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Chicago Bulls defeat Milwaukee Bucks 108-95: postgame thoughts

Man, that was a fun game to go to. Nice win against the type of team the Bulls should be beating if they want to get to the playoffs. Plus it was against Skiles and his dopey apprentice...one of the regrets of not seeing the telecast was that guy's sad sack face in disappointment as the Bulls pulled ahead for a victory.

On to my fragmented bullet-points.

  • Maybe one of the best signs was that the Bulls played this well offensively without Derrick Rose having a great game. I thought he was very tentative after his first stint, unselfish to a fault. I believe he only attempted one jump shot (he missed). His defense was poor, except he had an uncanny ability to play defensive-back when breaking up a couple fast break outlet passes. But even without the aggressiveness he finished with 9 assists in 32 minutes, and it was a noticeable difference when he wasn't on the court.  More more more Derrick Rose.
     
  • 41 minutes for Tyrus Thomas! I bet out of habit Skiles tried to take him out of the game before realizing he wasn't coaching him any more. He had 8 FTAs (missed 3, which is actually a percentage below what he'd been doing in the preseason) and drew several more fouls. The man is a foul-drawing machine, and the entire team did a very good job getting the Bucks in the penalty. (You can tell Skiles is taking over the Bucks defense by first getting them to foul a lot...eventually the refs will get sick of calling it and it'll morph in to 'tough defense'.) He makes so many plays where you say there's no power forwards who can do that, or stop that. He's such an instinctive passer and his jumpshot has improved to the point where defenders are running at him. The one 'old Tyrus' part of his game was the 2 goaltends (plus an offensive basket interference), but if you let him play it's usually a net positive. And then some. Was slowed a bit in the 2nd half when he re-tweaked that ankle, so hopefully that's not a recurring thing.
     
  • Ben Gordon started his 'get me my damned money' tour a half late. His first stint was not good, he didn't make a shot and did some of his patented "look I can do other things too!" moves that usually turn out poorly. But in the second half he was so good. Finished with 18 points in 26 minutes, 3-6 from three. He did not play as much with Derrick Rose as I would've liked, but he did get the opportunity in the 4th when the Bulls pulled away. In a game where Rose wasn't assertive (and the times Rose wasn't in the game), the Bulls needed Ben Gordon and he delivered.
     
  • Kirk Hinrich also had a good shooting game, though before I looked at the boxscore I wouldn't have guessed it.  Consider it one part anti-Kirk bias and one part Ben Gordon's prettier jump shot. Overall I still think Hinrich just looked much better when he was able to control the ball, which is why I still think it's a mistake to bring him off the bench before Gordon, as it exchanges the time Rose spends with Gordon to Hinrich instead.
     
  • But maybe the real solution is to get Thabo out of the starting lineup. Expectedly, he did nothing on offense (he did refrain from turning the ball over) and didn't exactly 'disrupt' Michael Redd as Redd has his best stints to start each half (and 30 points on 19 shots overall). While Thabo certainly has the tools to be a great defender with his long arms, he's not exceptionally quick for a guard. So Redd can always get him away by running off the ball. And beyond that, the fact remains that you're not going to be able to stop most prolific wings anyway, so sometimes the best way is to get back at them on the other end. That's something Thabo cannot do. He played just under 12 minutes but it was still minutes that could've gone to Gordon and Hinrich, and more importantly, those were all minutes with Derrick Rose, which should be held to a premium.
     
  • Noah showed why he's such a good complementary player. He had 6 boards and 3 blocks in 19 minutes, and his superlative hands really helped in the lane, either for his own shot or a deft pass.
     
  • Luol Deng did what a $12m SF who's a very good 3rd option should do. Get 21 points and have an observer like me not really remember much of it. Nice to see him attack the basket, as mentioned it was a real team strength for tonight.
     
  • There were some bad bounces of the ball that helped cause this, but I thought the Bulls did not do a good enough job (in the first half)
    securing defensive rebounds, which led to too many easy opportunities. Bogut/Villenueva/Allen/Moute will not be the most formidable front line they face this year.
     
  • Was I the only one giddy every time Malik Allen entered the game? Sometimes at Center with Mbah a Moute at PF. Skiles-ball at its finest. The Bulls weren't able to punish them in the first half but it eventually did catch up with them.
     
