with ip adress?) he (and everyone else for that matter) would know its me just because of my long posts…
However, not ALL my posts are uberlong, most of them are just about a paragraph or two….thats just for the record.
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 16, 2008 1:43 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
sheesh
I don’t ban people because they write too much.
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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 16, 2008 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was Being Hypothetical...
:)
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 16, 2008 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It really doesn't matter
If someone doesn’t want to read it, they can just skip it.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 16, 2008 4:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely!
Here's to what was suppose to be the most exciting offseason in years, but has instead spiraled downward into pitiful morass of indecision. Cheers!
by wjb1492 on Jun 16, 2008 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great post.
My way of thinking on basketball is very similar to yours. NOT THAT I DON’T WANT BG BECAUSE I LIKE HIM ON THE BULLS, but other players are going to have new opportunities for offense if BG were moved. However, who would replace defensive if some of the better defenders are moved this offseason, or just playing bench minutes instead of starter minutes (i.e. hinrich, if Rose is taken over Beasley).
Yes, I totally think BG is a huge asset offensively, and I would prefer he be a 6th or 7th man off the bench for the Bulls rather than being traded, but I agree that it is defensive that separates the best teams from the middle of the pack teams (MOST of the time) and BG’s defense leaves a lot to be desired.
by Mattchoo on Jun 15, 2008 9:00 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My thoughts are the same
I may be sort of impacted by personal experience playing basketball, but whenever our “best” scorer doesnt show up guys step up, they think “hey, i know how to play, i can get something done” and i mean me and my friends are ametuers, and the bulls team if nothing else, is consisted of guys who were leaders or the main offensive weapons on thier own college teams. These guys can play and though i dont doubt that bgs offense wont be completely replaceable, its not like the team wont score at all (as scotter sort of implied).
I think defense will be more important in a game not offense, and having gordon and rose doesnt convince me on kik ass offense, but moreso i dont see how defensively our backcourt will ever survive. Athleticism can do so much, and then it comes down to skill…or so i believe. And i fully understand that gordons offensive skills outshine hinrichs, but it wont outshine hinrichs, dengs, thabos, thomas’ etc…while gordons shortcomings on defense and fighting double teams will probably impact the team ESPECIALLY come playoff time.
Pardon the cliche, but Defense wins championships right…i mean look at what the Cs are doing to the Lakers…
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2008 9:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice post
But I disagree with a great amount of it. For one, that lineup would be awful offensively – even with Beasley – as nobody would be able to make shots on the perimeter to help space the floor. Kirk’s career FG% is .414 (also exactly his percentage this past year) ... I mean, he’s 27 years old – do you really think he’s going to get that much better offensively? Outside of a general unproven theory that “offense will come” there’s nothing in Kirk’s performance record that indicates that some wild new offensive improvement is around the corner.
And while I really, really value defense – which is at the heart of my continued defense of Tyrus over LMA and my lean towards Rose over Beasley – I believe that us Bulls fans as a community are in denial about just how awful our offense is and what types of drastic measures it will take to bring our offense to even a mediocre level. Our offensive efficiency was 26th this season – and it wasn’t that much better than that last year before everything blew up – and is leaps and bounds from adequacy. We need a freaking telescope to see offensive adequacy.
Boston is a great example, as was brought up earlier – they were 10th in the league in offensive efficiency, at 107.6 points per 100 possessions, while the Bulls were at 101 points per 100 possessions. This is a Grand Canyon-esque gap that only becomes that much bigger if we let our best scorer (BG) walk away.
We can realistically retain our defensive level (13th in D-eff this year and 1st last year) – and eventually improve it – by swapping Hinrich out for Rose, leveraging Thabo more, and seeing development from our young bigs. But if we swap BG out for Kirk, in my opinion the drop-off on offense would make it virtually impossible to make the offensive improvements necessary to bring our offense to an adequate level.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 15, 2008 11:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dont think it would be that bad
I apologize for the fact that i dont use numbers or any hard evidence, I try to use my own logic which is a bias in its own, but i really try to think my argument through… this is part of my logic…
I think if ben gordon were gone, kirk hinrich would and COULD step up his game offensively, although i dont think it would be anywhere near ben gordons level. I do believe kirks meager 41 percent scoring isnt great, but i also think that the fact that he doesnt take as many shots as gordon, or even sees his role as a scorer is what helps give him such a low percentage and also makes him seem like a weak offensive players. This year had proof that hinrich could be a scorer when he needed to when BOTH luol deng and ben gordon (the two top scorers for the bulls) were out.
