Hollinger's Plan to Rebuild the Bulls
The Rebuilding of the Bulls is one of John Hollinger's 10 stories to watch for the rest of the season. Here's what he said:
"The rebuilding of the BullsSpeaking of GMs under fire, John Paxson of the Bulls is taking some serious heat for failing to pull the trigger on a big deal a year ago and then making a deadline-deal this month for Larry Hughes and Drew Gooden.
For the moment that trade has left the Bulls with a weird roster. They have five guards, two small forwards and not enough big guys. And the three bigs they do have (Joakim Noah, Tyrus Thomas, Drew Gooden) are all athletic-roamer types who need an enforcer beside them to be most effective.
So in a weird way, this is a crucial two months for Paxson. It goes without saying that he can't be finished trading, so this summer is likely to be huge for him -- especially considering that both Ben Gordon and Luol Deng are restricted free agents and Chris Duhon is unrestricted.
In the mean time, he has to figure out which of his five guards, two small forwards and three power forwards to keep, and which ones to trade away.
At least Paxson can enjoy his new players' strong start. In the admittedly small three-game sample since the deal, Hughes looks a lot more like the vintage guard of the Washington years, averaging 18.7 points and getting five foul shots a game. One wonders how long they'll keep Thabo Sefolosha in the starting lineup when Hughes is clearly outplaying him.
In fact, a Hughes-Gordon pairing might be Chicago's best option going forward. Hughes can be the de facto point man while defending the opposing shooting guard, sparing Gordon the worst of the matchups. Sefolosha could then come off the pine at both spots.
Of course, the elephant in this discussion is Kirk Hinrich, whose struggles have been a key reason behind the Bulls' fade this season. He was yanked just 36 seconds into the third quarter Wednesday night and didn't return, but trading his contract will be very difficult unless he plays better. Nonetheless, including him and one of the young bigs (most likely Thomas) in a swap for a stronger, veteran presence in the paint might be Chicago's most logical path to improvement.
Looking ahead, Bulls fans can still be optimistic about such an arrangement. A Hughes-Gordon-Sefolosha backcourt can get things done. Deng still has plenty of upside at the 3, and bringing Andres Nocioni off the pine as a scoring force at both forward spots is a weapon few other teams can match. Then you have a frontcourt of Noah and the mystery guy in the trade, plus the still-young and reasonably productive Gooden as the spare big.
All this, of course, is subject to what happens over the next two months, which is why I'll be watching Chicago so closely. The Bulls' season has been a disaster, but they still have a young roster with a lot of nice pieces, and if Paxson makes the right deals, he might be able to salvage this group."
I know some Tyrus Thomas lovers won't like this. What say you?FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.
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89 comments
Comments
Not sure if
by piccolomair on Feb 28, 2008 1:00 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
It's a pretty flimsy 'plan'
Who the hell is that going to be? Instead of 'stronger' and 'veteran', just say 'much better than Thomas or Noah or Gooden'. If that's the criteria I don't see anyone available. Hollinger's criteria seems to be saying someonen like Jermaine O'Neal. yuck. Might as well send an APB to the retirement homes for Antonio Davis.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Feb 28, 2008 1:05 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
he does have a point that
I'm still thinking about how good of a player a Hinrich/Tyrus package would fetch to be worthwhile.
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Feb 28, 2008 1:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
IF you can find a trade partner,
It'd be sweet if Hughes plays well enough to get traded, but I know I'm dreaming big time on that.
Hinrich plus Tyrus (or Thabo or Joakim or Deng) would have to be something special in return.
by marionette on Feb 28, 2008 3:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Agree - who out there will really make us better?
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 3:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Its in 2009
by piccolomair on Feb 28, 2008 3:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm talking a trade this summer, not free agency
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 3:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Isnt Miami
by piccolomair on Feb 28, 2008 4:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed
They want to rebuild fast so that Wade doesn't leave. (supposedly)
by tyger1147 on Feb 28, 2008 4:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Gordon over Hinrich any day of the week
by messwiththebull on Feb 29, 2008 12:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This will come off as sour grapes...