  • Congrats to coach Vinny Del Negro on his first win. I was too far away to judge his mannerisms, but they shouldn't be judged anyway (beyond my curiosity to make lame jokes about them if necessary). His team played fairly crisp (obviously 18 TOs is too much), played hard, and ran when they could. And he didn't play Aaron Gray a single minute. As I mentioned, played Tyrus Thomas a ton. But the guard rotation will be an issue throughout the season. Rose with 32, Hinrich and Gordon both with 26, Thabo with 12. Clearly Gordon (and Hinrich if he keeps this up, but he needs more to earn my trust) should get a bump after tonight. Play so well that Hughes has no spot when he returns, please.
     
  • It was a rare Bulls sellout where most of the paid attendance was actually in the building, a very cool atmosphere. There was a brief pop any time Derrick Rose appeared on the video screen. Clearly Bulls fans are ready to embrace him, and even after a so-so first game he led a Bulls victory. Hopefully the first of many.

(I guess those thoughts weren't so fragmented)

2 recs  |  Comment 357 comments |

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Good to win this one

with a rough start to the season, have to get all the wins that can be gotten.

I have no problem with Thabo starting. It ensures he gets the playing time he needs to develop because you’re going to need what he presumably can bring you, otherwise you’ll have to seek it from Hughes. Thabo starting and playing 15 MPG while Kirk and BG get their 25-30 MPG is fine. BG will be on the floor at the end of games, Kirk can be the 6th-7th inning guy to get Rose to the 8th-9th.

I was encouraged by Tyrus Thomas at times. Maybe he’ll deliver this year. The 4 slot looks like it’s his because Gooden and Noah appear to have played exclusively at the 5 all night.

I like the 29-19 or similar MPG split at the 5 between Gooden and Noah.

Richard Jefferson was really off and Bogut is getting no shots with RJ and Redd firing away. Bogut had a stretch last year where he put up strong numbers and now it will be interesting to see how many opportunities he gets.

by messwiththebull on Oct 28, 2008 11:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

This is going to be a shit show when Hughes is back in the mix.

I bet he’ll take more of Gordon’s minutes than anyone else’s. Because, you know, Sefolosha is a tall, defensive machine— he needs those minutes he’s getting.

by NittanyCub on Oct 28, 2008 11:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He needs to be bought out or things are going to get really, really messy.

Which is a shame after tonight’s performance and its resulting optimism.

When I watch NBA games I often call the fouls before the referees do. Sometimes it’s a gift. Most of the time it's troublesome. - NBA Observer

by Illini15 on Oct 28, 2008 11:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree on the shit show part,

but disagree about taking Gordon’s minutes. I think Thabo and Hughes are interchangable in VDN/Pax’s mind. In the pre-game, it was mentioned multiple times that Thabo was starting only because Hughes couldn’t.

by arjoseph on Oct 29, 2008 9:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can't Thabo get his playing time off the bench?

Redd lit it up at the beginning of the game and the beginning of the half Thabo started again. He had a bunch of threes in a row to start the half. I don’t see where Thabo shut him down at all. And Thabo does little on the other end to offset that. How does getting yanked for sucking after starting each game seem like good development time? Put him in sometime later on in the game once he sees from the bench how things are going and can be sent in on assignment. Getting five minutes to start the game and start the half are terrible for development. Especially when the guys that are put in for you get it done and you don’t. With how fragile he is he will just be waiting to be pulled at that 4-5 minute mark like clockwork.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 28, 2008 11:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most guys have difficulty with Redd

All one can hope for is to force Redd to prevent him from getting clean looks, make him work to get the ball, and make him take difficult, lower percentage shots. He scored on Thabo, no doubt, but early on I saw Redd his some turnaround fadeaways, which I’d rather have him shoot. He had a hell of a night, though, no question.

Thabo got pulled early as much for his 2 quick fouls as anything. He needs to play better, no doubt.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 8:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The way to get to Redd

is to have decent defense (something that is even attainable for shorties like Hinrich and Gordon) and make him work on the other end. You are never going to completely take away his shot, but making him work on the defensive end keeps him busy. Thabo had two uninspired stints defensively against Redd and doesn’t have anything on the other end to disrupt his offensive rhythm.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Redd averaged 29 PPG against the Bulls last year in 4 games

I’m not sure how many of those Thabo started in or got significant playing time in. He probably got 12 minutes like last night. I’m assuming guys like Hinrich guarded him most of the time.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:04 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

right, so if Thabo isn't a big upgrade on that end

why have him out there?