This is just considering hinrich, i think luol deng will be back closer to top form next year, and tyrus thomas (we all hope) will be a better player. I am not so much against drafting rose, who i think can give the team a great pg who can hit the open guys on the perimeter or for an open jam, but if you consider that the bulls do choose beasley, it would have to be due to his incredible offensive talent. Either way, those two players would help out on offense as well and if ben gordon were to be let go or signed and traded (again im not really a fan of that happening, but if someone had to go…) why couldnt we get another solid scorer using ben gordon as trade bait.
My logic really comes down to, ben gordons offense is great, but he is not a superstar scorer, and may not be an all star. Although kirk hinrich may not be those things also, he at least brings to the table a lot more versatility where he can play the point decently, score at a fair rate, and is a great perimeter defender. Whoever we get in the draft is only going to contribute more to our offense, and we all expect guys like luol, noah, thomas, and to a point thabo to improve as well offensively. It is also probably easier to get better offensively (working on your shot and post moves) as opposed to working on your defense (its all about willingness and fundementals, and most players know all the fundementals by college, and willingness just cant be taught or learned) So is it really wise to give up a solid all around guard for a star scoring guard?
I preached about balance in a game, and if we had to get rid of one of our guards, i really think ben gordon should be more likely the one to go, just because scoring will get us so far, and though the numbers say ben gordon can make up for his lack of defense with some of his scoring, i dont think it will be enough to win a championship. If we draft rose, the defense in the backcourt will not get better but perhaps worse (unless thabo plays heavy minutes), and if we draft rose we will have two players who are great offensively but below average on defense. By keeping hinrich as opposed to gordon, we may lose some offense, but the draft picks should be able to replace that fairly well (rose with play making and athleticism, beasley with tremendous skill)) and at the very least we wont lose any defense (rose i think at his worst will be as good as a defender as gordon and beasley i think will be just as good gordon, plus noah will be his backcourt mate who is a solid defender in his own right, and if tyrus stays he can help too).
So that is my logic, whether it is truth or not is unknown until i have the power of hindsight, which i dont…(unlike nbao?) but in at least my own head this makes sense to me, and if it doesnt make sense to you that is fine and ill listen to your views and see if i truly am flawed in my thinking. I think if ben gordon were definetly a superstar or allstar level scorer it would be different story…
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 16, 2008 2:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
We can agree to disagree on whether to keep Kirk or Ben
For one, it seems clear to me that we gain better balance as a team by keeping the better offensive player. But I don’t want to bark up that tree anymore – we can agree to disagree, and move on.
HOWEVA, I do think that there is one significant fatal flaw in your logic that I’d like to discuss:
I do believe kirks meager 41 percent scoring isnt great, but i also think that the fact that he doesnt take as many shots as gordon, or even sees his role as a scorer is what helps give him such a low percentage and also makes him seem like a weak offensive players.
The fact that Kirk takes less shots then Ben should help his field-goal percentage and overall offensive efficiency relative to Ben – the ability to take a lot of shots while maintaining strong efficiency is a very valuable and extremely rare skill. This is why Usage Rate is included as a positive factor in Hollinger’s PER formula (although some believe he overvalues this metric, that it represents a valuable skill does not seem to be in question).
I can’t stress this enough – again, it is my opinion and I don’t mean to be condescending in any manner – but I strongly disagree that any random “Player X” who has significant minutes in a complementary offensive role will suddenly flourish and increase their scoring efficiency when thrust into a major offensive role, as a matter of course.
Players who can score with both volume and efficiency are few and far between, and aren’t just made by having a low-efficiency player take a bunch of shots.
I don’t have time to expand at the moment, but I’d be happy to take this up at a later time.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 16, 2008 2:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dont take any of this personally
Were on a sports blog, and all we can do is consider our own thoughts and share them, its sort of hard to express my tone with just words, but im really not being judgemental and i understand that the bulls community for the most part seems split on the two players hinrich and gordon ever since 2004.
