So you wanna trade Gordon or Deng?
As you may have noticed, the 'what I'd do this offseason' diaries and comments have started to accumulate on the site. Usually they include the Bulls giving an opposing GM Rohypnol, and then having their way with their roster while only giving up Andres Nocioni.
But if such a grand plan must turn out lopsided in the favor of the beloved, at least make it cap-legal. The main stickiness involves two of the Bulls better players, Deng and Gordon. Both of whom, you may have heard, are restricted free agents this offseason.
This means you have to remember a few key things when discussing their role in a make-believe Bulls offseason makeover, sorted out by the extremely handy cap FAQ by Larry Coon.
Deng and Gordon cannot be traded before or on draft night. So if you had the idea of using either to move up in the draft, sorry. Bulls can't even negotiate (i.e. "go find something better than $50m, fools!") until the free agency period begins, which is after the draft. Technically, what could happen is that the drafted player remains unsigned until free agency begins and his rights are traded, or that draftee is signed and (after 30 days) is then included in a trade. I don't think a drafted player, especially a lottery pick, has ever been traded that fast, and it seems far-fetched that a pre-arranged deal could occur between draft day and free agency, with both teams and the free agents agreeing.
If Deng and Gordon are signed&traded, they are still treated as base-year compensation players. I was slightly surprised by this one, as I thought perhaps an offseason sign&trade would be a loophole. But after hearing that wasn't the case on Bulls Beat, and looking it up...the BYC status still applies.
Base-year compensation (BYC) is the designation both Hinrich and Nocioni were under this season (as they both received 20% raises when signing their contract extensions), and it basically means that in a trade with both teams over the cap (which is, as we know, nearly everyone), the outgoing salary is considered halved (or $4.5m, or last year's salary. Whichever is greater), while the incoming salary for the recipient is the whole salary.
So let's say Gordon finds his elusive 6/$66m (identical yearly payments) contract with another team that's over the cap. The Bulls can work out a sign&trade with that team, but while the incoming salary for that team would be the $11m, the Bulls outgoing salary would only be considered $5.5m. If a team wanted to deal back an $11m player of their own, that means the Bulls are taking in $11m, while only sending out $5.5m. That's not within the 125% threshhold for a trade, so the trade can't happen.
It's not an impossible situation, there just has to be more players involved. The best candidates financially being Drew Gooden ($7.15m) or Andres Nocioni ($8m. ugh), who have cap figures that are significant but not too much (when combined with a Deng or Gordon). So in the previous example, if the Bulls send out Gordon and Gooden, it's now $12.65m going out, and for the other team it's $18.15m going in. If the other team sends the Bulls a trade package with a total salary of $14.5m, it's within the 125% threshhold for both teams.
So like I said, it isn't impossible. But it's still a pretty tough situation. For the Bulls to execute a successful sign&trade with either Deng or Gordon, they'd have to find a team willing to pay their new salary, also willing to take the additional players needed to mitigate Deng/Gordon's base-year compensation, and then willing to give the Bulls a package they'd accept in return.
Not exactly easy, which is why this will likely be a long, long, offseason for Deng, Gordon and the Bulls. But I applaud anyone's creative effort, and if you can't play within those rules for Deng and Gordon, you can always trade the rest of these guys. Nobody's untouchable. No, Mike McGraw, not even the great Thabo.
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76 comments
Comments
NOT THABO!
by hscs on Apr 2, 2008 9:43 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
to be fair
At least Thabo isn't in 'bust' territory anymore. He's a big guard with good defensive tools (if not a great defender yet) and he can rebound like hell. He's also very good at finishing in transition. That's not, er, untouchable.
At least Luol Deng had some really good years before getting that (fan-driven only) label.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 2, 2008 10:31 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
the ideal situation is to find some sucker
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 2, 2008 10:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
and speaking of Shannon Brown
Although if they signed him he can be included in a trade package, if they're hurting for money to throw in they can use Simmons (who's signed) instead.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 2, 2008 10:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was trying to compare Brown and Curry's
http://www.nba.com/dleague/playerfile/gamelogs.jsp?player=shannon_brown
http://www.nba.com/dleague/playerfile/gamelogs.jsp?player=jameson_curry
by hscs on Apr 3, 2008 8:18 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A little off topic,
by NittanyBull on Apr 2, 2008 9:45 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
"I felt threatened,"
Already? I hate that guy.
by MarketMaker on Apr 2, 2008 11:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He is under sever threat
In fact, it may be too late.
by bullhockey on Apr 3, 2008 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This sounds like something that will ruin
If it's discussable, put it in a diary. kthxbye.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 2, 2008 11:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds baaad.
by cranscape on Apr 2, 2008 11:47 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The real tragedy
by MarketMaker on Apr 3, 2008 12:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
if he's benched
by NormVanBeer on Apr 3, 2008 8:03 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is the duly designated diary now?
by bullshooter on Apr 2, 2008 10:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
heh
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 2, 2008 11:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't mind
1 - Sign and trade Gordon, maybe in a package with Noce. I like Noce, because he can do so many good things on the court when he's not shooting the ball like a wacky, but if we got to let him go to get someone like Iguodala or Ellis, so be it...