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he doesn't improve, you don't

but you have to give him that opportunity to get better. 15 MPG leaves enough for BG and Kirk to play significant minutes after the first quarter. This team is going to need something from a big guard, whether it be Thabo or Hughes.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

While Thabo didn't shut him down

starting a great defender doesn’t guarantee the other player won’t score. As much as you can point to Redd’s stats, the Bulls had 10 points in 4 1st quarter minutes thabo had. So their offense didn’t suffer either.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree

Gooden less, Noah more

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 9:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My fantasy team disagrees.

But really, as long as Tyrus is getting minutes, getting the opportunity to make mistakes so he has the opportunity to learn from them, I’m happy. Noah’s game is what it is; I like it, but I don’t know if he’s going to “develop” much more (except physically).

by arjoseph on Oct 29, 2008 9:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not into Fantasy Basketball ;) I like REAL basketball

His shot is so gawd-darned awful I would be shocked if there wasn’t room for improvement.

(Shaq’s career-long inability to master such an easy and repeatable aspect of basketball as the Free Throw, notwithstanding…)

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So Sefolosha needs to play 30 minutes per night for the 'magic starter juice' to kick in...

…but if that turns out to actually be a myth, they should at least start him for development minutes, even if it’s only 10 minutes per game?

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 8:49 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He needs time to play on the court

preferably time that is relevant to the outcome of the game. I think it’s better to put him in there as a starter because he is guaranteed to get minutes during meaningful portions of the game. Should his production during this time merit more playing time, then I’m sure the coaching staff will find ways to accomodate him getting those minutes. So he plays 15 MPG mainly driven off his starter’s minutes, and should his contributions and production be there, you can scale up his minutes over time.

What you don’t want to do is not commit time to letting him develop and grow as a contributing teammate. That’s what the Skiles regime did with Thabo and Ty and now here we are in Year 3 hoping we can get some meaningful production out of them. We already tried the method you guys are advocating. BG isn’t going to start (a stance I agree with but that’s moot) so I can only surmise those of you who are against Thabo starting would prefer to see Kirk or Larry out there instead because BG isn’t going to start (unless it’s a spot start here and there).

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's all about draft position

If Thabo was the #2 pick, people would be trying to work him in and defending him. He hasn’t earned minutes, but he also hasn’t been given the chance

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 2:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, pretty much

that and HE’S 24!

This Demetrius Nichols character never had a shot either.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm just saying

he’s an afterthought because TT was taken that year.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 3:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tyrus WAS a contributing teammate

even when he was getting yanked around.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And that's why people were mad.

Thomas played well in extended minutes (Detroit at the beginning of last season) and in limited minutes. Thabo did well ONLY when playing 30 min. per game. It was very likely a fluke.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 2:31 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Tyrus' on the court flash had a lot to do with fans (outside of BaB) being mad

I thought Thabo played well last year which makes this year’s start for him that much more disappointing, and frankly, disgusting. I expected more out of him and – right or wrong – I attribute a decent portion of the blame on Skiles complete negligence in commiting to develop guys like Ty and Thabo.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe we just need a new rule:

don’t group Tyrus and Thabo. They came into the league with entirely different expectations and investment, and have performed differently since that time.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

agreed :)

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 30, 2008 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You do like your +/- numbers, right?

Look ’em up. 82games.com, basketballvalue.com, etc. They ALL say the same thing. Despite getting nearly identical minutes over the past two years, Thomas has been good, Sefolosha has been bad.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 2:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like them to complement what I see on the court

and +/- numbers aside, Tyrus did not look like he knew how to play professional basketball over the past two seasons.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

and in spite of that

he was still productive!

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Like he "knew" how to?

Right, he played like a “raw” “project” player he was drafted as. Which can be helped by… um… playing more.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's the difference between the 2

Tyrus was drafted for his potential, Thabo was drafted for his supposed polish. One of those players has lived up to his predraft hype while the other has not.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 2:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's like this

Tyrus=raw+productive

Thabo=raw+unproductive

The difference is productivity. Tyrus has posted two season with a PER around the league average. Thabo has put up historically bad offensive numbers.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

and at the risk of getting annoying

Tyrus is also (+ potential)

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 3:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No doubt

the expectations are different and higher for Tyrus, as was the investment (and opportunity cost if you factor in Lamarcus Aldridge). And we all knew he was raw, but he produced, yet Skiles still inexplicably refused to commit to his development. The minutes weren’t there for him, not consistently.