I dont think my argument was flawed, while you are correct taking less shots should mean a higher percentage, if you were to consider that if ben gordon takes 20 shots, and kirk takes only 10 but they both miss 1 shot, well kirk is shooting 90% while ben gordon is shooting 95%. Of course in a season ben gordon probably shoots almost twice as much as kirk does, and if you want to look at thier fg percentage in this last season, i think kirk was at 41 and ben gordon was at 43…
Granted they both had horrible seasons, and i will completely admit ben gordon is the better offensive player, but like i said, ben gordon has not shown to be a superstar or all star level scorer…so although his offense will be missed i dont think its irreplaceable, especially if you consider that whoever we draft in this years draft will definetly give us a boost offensively not defensively, plus with the return of a hopefully healthy (and improved) deng, i am not sure how much of ben gordons offense will be missing.
Its fine if it doesnt make sense to you, im probably not explaining it right and the only people who could understand are the ones who also consider ben gordon more expendable then kirk…which is i think what we are trying to argue (as opposed to who is better, or some other argument that can never have a conclusion)
Also, in the end i think we both realize that we really cant do anything but throw out our beliefs of the rosters, cuz paxson and his staff are the guys who will ultimately make the decision of who stays and who goes and though we wish they read these blogs, they probably really dont care what we think, afterall they can spend time with each of the players and see them for what they really are rather then what they have shown thus far in thier careers.
I dont mind you picking apart my argument, i actually encourage it, if my logic, philosophies, ideas are wrong, well then, i want people to point it out, and i want to be given the chance to better explain myself or learn of my flaws. So you can go ahead and pick at my argument the way you have been doing, so long as you dont do a “your wrong and im right and kirk sucks and ben gordon rules” thingy….
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 16, 2008 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cool. Totally fair.
I’m not sure I made my point about “shooting less = higher relative FG%” clear – but that’s a point for another day or time.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 16, 2008 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pic you're using a lot things in you're argument that aren't true.
Ben didn’t take anywhere close to twice as many shots as Kirk last year. He roughly had five shots for every four shots by Kirk. The gap is bigger than that because Gordon got to the line significantly more than Kirk, a issue I’ll bring up again later. Gordon’s usage rate was 38% higher than Kirk’s. As I’ll explain later Hinrich may end up shooting better with more shots there is no way he could come anywhere close to Gordon’s efficiency if Hinrich had to use 26% of the team’s possessions like he did last year. And Deng is not someone who can carry that load either without a reduction in efficiency. That’s part of what happened to Deng last season.
They also didn’t both have horrible years. Hinrich had his worst season since his rookie year if not the worst season of his career. Gordon, despite the memorable end of game failures and the near universal defensive struggles in the backcourt, had the 2nd best season of his career. Career low TO%, PER of 16.5, and career high ORtg.
Gordon’s offensive production isn’t easily replaced. He had both the highest Usage% and Offensive rating on the team last year. In the majority of cases when a player uses more possessions their efficiency goes down because they have to take more marginal shots and put themselves in situations where turnovers are more likely. The relationship between efficiency and usage is different for different players, but the general rule of thumb is that for every 1% added to their Usage% leads to a decrease in their offensive rating of 1 point. I always look to see how well then rule of thumb holds up when I look at player pages at B-R and it generally holds up pretty well. But, guards who take a much higher% of unassisted shots have much more volatile offensive ratings.
Hinrich is so far has been basically unpredictable. I think he likely would improve his shooting% some if his usage rate increased back to his 06/07 rate because I believe that he shoots much more better when he’s aggressive offensively and is shooting off the dribble. But, Kirk will never reach a level where he’s capable of replacing what Gordon does offensively. You pointed to a modest difference in FG% of 2% between Gordon and Hinrich last year, but that’s not an accurate depiction of the difference. There was a 3.3% difference in their eFG% and a 5.7% difference in their TS%. Gordon’s also draws a higher % of fouls, he’s been one of the league leaders in drawing fouls of the non-shooting variety. The value of Gordon’s offense is in the complete offensive picture.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 16, 2008 4:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scotter
I truly love your ability to decipher numbers, and there is almost nothing i can do to refute your numbers. Also i apologize for those “facts” i gave, i didnt mean to give them as facts (i believe i wrote i think, denoting that i wasnt sure) and i really should look up the numbers although i gotta be honest…i dont want to. I also completely agree that ben gordon is our best offensive player on this team right now.