2 - Find a way of get rid of Hughes. The must of us agree that he sucks and that he's taking minutes from Thabo, who is far better and far young.
3 - Keep Deng. He may not become a superstar, like we all want, but with the correct coach I think he's going to score some good points. In the 1st or in the 4th, it doesn't matter to me. All the points are important when we are talking about basketball.
4 - Try too get Iguodala, Ellis, Arenas... Someone who can provide some quality on the backcourt, our big problem on my opinion, because on the frontcourt I believe we have one of the most promising pairs of the game in TT and Noah. They seem to connect well when they are both on the court...
5 - Use Gray, Gooden and all the other crap - hinrich isn't in this definition - that we have on our roster to make this trades happen.
6 - Draft a C, to be a backup of Noah, or Derrick Rose, by far the only player that I would like us to draft. If we, somehow, could get Rose, we can use hinrich on a trade, stay with duhon and forget Arenas
7 - The most importante thing: Fire Boylan and get us a good coach, who can work with the young guys
by bull83 on Apr 3, 2008 8:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Gooden isn't crap
by hscs on Apr 3, 2008 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
this is all over the place
But don't want to trade Deng, Thomas, Noah, or Hinrich.
That's not really practical.
And yes, getting Derrick Rose would be nice.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
we could send
I just don't want to loose Deng, Thomas, Noah and Thabo - the future guys of this team. The other, 'crap or not', can go...
by bull83 on Apr 3, 2008 9:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
not possible
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:25 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not to mention the small ball possiblities
by Ozzie Montana on Apr 3, 2008 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Understood Matt
by bull83 on Apr 3, 2008 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
probably the only shot we have at getting rose
a. we get the second pick
b. memphis gets the secong pick, and we trade noah, ty, noc, and our pick to memphis for the pick we use for rose and some other memphis scrub.
i like option a
by Conor on Apr 3, 2008 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
From Matt's post it seems we obtain more
1- The coaching staff hasn't been smart enough to come up with other options.
2- The rest of the team doesn't have the balls to take a pressured shot.
by chgobr on Apr 3, 2008 8:39 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I was leaving this in the chamber
Signing each to the qualifying offer is sort of a worst-case option for both sides. The Bulls because they can't trade them (without their consent) during the season and then in the offseason can lose them for nothing, and the players because if they sign a QO, that's not exactly encouraging for their long-term future, and they'll likely be treated as such.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:04 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matt, this is offtopic to a degree
http://blogabull.com/story/2008/4/2/221720/2463#commenttop
Instead it would appear in a different color with a text you want like.
You used this quite a bit in the above post and I thought it might be interesting to read/learn from that prior BaB post.
Thanks.
by majoyenrac on Apr 3, 2008 8:52 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
I appreciate the help!
by majoyenrac on Apr 3, 2008 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't worry about reading it, just bookmark it
by snley on Apr 3, 2008 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Couple more items for consideration
- We all want and expect Boylan to be fired.
- Larry Hughes has a large contract that we would love to be seen dealt for something useful, but chances are the team's stuck with him for next season.
by snley on Apr 3, 2008 9:01 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm with you on #1
But there are scenarios where you can deal Hughes for something useful. That useful thing may have an awful contract, however.
Last offseason the Celtics were able to trade Wally Szczerbiak and the 2/$25.5m left on his deal in a package for Ray Allen (and his 3/$52+m).
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:17 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Was considering that, and maybe should rephrase.
by snley on Apr 3, 2008 9:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another problem
A problem is the Bulls players are all fairly good. There's not many obvious upgrades except at PF and C, but those positions are manned by guys we expect significant improvement from anyway.
I've been looking around and trying to figure out any conceivable means of turning some of our extras into long-term piece somewhere and I'm not seeing a lot of obvious ways to do it.
If we want to get a player who's a clear upgrade to what we have, we have to find another team that has a bad situation they want to escape from. Memphis with Gasol was an example there. Or Seattle with Ray Allen last year. Not that I think Allen would have been a perfect fit for the Bulls; my point is that the Sonics wanted to go in a different (money-saving, youth) direction.
So step one is to find a team that wants to change.
Step two is to find a player on that team that could help us.
Step three is to see if any of our players would fit what they're trying to do.