I had high expectations for Thabo and was a bit surprised he wasn’t more “ready out the box” than what he actually was. I probably had similar expectations to what I thought Pietrus would be when the Bulls considered him in the 2003 draft and likewise, Pietrus seemed to lack the committed minutes in the development years of his career. Maybe this is all he was going to be and maybe the expectations should be lowered for Thabo, but I’d like to reach that conclusion after seeing him get a legitimate opportunity for at least one full season.

You can visibly see the lack of confidence in his offensive game and it’s a disgrace because he can do better and he should be better.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 10:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The difference really

Has more to do with athleticism and upside. Sure Thabo can guard Kobe or Wade well in stretches, but he can’t shoot well (And hasn’t improved) and his passing also hasn’t improved…and he’s absolutely nowhere near the athlete that Tyrus is (but few are).

Thomas is a freakish athlete, and absolute freak out there who has shown signs of improving in the skill areas (not foolishly leaving his feet as much, staying on his man, dribbling, passing and most importantly hitting the jumpers)…..

I would be fine with Thabo as our guard of the future if we didn’t have Gordon and Hinrich (Hinrich can be a better defender than Thabo—the big guard—by virtue that Kirk has been….and Gordon’s a million times better of an offensive player.

We have enough guards. Thabo needs to fight his way back into a rotation (or hope for injury). He’s just not very good—he’ll project as an avg player….he’s not ridiculously young anymore, and unlike THomas, Sef had some overseas pro playing that was at least supposed to prepare him for the NBA game…

Thabo’s not bad, but he’s one of those—while his value is still high because of the upside we should trade guys before that bubble pops.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The real problem is the stuff Thabo is good at

is hard to express in numbers. I’m sure you all consider Battier to be a horrible player too.

Thabo can develop into that type of player. He just needs the attitude and drive. It’s hard to tell if he has that when he never plays.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thabo could develop into that type of player

But we don’t really need that type of player with 2 solid pseudo stars who are and will always be better already on our roster in Kirk and BG….

I like Battier’s game too, and I don’t hate Thabo, I just think he’s as redundant on a solid guard team as they come.

And I don’t think he’ll ever be Battier solid either—too thin, too poor a shooter and doesn’t seem to quite have Battier’s bball IQ (since we’re still talking about the same things with Sef that we talked about after folks were impressed with him out the gate as a rookie.

Plus unlike Tyrus Thabo’s had a decent chance to play consistently. He performed ok, but again hasn’t drastically improved, and will always now be at least our 4th best guard….

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That may be true

but let’s throw him a bone to see. I just don’t see us keeping both Gordon/Hinrich so we need to know if Thabo can manage.

Thabo is also a lot quicker than Battier. I don’t think you’re giving him enough credit there. They were putting him on Chris Paul and Lou Williams last year after they started killing us.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thabo may be quicker than Battier

but he’s not in the class of defender Battier is. Just because he has a reputation as a defensive ace doesn’t mean he’s actually an elite defender.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Battier has a career 38.9 3-pt FG %.

Never shot below 34.9%.

And it’s getting better in discussing those things in numbers, some just choose to ignore those discussions.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

There are many players in this league

who have developed a 3pt shot as their careers have progressed. To judge Thabo or any players shooting as a finished product at age 24 isn’t fair.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

even so

Battier is a superlative individual and team defender. Thabo isn’t anywhere near that, except perhaps they both have long arms.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why not say Thabo can be like Kirk Hinrich?

I think it’s a poor comparison. I was just pointing out one reason why I think so.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 4:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Isn't never playing some evidence of having "attitude and drive"?

I mean, for every game he doesn’t play in, there are probably 2 or 3 hours of practice where his attitude and drive are on display for the coaches.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So he must be doing something right

if the coach decided to start him?

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno

if he had ‘the attitude’, he’d show improvement.

Or he has the attitude, maybe it’s not a question of attitude.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I belive he's an extreme confidence player

and if he doesn’t get over that, he will continue to suck. If he does, he can be valuable. His style of player tends to be underpaid.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I still maintain

that the payoff (and chances of that payoff) isn’t worth sacrificing anything to coddle Thabo’s confidence. If it’s going to happen it’ll happen whether he starts or not.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very fun to watch this opening game

Nothing made me smile more in tonights game when I saw Skiles’ frown when the Bulls led by their biggest margin.