Although i cant argue with your numbers, i dont think its so far fetched for me to not agree completely with them in terms of thier ability to predict the future. Numbers are only accurate when dealing with the past, especially in this case (evaluating a teams or players peformance). I understand that hinrich, or deng, or any one player on the bulls team will ever be able to completely replace gordon, however i am thinking that with the new draft picks, and a new coach, the team will be able to cover thier losses offensively (if gordon isnt here), but getting rid of hinrich would impact the team more in terms of some offensive production, some defensive production, and a player who can play either guard position fairly well.
I think the problem with my argument, especially in a person who likes to use hard evidence such as numbers, is that there really isnt a good enough sample size to determine how good the bulls would be without hinrich vs without gordon, that also considers the player we will draft in 10 days (!!!!) , the team style that will be played, the trades that will take place, and the mentality of the players when they come back in the upcoming year.
I do believe that gordon isnt a superstar scorer, and maybe not even an all star offensively, i do believe that defense really is harder to come by , and is what ultimately wins games, and i do believe that gordon paired with d. rose or Beasley will be a defensive liability (with d. rose you get a small backcourt with fairly raw defneders, although possibly d-rose will be better in the future, its uncertain though. Beasley isnt a good defender and i dont think they can share the role of main scorer without one of them losing thier offensive value to the team). These are my beliefs and i have no evidence to back them up, which im sure really irks you about my points.
This leads me to my biggest point for the upcoming season, and the biggest neccesity for this bulls team despite the sam smith like trade articles. KEEP ALL THE CORE FOR ONE MORE YEAR, GIVE EVERYBODY ONE MORE CHANCE. Id even go as far as to say keep duhon just to see what you can do with the roster. Its a tricky task and it might mean more losses then wed like, but i would like to see at least for the first half of the season, plenty of instances where gordon and hinrich share the court together, and apart. I would like to know for sure which players are worth keeping and seeing who bounces back and who doesnt. i would like to see which players are better suited to fit in with our draft picks whoever they may be. I am sure this would also help me get some actual evidence rather than theories on my beliefs.
I think paxson must realize something along these lines, so i really see hinrich, gordon, deng, noch, duhon, thabo, tyrus, and gooden staying around at least until the trade deadline.
In the future i hope i can make an argument like yours that uses actual evidence, until then forgive me for my theories and beliefs based on my own thoughts.
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 16, 2008 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
?
You mean you would want to keep Duhon just to see if you can find playing time for yet another player in the backcourt next year, when it will already be a problem with Rose, Gordon, Kirk, Thabo, (PeeOn, Brown, Hughes).
The Game chose him !
by Diabolo on Jun 17, 2008 3:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Keep duhon
If the plan is to draft rose and get rid of hinrich you will still need a backup right? Duhon will probably have a contract thats smaller (in length and money) then hinrich, and though i wouldnt be a fan of it EVER, it might be wise for them to keep duhon at the rate of a backup pg rather then have hinrich play a backup pg but making starter money. That would be why they would keep duhon. im not saying im a fan of that idea, but i can see the organization taking a look at that possiblity.
Hope that made some sense…
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 17, 2008 4:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not sure if I missed this
in your statement, but Gordon’s stats should reflect that he did this despite becoming the leagues double teamed guy. Hinrich was left a lot more open to shoot AND penetrate. he just doesn’t have the same killer instinct that Ben does for whatever reason. As a result it always looked like when Ben failed to save the game for the bulls, he was just not that good, but come on, give the guy and this team another serious crunch time scoring option and THEN let’s see what happens.
Hinrich does hustle, but he will never fill that role for a team.
by gman2849 on Jun 16, 2008 9:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Which one makes others better?
This is how I approach this question.