Give me Hollinger's stats and Thorpe's scouting (for young guys), and I think I'll have about as good of a "whole picture" outlook as one could get from two sources.
by tyger1147 on Feb 28, 2008 1:13 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I agree wtih you wholeheartedly
by majoyenrac on Feb 28, 2008 1:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice to see Hollinger will
by marionette on Feb 28, 2008 2:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Right on there
Sefalosha looks great out there, has really been improving...unfortunately he'll make a few silly turnovers--primarily in INCONSEQUENTIAL moments that have hindered his stats....
Plus as a ball deflector, rebound tapper, Sef ain't getting all the "stats" that Hollinger would like....
And let's face it Sef stunk earlier this year when he had no confidence.
Watching Thabo of late, I like what I see, he might also make a loss of Deng palpable, even as an additional backup, but I like him actually at the 2 spot now and maybe eventually at the 1 spot when he shores up his tendency to make several stupid turnovers in a row after playing 10 solid minutes turnover free....
by majoyenrac on Feb 28, 2008 3:34 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hyperbole Alert!
by Kemp on Feb 28, 2008 4:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I hope you
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 7:44 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Although that's not exactly what I said,
by marionette on Feb 29, 2008 4:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He's just like all the ESPN guys
by marionette on Feb 28, 2008 2:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hollinger's ideas have been off
Hollinger has his limitations, but he's better than 95% of the crap that is the national media covering the NBA.
by Scotter on Feb 28, 2008 4:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
anyway
by JSlakov on Feb 28, 2008 1:16 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I've gotta believe
by Old Skool Sloan on Feb 28, 2008 1:57 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Does this really make us better?
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 3:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It does
I am sure Deng will be a marginal star in this league, 20-6.5 and 50% shooting from the field. But the combination of Marion/Thomas/Noah at the 3-4-5, would allow us to have a fast efficient offense that could also defend. If you combined that with Thabo and Hughes, you could have defensive capabilities at every position and the ability to push the ball. With that lineup you can legitimately mimic the Detroit Pistons of '04, where Paxon failed to with his last experiment.
As for Hinrich/Gooden for Marion and pick, there is a 0% chance that it would be accepted by Miami; they will have a top 5 pick and a guy who gives you 16-10 plus 2 steals and 1.5 blocks for a decent forward and a decent point guard.
by Kemp on Feb 28, 2008 4:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I do think Marion will be available
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 4:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Doesn't
by jpchi on Feb 28, 2008 5:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but he'd be turning down
by marionette on Feb 28, 2008 5:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
According to HoopsHype you are correct
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 5:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What you ascribe to
by marionette on Feb 28, 2008 5:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hardly
by Kemp on Feb 28, 2008 7:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hardly
Not let's get to where your wrong. Deng may be predictable, but is he's a good finisher. He made 63% of his shots in the paint, Marion made 67%, but gets a significantly higher % of his shots in the paint assisted on. It's a safe bet that if Deng played in Phoenix his FG% would come close to matching Marion's.
Deng is also all a better one on one defender when healthy. Even this year, his counterpart PER is only 15.5. Marion year after year gives up at least a 17 PER. Or for anecdotal evidence check out the search tools at b-r.com and see what Deng has done to the top SFs in the league over the last three seasons. It's pretty good. I guess I could drop a bunch of links, but you would be better served by discovering these things for yourself. Deng constantly fights guys for position and uses his length to bother guys without fouling.
I also assume that marionette was factoring in many factors besides simply who is the better player right now.
by Scotter on Feb 28, 2008 9:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah.
- I was referring to the fact that last year Deng got 10% of his inside shots blocked and this year has gotten 13% blocked, while Marion has gotten 5% and 8% respectively.