What really stuck out to me this game was the Bulls’ willingness to run with the ball. Take a look at the stats: 20 fast break points opposing Milwaukee’s 1 fast break point.

I really like how the Bulls are now revamped and eager to run because they know that each fast break will turn out to be a positive play since Derrick Rose will be handling the basketball. In addition, I enjoyed seeing the Rose to Thomas dynamic alley-oop. I hope to see more of that.

Overall, it was a good game to start. But one thing that concerns me is having a complete starting line-up that will be stable all throughout the season. Good luck to the Bulls this year!

by dannyp07 on Oct 28, 2008 11:47 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Milwaukee TV had a great shot of

Skiles’ blotchy red face and scowl as he walked off the floor….

good times

Sometimes a player's greatest challenge is coming to grips with his role on the team.

-- Scottie Pippen

by Orlando Woolridge on Oct 28, 2008 11:56 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Heh. Nice tag:
if you heard ’that’s for you boylan’ during the game that was me

When I watch NBA games I often call the fouls before the referees do. Sometimes it’s a gift. Most of the time it's troublesome. - NBA Observer

by Illini15 on Oct 29, 2008 12:02 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

3 pointers...

I missed the game :-(

However, one painfully obvious stat simply from glancing at the box score: not one starter ATTEMPTED a three.

Please Vinny, just, give BG a chance.

Oh also, how was VDN’s demeanor during the game? Was he in control? Vocal? Or clueless and holding Harris’ hand?

Asked what kind of player he expects to be in the next five years, he said: "Not a star, but like, a superstar. Something around, like, Chris Paul, Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, something like that."

by BigBenign on Oct 29, 2008 12:03 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Vinny looked calm and confident

He had a few moments of personal chatting with his players in addition to a few squabbles with the officials about some calls.

After the game BG went up to every coach and shook their hand as they patted him on the back. BG had the better night, but even he deferred to Rose to do the post game WGN interview.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I did hear BG do the post-game radio interview

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great opener

We totally out athleticized the Bucks, and to be honest the Bucks with Redd and RJ and the very quick Lue and crew I thought would have been a nice athletic matchup, but when we play like we did, we’re tough. God I hope it continues.

It’s a far cry from last year’s opener, which was the first ever opener of any team I had ever been to, and was very excited about….by the 3rd quarter the no energy Bulls were getting a solid Kobe chant that continued throughout the game….

THis game, we hustled….

Tyrus Thomas the star tonight. I know he made a couple of stupid goal tending plays and I know he also had a charge or two that looked dumb (the offensive interference call was complete BS from this television viewer)….but Tyrus was all over the place and the Bucks and Skiles/Boylan couldn’t stop him….bet they mis Adrian Griffin now huh :). If Tyrus keeps this up look out.

Deng played his ususal good game. He looked incredible in the first quarter and like always disappeared in the 2nd half especially in the 4th….but nonetheless a good Luol game no less.

Rose looked a bit like the rookie he is tonight….his passes weren’t too crisp, and his D was pretty weak, despite very solid transition D. Ridnour at times out veteraned Rose. But Rose’s instincts were solid and that athleticism was a boost.

Hinrich again was the man. He really played well, lead the team in pivotal spots. He should start, or Gordon should start (Thabo’s not ready).

Gordon looked rusty at first, but thankfully Vinny kept BG out there for most of the 2nd to get his legs (Skiles would have pulled him), and it paid off in the 2nd half when Gordon and Redd put some of their usual shows. I know Redd had solid pts tonight, but from this viewer, it didn’t look at all like he outplayed Gordon either. BG’s defense was good. In the first half, the slow and Rusty Gordon mad emore of the normal BG mistakes, but int he 2nd half, Gordon proved again why he’s valuable. I agree would like to see more o fhim with Rose, but with BG and Hinrich playing so well tonight, it’s hard to complain.

Noah, was awesome, all energy and really came through when we needed him.

Gooden too played very good D, although I am one of hte few that seems to remember that Bogut’s huge contract is a bit of a pipe dream as he hasn’t proven himself at all yet…..Gooden played good D, seemed to grab a bunch of boards, and his shots when he looked to shoot went down (I haven’t read or studied the stats, I’m just getting done watching the game—I DVRd it—and am taking my initial thoughts.

As for the bad:
Thabo. Redd destroyed him tonight. Thabo has done well in the past against some of hte elite offensive players, and to be fair Redd is an elite offensive player for a reason….but Thabo really looked slow and his instincts were all off. Basically he proved to me at least that he’s got a while to go before he’s the pick over Hinrich and BG to start. Though I don’t want to yet bury him…..still its ridiculous not to play or honor our best guards first….they deserve it, even after a rough year.