Kirk makes others better-to what degree is debatable-but better
Gordon creates a dislocation on defense that has other players scrambling to cover and needs other players to make him look good on offense. H doesn’t make others look better on offense.
by hlac on Jun 17, 2008 10:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, Gordon does make others look
better on offense. He’s the guy that the defenses worry about the most. He’s the guy Pat Riley worried about the most, which helped Deng in that playoff series. He also takes every crappy shot with the shot clock running down. Imagine Hinrich or Deng having to manufacture a shot. It wouldn’t be pretty. Remove some of that load and Gordon is a more efficient player. Remove Gordon and Hinrich, Deng, and other players have an increased load, which leads to them manufacturing all of the end of shot clock shots instead.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 17, 2008 12:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder if BG's comment about "too many guards"
is a not so subtle endorsement of Beasley.
Beasley might also be a guy who would be able to dramatically raise Gordon’s efficiency.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 17, 2008 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
So BG said, or implied, that we would have "too many guards?"
That’s strange for him to say – since if did have too many guard, it would certainly influence his play on the team.
by swede2287 on Jun 17, 2008 12:55 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
and he always falls down!!!
CHICAGO MANE!!!!
by YEP on Jun 17, 2008 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Larry Hughes
Larry Hughes = Jalen Rose, without the jump shot. But everything else is about the same?
by exult463 on Jun 13, 2008 10:05 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Jalen Rose with better D but not as good on offense
CHICAGO MANE!!!!
by YEP on Jun 16, 2008 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jalen Rose was a really good ball handler and passer.
When he was on the Bulls we mostly saw his scoring side, but he had an excellent all around game…other than his non-D.
Dum spiro spero! (While there is life, there’s hope!)--Leon Trotsky
by alec on Jun 16, 2008 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
It was weird that he became a gunner rather than a scorer/facilitator pretty much immediately upon coming to the Bulls.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 16, 2008 2:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
have to say
his passing options on those bulls teams were pretty limited…
by Jaina on Jun 16, 2008 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
exactly
the team consisted of:
Crawford, Bagaric, Hoiberg, Brunson, Blount, Fizer, Robinson, Curry, Mason, Baxter, Marshall, Rose, Chandler, Williams, Hassell
Have of those people were gunners themselves. The rest weren’t, but only because they weren’t good enough to be one.
I’m sorry, but I don’t blame him one bit for gunning on that squad.
by NormVanBeer on Jun 16, 2008 3:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
I’m a huge fan of Jalen’s from back in his Fab Five days, but it’s a really tough argument that the proper way to help your team is to play as selfishly as humanly possible, which is diametrically opposite to how he had played in the past.
Even if it’s true … it’s still a tough argument. And it was tough to watch.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 16, 2008 4:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow Lonny Baxter, I forgot about him
Christ the Bulls were horrible on an epic scale for some years there. We also had that blogger scrub Paul Shirley play a few games for us. If you like uber-sarcasm and hatred of things, read that guy’s book.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 16, 2008 5:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are we jumping to conlcusions?
we all know what team we like the bulls. how many time’s are we gunna get surprised and not realize pax never doe’s anything that we can predict. isn’t beasley still an option or am i the only one who thinks he might be rookie of the year? i still think he’s can make 20 ppg and 10 rpg in his first season. I like.
1.hinrich/hughes or duhon
2.gordon/thabo
3.deng/noc
4.Beasley/Thomas
5.Noah/Gooden
???????????? am i the only one who likes this?
by AFireInside661 on Jun 13, 2008 10:56 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
No, you aren't.
It is just about 75% of BaB nation is all for Rose, and about (estimating) 70% of BaB nation wants Hinrich out.
It seems that many around here feel Hinrich isn’t a PG. I’ve ALWAYS felt Hinrich played as a point guard mentality. Sure, he doesn’t have the glamour and same type of break down defensive capabilities of Nash, CP3, and D Williams, but he has orchestrated the Bulls offensive (except when Duhon was on the court with him at the same time) and is pass first. Except for parts of this past year, I’ve seen him point/yell at players to be in certain positions on the court during offensive sets. Actually, I clearly remember that our homer announcers (so take this as it is) were praising Hinrich in the preseason that it appeared he took great steps in leadership and is telling all the young players where they needed to be. I guess the wheels may have truly started coming off when the Deng / Gordon contract negotiations went goofy and his name came up in the Kobe talks.