- Last year they shared the same net defensive rating at -0.5; this year Marion has a net defensive rating of -4.6 while Deng has a +6. Also, Marion has a better foul efficiency rating. Moreover, there is a definite correlation between team Counterpart per and personal counterpart per. Should Gordon be considered a better defender than Kobe Bryant? He did get a better counterpart per last year; as did Wallace over Camby and Hinrich over Devin Harris. This isn't to say that the stat is irrelevant, but it isn't the best way to decide one on one defense.
Lastly, while I appreciate your willingness to debate and your obvious wealth of knowledge, I don't appreciate the condescension which is undeserved.
by Kemp on Feb 29, 2008 3:18 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It's straightforward guys...
There is no doubt about this. Lu unfortunately is over-rated. I would definitely take a proven all-star over him...
by Vangelis on Mar 1, 2008 1:39 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree wtih you chgobr
I hope someday he becomes the next Shawn Marion.
I don't know what adding Marion to our team does, just clogs us even mroe with 3/4 tweeners.
We should try to get a PF/C instead of a SF/PF....preferrably one with a solid offensive game....
I know folks'll say, but who can you get.....surely if we do a sign and trade for salaries in the $17.2M range, we can get a lot of people, especially if we dangle somewhat redundant Gordon and to a lesser extent Deng in a trade deal.
Marion wouldn't be a material upgrade over Deng/Noc anyway.....he'd be an upgrade over both of them individually, but at the cost, I don't think it's worth it.
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 11:57 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If you were
by Kemp on Feb 29, 2008 2:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Who is our 3rd power forward?
All that talk and no mention of Jim Boylan? What's his PER?
by NBA Observer on Feb 28, 2008 4:03 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Noah
I wouldn't say he is a center but he has shown that he can play out there with the big boys. Going forward, I would not feel comfortable putting noah/gooden all night on dwight howard or some other centers in the league.
He gives you more flexibility moving forward than tyrus does but pretty seemingly less potential.
I wouldnt mind a hughes for kirilenko type swap. That be pretty nice.
by Sambossanova on Feb 28, 2008 5:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That would be lovely! :)
by Bass on Feb 29, 2008 6:46 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
does anyone know
by Jbasic89 on Feb 28, 2008 4:38 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
What would it take to get Elton Brand back?
by Jesse07 on Feb 28, 2008 7:22 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
E Brand may be one the players the Bulls
by chgobr on Feb 28, 2008 8:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I was thinking the same thing
by Rodmaniac on Feb 28, 2008 11:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
But
by bullhockey on Feb 29, 2008 9:32 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Check out Hot Spots on NBA.com
by paxson43 on Feb 29, 2008 11:42 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Who cares
I'd love to see Brand on our team, he would be an ideal fit.
Trade Gordon-Deng-Tyrus Thomas for Elton Brand and some schmuck.
Sure we lose on T2, but we are solid with this lineup:
Hinrich/Hughes/Draft Pick/Clippers schmuck
Hughes/Sefalosha
Nocioni/Sefalosha
Brand/Gooden
Noah/Gooden/Gray.
Even better would be if we could pawn off Hinrich and maybe Duhon via another sign-trade and keep Gordon...
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 12:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This is the weirdest line:
As if there's something inherently wrong with that particular combination of that many players at each position.
For a professional journalist, he doesn't do a very good job of expressing his ideas. I believe that what he's trying to address is fit, and perhaps future starter/playing time controversies.
But this current combination of Bulls will not lack for chemistry if they win. They're a long way away from a Marion-Stoudamire vibe. So as long as they can solve the minute distribution, they'll be fine. And I think this is possible.
by bullhockey on Feb 28, 2008 9:24 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Does
by jpchi on Feb 29, 2008 8:37 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
My guess: too soon to tell
Obviously, if they win the championship, it would be silly of them to move any of their bigs this summer. If they fall short and think they're one piece off though, Odom would likely be the player (that they're willing to even consider trading) that could get the most value in a trade.
by paxson43 on Feb 29, 2008 8:58 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
only Bulls fans think that way
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Feb 29, 2008 9:47 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not
by jpchi on Feb 29, 2008 10:21 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
it was responding to your reasoning
by your friendly BullsBlogger on Feb 29, 2008 10:27 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
They are stacked with talent and have to plan on both Farmar and of course Bynum improving.