And that’s about it. Nocioni didn’t do a hole lot, but he seemed to annoy RJ which is enough for me.

The Bucks didn’t look very good, yet they somehow stayed in the game for most of the first 3 quarters….the Bulls seemed to outplay them but yet the stats were similar. The Bucks can come on, they have some talent, but they look a ways away.

Chalk it up to Vinny and crew, the team played loose…..Ran (I know Boylan talked of having them run run run, but then they’d stand stand stand and shoot shoot shoot)….Vinny had them running. It wasn’t just with Rose on the court either. Hinrich for the 2nd game in a row (both against Skiles) seemed to morph into former Kirk, but smarter former Kirk. He made some “oh wow” passes in there….really good game.

Oh well I gotta go “wife’s a-calling”. Good game.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 12:07 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

I agree on Deng.

Sorry to repeat this, but he looked like a bona fide finisher in the first half, especially in the first quarter. I guess I can’t get over this, because one of the big quesiton marks when we were drafting him/ acquiring him from Phoenix was whether he was athletic enough. But there were a number of contested dunks/dunks in traffic by him, he looked great. Granted, some of these were waved off because the refs had aleady whistled the play dead by the time he threw it down, but still, the guy was taking it to the rack hard and finishing above the rim. Can you tell that I was impressed?

The other really great stat was that at one point the Bulls had outscored the Bucks 17-1 on fast break points. Again, just a stat I cannot get over. It’s all Rose, and the contagious effect he has—Noah and especially Tyrus have gotten the message to keep running, and to expect the ball on alley-oops.

The result was more alley-oops (including alley-oop attempts where Tyrus was fouled) in one game than we’ve seen since the Jordan-Pippen era.

This also means easy baskets for a team that struggled to score last year. If we had played this game last year against this Bucks team it would have been nip and tuck until the final buzzer. But because Rose was able to get the ball to the bigs in scoring position (i.e., above the cylinder about to dunk the ball), we had way, way more easy buckets than we had anytime last year.

"It’d be ridiculous to hate someone for simply what they say in a sports blog. But I greatly dislike every syllable of your angst-filled, smarmy, nondescript, half-assed, elitist-garbage responses." –Rogerspark Kris

by bullhockey on Oct 29, 2008 12:18 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well....

Tyrus Thomas’s athleticism really showed too with the quick pace of our play.

God I hope he keeps it up, after looking “meh” int he first couple of preseason games, he looked really solid (in 20-25 minute stretches) now seeing him carry that on in more playing time REALLY has me excited.

I agree on Deng. I’ve always dogged him for his athleticism, but he did make a few plays yesterday where I was like, is that Thomas? No it’s Deng. He played well, I just really wish he’d bring that energy/spark in the ends of the 2nd half (When it’s MOST needed)…..because he proved again that he could be an all star, except that he has to do it all game.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 7:50 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

alley-oops

they were nice to see, because after that first preseason game I don’t think they ever went back to it.

management sez: recommend fanposts/fanshots/comments! Click 'reply' when replying to a comment! Flag jerkfaces! Be a 'Nazi' when it comes to thread duplication!

by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The one time that Tyrus ended up guarding Redd on the perimeter,

Redd threw up a high arcing shot that barely got to the front of the rim. I consider that intimidating defense, when all Tyrus has to do is stand about 5 feet away from Redd by the 3-point arc.

I know you mention, Matt, that the goal tending was a flaw, but I actually think that it helps to build this notion that Tyrus is just a better athlete, with a better reach, and therefore it intimidates the other team. Alonzo used to do this—he’d clearly goal tend, and even when it would be called, it would just take the wind out of the sails of the offensive player.

Also, it was awesome to see Tyrus gathring in rebounds not by positioning or laying a body on his man, but just by simply out-jumping the 3 closest Bucks.

Tyrus’ mid ranger jumper was falling, and on both the mid-range jumpers and free throws, you can see how well his shooting mechanics are coming along.

I know it’s one game, but overall he’s developing very nicely. Once he learns a couple of go-to moves in the post, he will establish himself as a force.

"It’d be ridiculous to hate someone for simply what they say in a sports blog. But I greatly dislike every syllable of your angst-filled, smarmy, nondescript, half-assed, elitist-garbage responses." –Rogerspark Kris

by bullhockey on Oct 29, 2008 12:08 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

IMO...