I guess there are plenty of teams that will want to change. Dallas and Denver will be paying lots of luxury tax and have very little to show for it. Atlanta, Charlotte, Milwaukee and New York all have big salary commitments and aren't making much progress. I'd start looking there.
by Sports2 on Apr 3, 2008 9:12 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think Arenas is that much of a
Sadly our days of duping the Knicks appear to be over, not to mention that their roster blows. I wouldn't put Atlanta in that group because they're ok salary wise. Denver could be saving money in the offseason if Iverson opts out for a long-term deal. Dallas might try and get under the tax, but I don't see them dealing Nowitzki or Howard unless it's for someone better than anyone on the Bulls, and I don't want Kidd, Terry, Stackhouse, Dampier.
You're absolutely right though, look at teams who will be looking to make big changes. The Warriors letting Monta Ellis go (or Philly dealing Iguodala) is not one of them.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
for instance, if the Bulls wanted the distinction
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 9:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why don't
Duncan's old and his team needs a change before the whole ship sinks.
I think the Spurs would like that....
Sorry, I'm just making a joke because some of the trades on here have been ridiculous.
by majoyenrac on Apr 3, 2008 10:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do we want Arenas?
Thus, the Hawks are going to have a hell of a time re-signing Josh Smith. I don't really understand how, exactly, the ownership agreement works, but I expect that if they can't sign any player to more than a 4 year deal, they can't trade for a player who has more than four year left either.
If those are the rules they have to play by, it seems like the Bulls could offer them some sort of sign and trade deal for Josh Smith that would at least give them a return.
That doesn't make me sold on Josh Smith (who seems to present some of the same um... "issues" as Tyrus, just in a better player), but I'm at least willing to consider the possibility. Something like a sign and trade of Noc + Tyrus (tomorrow's Joe Smith) for today's Josh Smith might be interesting.
(I think under the ownership dispute agreement the Hawks could accept Noc back because, although he's got 5 years left on his contract, the final year is a team option, so it's purely at the Hawk's discretion)
by Sports2 on Apr 3, 2008 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think they'll go the easy route
The real catch would be Josh Childress, who they may (foolishly) let go because they still feel the need to justify their pick of Marvin Williams. Not sure that he's a fit for the Bulls necessarily though.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't really see Josh Smith
by bullshooter on Apr 3, 2008 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd also make the claim
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
How are defensive win shares measured?
God, I wish Thomas could have been played 3,000 minutes through his first two seasons.
by tyger1147 on Apr 3, 2008 11:50 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I've never even looked at defensive
I was just observing. From what I read Smith is a great help defender but no so much on his own guy. I suppose you could say the same about Thomas against bigger PFs, but Thomas does a decent job out on the perimeter that I'd guess Smith doesn't feel like doing.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Smith is a much better on ball defender
On the topic of Arenas, he said the other day that he would take a paycut to resign with the Wizards if they are able to lock up Jamison. I doubt he is going anywhere.
by shoryuken on Apr 3, 2008 1:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Various things
Statistically, looking at Smith's 1st year vs. Thomas' 1st year, I'd take Smith's. And I'd take Smith's 2nd over Thomas' 2nd year.
Should we spend $50M for him? I dunno. I'd probably offer a bit less, but we also should be keeping in mind that we'll have to offer Thomas a new contract down the road too. If I had to choose at this point, I'd prefer $50M on Smith to $38M on Noc and $38M on Tyrus.
* Arenas, likewise, seems less than the sum of his parts. He talks so much I think people would end up hating him. Plays like Steve Francis (right down to the series of injuries... we'll see if he comes back from them), talks like Jalen Rose. I'm desperate, but I'd want to see how he does on the court before I take that sort of chance.
by Sports2 on Apr 3, 2008 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What do you think are Josh Smith's negatives?
My list of negatives on Josh Smith
- poor shot selection
- below average shooter outside of the paint
- Is he a 3 or 4 and thus another version of Andrei Kirilenko?
- has a shooting percentage of a guard
The Bulls-Tyrus Thomas relationship sounds pretty bad. I hope it can improve. I think Tyrus could be really good. He's too young and too raw to throw it all away now. The organization was patient with Curry and Chandler. Is Thomas really that bad that we can't even get to season three with him?
by NBA Observer on Apr 3, 2008 2:44 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you think
by NormVanBeer on Apr 3, 2008 3:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Umm
What is it?
by NBA Observer on Apr 3, 2008 3:11 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, seeing as though...
by lexdiamonds0730 on Apr 3, 2008 9:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What about "specialists?"
I don't know if there's that much out there that fits precisely that mold.
I agree with HCSC (and was thinking this last night), that a PF of Gooden and Thomas could be (I'd say probably be) among the Top-5 (at least Top-10) productions out of PF in the league. So maybe look for a more offensive-minded C to pair with Noah. Maybe a more-established, better defensive SF instead of Nocioni. Or someone at PG who is your "pure" version, but better than Duhon.