I expect Farmar might be their main starter next season.....Fisher will be a spot up shooter off the bench....
But I still say odds are they stay in tact, even if they don't win this year, because Bynum will improve and the Lakers should benefit with more time for their current staff.
Odom looks awesome in their system too especially with all their options and height. He's right now the Horace Grant to the Kobe-Gasol tandem, which is better than even anticipated. THe height of the Lakers and the athleticism is ridiculous, they are the best constructed team in the league right now and are still very young and have the best coach to boot.
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 12:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
as long as every player needs a modifier
by hscs on Feb 29, 2008 10:35 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Free Agents in Summer of 2008
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?page=2008FreeAgents
There are alot that jump out. I mean everyone here is talking about getting a big but there are a lot of good available 2/3s out there too. I know we're stacked with Hughes and Gordon at the 2, but who knows what kinds of deals Pax can/will swing this summer that may change the situation.
by Coach Van Lier on Feb 29, 2008 11:12 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Odom doesn't solve any problems
Question would be if they would really want to trade him. They have the rookie Jason Smith who they seem to like, but they play him at the 4 more than the 5. If they would like to talk, I would offer Kirk,Ty, and a draft pick. I've tried the trade, the money doesn't really work, but this is a guy the bulls should pursue.
Of the other bigs that the bulls should look at, I would say Bogut, Kaman, or Big Al Jefferson. Bulls should look at bigs that like playing big.
by DannyRange on Feb 29, 2008 11:23 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
trade kirk, not tt
I'd like to keep TT cause he is a game changer.
I wonder what Kirk and Drew Gooden might get us in a trade. those 2 might be considered starters somewhere (possibly even the bulls before tonight over). Mike Dunleavy went to Duke so I hesitate to suggest this, but I think he'd be good on this team. Igoudala is a personal favorite of mine. BG, Hughes, and Igoudala would be a sweet small lineup, but I'm stretching for names...
by Zac23 on Feb 29, 2008 11:46 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Phili will want Tyrus
by DannyRange on Feb 29, 2008 12:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Meh, Marion will be expensive
Also, Tyrus is a bargain compared to Marion's 17 mil per contract.
by NBA Observer on Feb 29, 2008 12:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Riley has some love for Kirk
Skiles got results building the team that taskmasters like Riley dream of. So maybe Riles will take Kirk off our hands, who knows.
But Marion? No thanks, for all the reasons enumerated by others above.
by bullhockey on Feb 29, 2008 12:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I really don't think
Kirk had been our stellar captain and basically face of the franchise, he was doing very well for a stretch and now seems lost trying to figure out his role with Hughes....
I think he'll be fine.
I wouldn't veto a trade using Kirk, but I wouldn't say he's a problem.
I don't know necessarily if I want to see Kirk and Wade on the same team....Kirk's a better defender than Wade overall, but those two are fabulous defenders in general, and Kirk can be a nice scorer when he needs to be.
Plus who do we get? I'm not interested in another expensive tweener like Marion, especially for his price....
Maybe we try to make a less splashy trade with Atlanta and grab Marvin Williams, Williams would cost less and he seems to be finally figuring out the NBA game. He's got gobs of athleticism...
Unfortunately I don't know who we trade to Atlanta for him, they don't need Gordon with Johnson, they don't need Tyrus (And i WOULDN'T trade Tyrus to them anyway) because they have Josh Smith.....they actually could probably use Hinrich, but they won't think they could use him with the overrated Bibby....
But another young, solid athlete like Marvin Williams cuold be a nice grab, now that Atlanta has the more NBA ready Horford.
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 12:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Kirk for Heat 1st pick
The Heat are in the same position as the Bobcats entering the draft.
Riley probably asks for more than Kirk. Maybe he sends back a contract player Miami would like to find a way to part with.
by NBA Observer on Feb 29, 2008 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Riley's proven again
He'll be askign a lot more than just kirk for a possible #1 or at least #3 draft pick.