I like your lineup, but I really want to see the Bulls trade Gooden and one guard and future picks for an all-star at SG or C; preferably SG. Of course this is if we draft Beasley. If they Bulls take Rose, then don’t trade for a guard unless it’s a spot up shooter. Is there another Ray Allen out there?
by Mattchoo on Jun 14, 2008 9:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I *do* think that Hinrich is a point guard
I just don’t think that he’s that good, and I think the upgrade from Hinrich to Rose at an extremely important position is too much to pass up.
This oversimplifies the argument, but I’d rather have a very good point guard and an average power forward than an average point guard and a very good power forward.
In time, I suspect that we’ll have both.
Parental Advisory - Explicit Content
by Jivas on Jun 14, 2008 2:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm probably the only guy this high on him
but I see Eric Gordon as a more explosive, better finishing, but much smaller Michael Redd. I think EG would get to the line a respectable amount as well. I’d love to bring him off the bench in the BG role because EG also is too small for the 2 has shown little to no PG skills. And it’d be much easier to stomach a #7 or #8 pick being a sixth man than a #3 pick who wants $10m+ per. This would be more a part of an ancillary move to clear up the backcourt by taking a major minutes guy out of the picture (Hinrich), hopefully getting a shorter contract in return, and the cherry on top being the form of having insurance for the likely to walk Ben Gordon, a guy who won’t get many minutes in the upcoming season, via the draft.
This assumes the Bulls deal Hinrich to the Clippers or Bucks, and have to take on a contract like Bobby Simmons or Cuttino Mobley in return, but both only have two years remaining. Probably not going to happen with the already existing logjam in the backcourt, but where is there not a logjam already on this roster?
by messwiththebull on Jun 15, 2008 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Although reuniting Kirk with Skiles would be comical
I don’t see why the Bucks would pass up on getting an offensive talent like Eric Gordon in return for Kirk….when they already signed Mo Williams to a Hinrich-esque extension. Their bigger priority is trading Michael Redd, at least IMO.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 15, 2008 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Eric Gordon has been called a "rich man's Ben Gordon."
From DraftExpress. Not bad for a draft pick.
by swede2287 on Jun 15, 2008 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
no, im also very high on eric gordon
i think he’s going to be the third best player from this draft. right after beasley and mayo.
by kite on Jun 15, 2008 11:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he probably will be rookie of the year
but I’d still rather have Rose.
by potato0328 on Jun 14, 2008 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The thing is-
If Rose plays well, and the Bulls improve their winning pct by a ton, Rose could win Rookie of the Year.
by iBurkey on Jun 15, 2008 12:05 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's keep the hopes realistic
PG is not the easiest position to get acclimated to. If he’s averaging 7-8 assists a game I’ll be more than happy.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 15, 2008 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beasley
Has a better chance of averaging 20 and 10 in his rookie year then rose has a chance of averaging 10pts and 10assists for his rookie year….
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2008 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well of course.
They’re are a lot more guys who average 20/10 every season than 10 pts/100 ass.
20/10 does not = 10 points/ 10 assists. There were a lot of years where only one guy would average 10 assists.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 15, 2008 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Huh
Yea i know, thats what i meant….a rookie who is averaging double double is more likely to get the ROY award, D. Rose would have to post some amazing numbers to keep beasley from winning the ROY. That isnt really an argument on who the better player is, but im fairly sure that theres no way Beasley doesnt get it unless he ends up being a bust…
On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....
by piccolomair on Jun 15, 2008 10:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rookies simply don't average 10 assists.
There have been quite a few that have been 20/10 players. Rose would only need to average 16 point and 7-8 assists to be a rookie of the year candidate if the Bulls finish with a decent record. That’s all Chris Paul did. Steve Francis was 18 and 6 and was co ROY with 20/10 Elton Brand. 10 points and 10 assists is a strange number to throw out there.
formerly sbulls
by Scotter on Jun 15, 2008 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
D. Rose would have to post some amazing numbers to keep beasley from winning the ROY
There’s also this guy called Greg Oden…
by BAB-Bass on Jun 16, 2008 4:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who's that ?