I really have no idea, and this is the first I've thought of this, but I'm just wondering...
by tyger1147 on Apr 3, 2008 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Qualifying offer for BG
Second point-I still feel that Thabo can be a point guard. Now we can keep Hughes and Kirk.
by hlac on Apr 3, 2008 11:25 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I thought this didn't need to be included in
Bulls are over the cap with or without Gordon's cap hold.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
According to the salary info at Sport2.com
by hlac on Apr 7, 2008 12:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No team can be $4.7m under the cap
If they renounce the rights to everyone (Gordon, Deng, Duhon, PeeOn, I believe they still have rights to Mike Sweetney which is a cap hold)...maybe they get to $9m. Which could get you someone who's better than a MLE player but not quite a max contract player. Hey, like Gordon and Deng!
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 7, 2008 4:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ah, someone already did the leg-work
they're not renouncing the rights to Gordon or Deng. It's not like the old days where they get a 'slot' to sign a player for the same money that the player you lost made (I think it used to go something like that).
And jimminy christmas, Ben Gordon is too good to just let go for nothing.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 7, 2008 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My goodness
by hlac on Apr 7, 2008 11:34 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Informative.
by 1958ChiTown on Apr 3, 2008 12:37 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Some nice available players
I wonder if Gordon, Deng, and our 1st for Brand and Maggette would be enough.
PG Hinrich
SG Maggette
SF Nocioni
PF Gooden
C Brand
by YaoPau on Apr 3, 2008 12:59 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Deng and Gordon are off limits
by hscs on Apr 3, 2008 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Holy crap! Where?!?!
by tyger1147 on Apr 3, 2008 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
that may be the worst defensive lineup
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 3, 2008 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A good start when talking about our assets
More of this and less of that.
We didn't trade Eddy Curry the cheeseburger lover. We traded Eddy Curry the NBA center.
We didn't acquire Luol Deng the humanitarian. We acquired Luol Deng the SF NBA prospect.
by NBA Observer on Apr 3, 2008 1:25 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think our biggest factor
If we can decide one way or the other which style we want to pursue that will determine how much value we place on Gordon and Deng and how players under contract like Gooden, Hughes, Hinrich, and Nocioni fit into the picture.
Basically, the last thing I want to do is hire Jeff Van Gundy AND keep Ben Gordon when we know JVG is going to push a half court offense with the ball in Gordon's hands which is a 50/50 success to failure strategy.
by NBA Observer on Apr 3, 2008 1:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Up tempo and good D aren't mutually exclusive.
by snley on Apr 3, 2008 1:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was referring to Reinsdorf's comments
by NBA Observer on Apr 3, 2008 2:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You made it sound like an either or situation.
My guess is that Paxson will be looking for a coach who can make a system fit these players more than looking for a coach who is tied to any sort of system. If players like Hinrich, Thomas and Noah are remaining part of the core, that will entail up tempo play.
by snley on Apr 3, 2008 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why is no one stating the obvious?
by AFireInside661 on Apr 4, 2008 7:13 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think you've hit on something
by bullshooter on Apr 4, 2008 9:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He tried an oop to Thomas
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Apr 4, 2008 9:43 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Ben Gordon leaves,
With that in mind, perhaps the Bulls should look into acquiring Marco Belinelli. He's 6'5 to 6'6, still isn't a great defender, but his clutch shooting drew rave reviews from Nellie during last year's summer league, to the point where Nellie said he had star potential.
Then the regular season started. And Belinelli got buried on the Warriors' bench. Well other Euro-style jumpshooters have done fine when traded after riding the bench. See Gordon Giricek in Phoenix, for example.
by bullhockey on Apr 7, 2008 3:39 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Ok, Neil Funk. :)
Look, Peja Stojakovic only averaged 8.4 points per game in his first year in the NBA. So there is an adjustment period for Euroshooters, just like with any rookie.
I'm not saying that Belinelli is the next Peja (nor is he the next Ben Gordon).
Just that the Bulls are in a bind if Gordon leaves; they need shot makers; no "stars" would seem to be available; the Bulls are cheap; and Belinelli received a lot of hype coming into the league.
Right now the Bulls' outside threats are Gordon (may be leaving), Hinrich (career 40% shooter and slumping miserably), Thabo (an iffy proposition), Larry Hughes (not as good as he thinks he is), Nocioni (widely labeled a chucker on here) and Demitris Nichols (way green). Duhon's gone (and wasn't great from 3 anyway), and JamesOn Curry seems to have off-the-court issues. Shannon Brown apparently shoots 30% from three.
To replace or surpass Gordon's production, the Bulls would have to take a chance on someone, or multiple someones. So other than the draft, this once-proud franchise is shopping in the bargain bins.
by bullhockey on Apr 7, 2008 8:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Dallas will
by exult463 on Apr 8, 2008 4:39 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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