Jordan has proven again that he was a good player, but not much of a GM with his Jason Richardson trade....
I doubt Riley makes that move because he'd have to part with other folks with the trade for the draft pick to make it work, and I don't think any trade for their #1 draft pick and Marion would work for Miami to get any bang for the buck. I wouldn't want any other Heat player besides Wade, Marion and potentially Haslem, but Wade and Marion are too good to pool with a #1-3 draft pick for Miami, and Haslem isn't good enough or make enough for us to part with possibly the Kirk/Gordon/Deng (combo of 2 of them) to get the Heat #1-3 pick
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 1:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Lovefest?
by piccolomair on Feb 29, 2008 12:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He did say that
I also know Riley loves Nocioni, but I know Noc and Wade had a spat a few years back, so I doubt that would happen.
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 1:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Political
by piccolomair on Feb 29, 2008 2:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
I watched Dienier quite a bit in college (he like me went to Marquette) and he is much more talented on offense than his minimal reputation would indicate. He's a guy that if he were bigger/had a bigger build, he'd be a better than avg PG, but the fact is he's only maybe 6 foot (I think they list him at 6'1", but I don't buy that), and he's got a slender build....
He never could defend even the smaller guys in college, but his littany of offensive skills in college more than made up for it. In the pros I wouldn't think he'd have many games like he had the other day against us. But I wish he would. He's probably one of the smarter players in his team, as he was a very smart college player.
I think Kirk does a very good job guarding most guards, regardless of their height....this year Kirk seems to get into these "moods" though this year and there have been more than his fair share of Kirk being completely ineffective. Hopefully that does not continue.
by majoyenrac on Feb 29, 2008 3:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
by goldengod on Feb 29, 2008 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Go for Arenas
That's an up and down team that will have no problems scoring, and should be decent defensively with length and athleticism. It will take offensive pressure off TT so he can slowly develop a post game (which he definetely can if he puts on 15 lbs). Noah can chase offensive rebounds abound. Have Sefo as the guard off the bench and to play D in crunch time, Noc to chuck threes and Gooden as the big off the bench. I think that's pretty fiscally responsible (if my numbers are right) and an instant contender in the East.
by kig on Feb 29, 2008 12:58 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
As long as Washington is willing
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 1:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You must not have been paying attention
He is just a slightly better Gordon. Which still sucks for team chemistry and defense.
by Bass on Feb 29, 2008 2:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Arenas is a good idea
by Zac23 on Feb 29, 2008 9:35 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Gil, Gordon and Hughes?
by marionette on Feb 29, 2008 11:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What's this qualifying offer thing?
I really don't think Deng or Gordon's "worth" has gone down that much this year. They'll still make at least what the Bulls offered them last year. They're young enough, and the team was screwed up as a whole enough, that other teams won't hesitate to offer them at least 5/50. They'll probably end up with more.
by tyger1147 on Feb 29, 2008 1:05 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Qualifying offer
Not sure they'll make AT LEAST what they were offered... neither has really played up to the 10+ mil/year level IMO, and there's really only going to be 2 or 3 teams that have enough cap space to offer them that kind of dough. Name one team that will pay an undersized shooting guard with no d and shitty shot selection over 10 mil a year?
by kig on Feb 29, 2008 1:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The Bulls
by tyger1147 on Feb 29, 2008 1:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
by kig on Feb 29, 2008 1:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The Knicks
by NBA Observer on Feb 29, 2008 1:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not sure about that.
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 2:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
that's because
by hscs on Feb 29, 2008 2:03 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Gordon needs to flop more!
by tyger1147 on Feb 29, 2008 2:06 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I like how his shot selection
by hscs on Feb 29, 2008 2:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd say BG's two passes
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 2:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd say I'say
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 2:21 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Alright Foghorn
by tyger1147 on Feb 29, 2008 3:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Still playing it safe, I see.
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 3:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure, if I just narrow down my search
by alec on Feb 29, 2008 2:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

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