Is this some obscure international prospect in this year’s draft, possibly coming from Norway (with a name like that) ?
The Game chose him !
by Diabolo on Jun 16, 2008 6:45 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
http://www.gregoden.com/
To answer your questions: No and no.
by BAB-Bass on Jun 16, 2008 9:01 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My bad,
should have written that in pink !
The Game chose him !
by Diabolo on Jun 17, 2008 3:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not so good with text formatting...
Ask someone else
by BAB-Bass on Jun 17, 2008 7:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or you could have
not acted like a goofball and asked who it was… Which I assume you knew…
The point was that he will get to play as a rookie due to not having played in a single game last season and thus should be considered a serious cadidate for ROY together with Rose and Beasley rather than it being a two-man race…
by BAB-Bass on Jun 17, 2008 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's right
I believe Greg Oden can win ROY of the year. He didn’t play in a single game last year.
For reference – Scola was considered for rookie of the year despite being drafted years ago by the Spurs.
David Robinson won ROY three years after he was drafted.
If he isn’t eligible for ROY, let me know.
by swede2287 on Jun 17, 2008 1:05 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you don't play a game for the season you were drafted
You are still a rookie. Robinson was considered for the ROY because he was finishing his service with the Navy.
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 17, 2008 2:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i don't think that's right
“rookie”, according to NBA terms, means “first-year player”. It has nothing to do with amount of games played. Even though Oden technically still has yet to play in a game, he will be considered a second-year player. He is no longer in his rookie season. I don’t think he will be eligible.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBA_Rookie_of_the_Year_Award
The National Basketball Association’s Rookie of the Year Award is an annual award given since the 1952-53 NBA season, to the top first-year player in the league.
by NormVanBeer on Jun 17, 2008 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
my reason
for saying that he will be a “second-year player” is because he was listed on their roster and was paid. Robinson won it because even though the Spurs had his draft rights, he still wasn’t a part of their roster yet and was not being paid by them.
Oden has been getting paid by the Blazers and traveled with the team for most of the season.
by NormVanBeer on Jun 17, 2008 2:47 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
pretty sure
he is still eligible. See RealGM discussion here. even though that’s techically a bunch of people just like us speculating.
i’m also sure, thinking about it now, that i read it on NBA.com, on one of the rookie rankings pages. at least that’s where i think i saw it. and they did confirm he will be eligible for ROY.
by Jaina on Jun 17, 2008 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember reading
that the Blazers got confirmation from the league that Oden would still be eligible for ROY next season on the condition that he did not take part in any game.
As Jaina said, this is quite a while back so unfortunately I don’t remember where I read it. May very well be NBA.com…
by BAB-Bass on Jun 17, 2008 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
what a difference a few weeks makes...
it’s so awesome that weeks ago that me an probably a lot of guys here were pissed off when the season ended. such expectations that were ruined for a number of reasons. lol we were even trying to figure out who were goin to take for the 9th position but we pulled a rabbit out of a hat and got the #1 and now we get to argue over which ‘future’ allstar we get to draft first. GOOD DAY TO BE A BULLS FAN.(so what it took like ten years) :)
B-Easy or D. Rose either way its good news easily win an extra 15 games next year with this improvement!
by AFireInside661 on Jun 14, 2008 4:58 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree.
We didn’t deserve the #1 but we got it so the future is definitely bright. Between Rose and B-Easy i’d take Rose, a pg with his talent is hard to find. No matter how you try to bend and shape him, Hinrich is NOT a pg and his poor play reflects it. I like Hinrich but he is what he is.
by JohnnyKilroy on Jun 14, 2008 7:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The more I think about it,
the more I agree that this is a really awesome post. I had no idea that BG was that good, as in, historically good.
The Bulls would be foolish to give up on him now. Look at how the Celtics made Paul Pierce a max (or close to max?) player, despite the fact that he really wasn’t even in the top ten players in the league. Ditto for Michael Redd.