Go-to moves in the post should not be a priority for Thomas at this point. For me it’s (1) finishing around the basket, (2) continue perfecting the J, and (3) ballhandling/dribbling/passing. At 6’9", 230 lbs, he’s a high-post offensive player whose quickness is his best half-court attribute. No need for him to start trying to bang in the post.

Maybe as he starts declining physically in a number of years and adds a few more pounds, he’ll want to develop post moves. But for the forseeable future, IMO, that’s shouldn’t be a priority.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 12:50 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

Tyrus isn’t going to be a post player. We need to stop trying to force a square peg in a round hole and maximize what he does have and can bring to the table.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

WoW nice way to begin the season.

I had to watch this via game cast at work so a lot was missed. My first thought when it became of that Gray got a DNP… somewhere Matt is smiling.

TT 41 minutes 15 points 10 boards. A sign for things to come?

Gooden, Kirk, and Gordon put up the numbers they need to put up. Rose didn’t seem to have a good shooting night but its clear the offense was clicking.

Comment on the number of TOs… with the new faster style of play can we expect to be a higher ratio of TOs as there are more possesions? What did Phoenix (pre Shaq) and the GS teams average?

"If you're not going to compete, then I'll dominate you." MJ

by Rankdog on Oct 29, 2008 12:09 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

i think a lot of the guys are still learning how to play with each other

the first half was especially sloppy. turnover numbers will be something to watch as the season continues.

by lampnasty on Oct 29, 2008 12:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree too

A few of the turnovers were just sloppy play, and a few were mistakes, Tyrus had a couple of charges, Kirk grabbed the ball from Nocioni on an out of bounds play, a couple of crappy offensive foul calls in there, and then Gordon threw a nice pass into Noah at one point that Joakim wasn’t ready for, and Rose had some rookie issues….

I wouldn’t put too much stock in it, but I would expect similar TO’s for the start of the year.

Bring on Boston, I hope we at least have a solid showing (unlike last year) against them…

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 7:53 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha, that in-bounds play was kinda funny...

There was nowhere to go, so Kirk Just ran by and Noc handed him the ball…On WGN they called it “The Statue of Liberty.”

Brian McRae's 5 o'clock shadow

by PurpleLineToWrigley on Oct 29, 2008 10:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was wondering what happened there

On the Milwaukee broadcast this was the approximate exchange between the announcers

Play by Play: So, um, the Bucks get the ball
Color Guy: Think there was an illegal screen by the Bulls?
(silence)
PbP: Um, there was a, um, uh infraction against the Bulls
(silence)

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 10:38 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

kinda like that play in one of the preseason games where noc reached over the line to try to grab the ball from the inbounds passer.

wtf? lol

by Jaina on Oct 29, 2008 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

I just imagine like, my 6th grade basketball team, when we would call the “stack” inbounds play from half-court…And then the ball would just kinda be thrust into the first guy’s hands…

Brian McRae's 5 o'clock shadow

by PurpleLineToWrigley on Oct 29, 2008 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree (with Matt), especially about not allocating precious D Rose minutes to Thabo

instead of Gordon (whose defensive lapses will be forgotten as he explodes playing alongside the Chosen One). Kirk should come off the bench to give Derrick a breather and let Ben rest his arm after nailing open jump shots with DR. Thabo can be rewarded with garbage minutes at the 2 and 3 while filling in where he can use his length to his advantage. He has demonstrated a lack of quickness and poor shooting touch which can weaken our offensive sets, but is still a vast upgrade over Larry the upchucker, just because he doesn’t have a hair shooting trigger everytime he touches the ball. Can we send Hughes to Washington who is riddled with injuries and may still have distant memories of his one memorable season. Can the Bulls eat most of his salary without kicking in the luxury tax?

Finally, I mistakenly posted this earlier as the last entry on a thread that was already dead but I still have a strong urge in my loins to profess my Tyrus love to the multitudes.

41 MINUTES!!!!!!
—-15 points, 10 boards (not counting those he kept alive by skying over everyone else with his leaps and quickness like an all-American vollyball dude)
—— provided solid help defense with some rotation failures (like everyone else) by altering many shots
——3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block (+2 goal tends…If his name was LeBron or Kobe, it would have been at least 2)
——only 2 turnovers, both on offensive fouls resulting from his aggressive moves attacking the basket. one dubious charge called against him. maybe he is too quick for the referees to notice he had established position?