The post does still lead to more questions, though, such as whether the Bulls will pay a guy a lot of money to be a super 6th man, and whether the Bulls can ever start Rose and Gordon…
"It’d be ridiculous to hate someone for simply what they say in a sports blog. But I greatly dislike every syllable of your angst-filled, smarmy, nondescript, half-assed, elitist-garbage responses." –Rogerspark Kris
by bullhockey on Jun 15, 2008 4:20 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Pierce
has always been packing the goods, his stage and supporting cast was always too dim for many to notice him. He has a complete game (defense & offense). He can take you off the dribble (excellent handles) or pull up and shot mid-range or three pointer.
BG is no all-star, nor any comparision to Paul Pierce. Gordon is a slightly better Sasha V. (Lakers), and that aint much. At this point he’s a 6th or 7th man.
We got rid of Crawford, and he’s not worst than both Kirk and Ben. While extreme, it’s time to plan to get rid of Hughes, Kirk and Ben, these guys are not good enough
by exult463 on Jun 16, 2008 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um
If Sasha is anyone on the Bulls he’s most definitley Nocioni, complete with disregard for offensive flow and the desire to jack up the worst shots possible, and the incredulous look after every foul.
Rusty Longley v 2.0
by Ozzie Montana on Jun 16, 2008 5:43 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I knew there were still
some Crawford fans left.
management sez: recommend fanposts/fanshots/comments! Click 'reply' when replying to a comment! Flag jerkfaces!
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Jun 16, 2008 7:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gordon hasn't
played on the same team with another crunch time scorer like pierce has now. nor did Pierce have the stigma of being a good defender until KG came into town.
by gman2849 on Jun 16, 2008 9:52 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
MIDGET WARNING
Pierce is quite a bit bigger than BG. Part of potential is that you can develop moves that take advantage of physical advantages. What are BG’s? He’s like Reggie Miller without the height. A great shooter, I agree- but not worth tons of dough.
by iBurkey on Jun 15, 2008 5:37 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
trade both gordon and hinrich
krik and gooden to the clips for maggete, mobley and #7 pick.
gordon and mobley for tj ford and rasho nesterovich.
pick beasley first and eric gordon at #7.
rasho has an expiring contract, and would be a decent backup to noah at center.
lineup:
pg – tj ford
sg – maggette
sf – deng
pf – beasley
c – noah
eric gordon, thabo and tyrus would be great pieces coming off the bench. the rest of the players (rasho, gray, cedric simmons, jameson curry, nocioni, and hughes) all suck. an 8 or nine-man rotation is ideal, anyways.
i realize that this is probably (99.99999%) not going to happen, but if it did, the team would be pretty good.
by kite on Jun 15, 2008 7:17 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
uh-uh.
"Left hand, right hand, it doesn't matter. I'm amphibious."
by bulls*hit on Jun 15, 2008 8:41 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What??
Cocaine is a helluva drug…...
by JohnnyKilroy on Jun 15, 2008 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
**i'm disagreeing
i see this as impossible and nonsensical. honestly, i don’t think the roster will be that altered.. probably two/three names, but nothing like this. and, yes, it is.
"Left hand, right hand, it doesn't matter. I'm amphibious."
by bulls*hit on Jun 16, 2008 2:48 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If we traded for the entire Celtics team,
we’d be pretty good too.
by Prevenge on Jun 16, 2008 12:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This trade rids us of
two of the three bum guards on the roster. You forgot Hughes.
by exult463 on Jun 16, 2008 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thorpe sure talks up his guys.
Jay (Chicago): You worked with Luol Deng at your training Center. Do you think he’s an NBA All-Star this upcoming season?SportsNation David Thorpe: (12:11 PM ET ) Likely yes, depending on who he is playing for. He’s totally healthy now.
But I like it.
by swede2287 on Jun 25, 2008 11:26 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
jermaine o'neal just got traded to the raps
for ford and nesterovice.
I wish we’d taken a chance on him. I think we could have gotten him for hinrich and another player.
by swede2287 on Jun 25, 2008 9:01 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Jeff Bower wants BG, so now so do I
A shooter of his caliber goes well with a PG like Rose or Paul.
Tom (Worcester, MA): Hey Chad, what’s in store for the Hornets after trading their pick?
Chad Ford: Look for them to make a run at a two guard in free agency. I’m sure Ben Gordon is near the top of their list, but he’s a restricted free agent so it would have to be some sort of sign-and-trade.
by messwiththebull on Jun 26, 2008 1:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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