If his alley oop wasn’t taken away (sorry his first name isn’t Kobe or LB) and hit free throws as he did in the pre-season, he would have had at least 20 points. OK, my mancrush has once again sent a tingle up my leg and if he ever learns how to finish, it will send fearful shivers down the backs of the opposing coaches and players.

As Matt said (roflol), Skiles probably tried to pull him just out of habit…..Just think of what his stat line would have been if the bald dome and his Lilliputian bird-brained assistant were still in charge of the Bulls……probably something like this:

3 1/2 minutes, FGA 0 FTA 0 Rebounds 2, ONE TURNOVER.
and thus a seat on the end of the bench as they fume at his inability to run the floor at light speed and not run Skiles precision offensive sets.

I hope they both enjoy reading my proposed upcoming book.
"The Stuck On Stupid Twins"
An epic tale of 2 stubborn asswipes, one whose mind was like a steel trap, always closed, while the other, his almost mindless loyal lapdog spends the season staring vacantly into space, like the open space between his ears, trying to remember where he saw that number 24 who just made the all star team, play before.

If you can't answer a man's arguments, all is not lost. You can still call him vile names.
Elbert Hubbard

by Tyrusmancrush on Oct 29, 2008 12:13 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

And while Noah unfortunately got only 19 minutes (Thanks to one of the really good Gooden games—Gooden’s D was solid)….Noah really had a spark.

I loved the Noah, I’m going to grab a board and scream like a maniac play, where he grabbed the board and did exactly scream like a maniac, only to have Charlie Villanueva decide to reach in to get the ball that Noah secured (Stupid Charlie V) and Noah again secured the ball, screamed like a maniac, and Villanueva picked up his 4th or 5th foul.

I laughed…..

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 7:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, this is incredible:

When I watch NBA games I often call the fouls before the referees do. Sometimes it’s a gift. Most of the time it's troublesome. - NBA Observer

by Illini15 on Oct 29, 2008 1:11 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

re: Gooden's hand job

Illini15 said that picture is “incredible” but I say it was merely a normal and hardly unexpected reaction,
since he was looking at the Bucks bench at that time and had just made eye contact with B&y*#n.

In scientific terms, it can be described as an automatic physical reflex similar to a verbal Freudian slip. In fact, every time the unamed one’s hangdog visage appears on my TV, I have to keep at least 9 feet from the set to avoid kicking in the screen since my involuntary nervous system triggers a powerful leg kick that could convert a 60 yard field goal if it occurred on a football field instead of my den.

If you can't answer a man's arguments, all is not lost. You can still call him vile names.
Elbert Hubbard

by Tyrusmancrush on Oct 29, 2008 1:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My Thoughts

The entire team was clicking offensively, taking it at the rim not caring if they got rejected (gordon, rose, and kirk all got swatted away once and still went back for more, i like that) however team defense was kind of bleh. A few times rose bit a few fakes from luke, but someone was able to cover him, the worst defense was inside the painted area, especially in the first half. the lakers and celtics will destroy us if this keeps up.

Gordon showed off what i think made him famous, the ability to turn it up late in the game. Does that make him more of a 6th man, i dont know, but id figure letting him start to check and let this man be a 6th man…

Kirk hinrich did what ive wanted him to do, and what he should do every game. He put up good numbers, hit a good percentage from the field, kept the offense moving (the team was a bit more efficient when kirk was on the floor, or so i thought) and played great defense. I dont much mind him coming off the bench, because that keeps his fouls low, and allows him to be more aggressive coming off the bench. His shot looked good today (man i kept calling them, the hits and misses, thank you 2k9 for helping me understand perfect releases). Oh but wait…supposedly he was playing pg during most of his fgs so i guess it doesnt count or something rolls eyes he looked good and if he keeps it up i think the bulls have a good chance.

Luol attacked the rim, and looked good doing it, ill take more of that please.

Noah and Tyrus look good on the court together, blocks and dunks galore. All that hustle should be illegal.

How long has it been since the bulls won thier season opener?

Thabo can be a role player off the bench for some defensive purposes, hughes is not needed. Gooden could be traded also, lets get a good center instead and keep gordon and hinrich, finally ending this wierd hinrich/gordon war thingy in the world of bulls….or maybe im the only one who wants that.

On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....

by piccolomair on Oct 29, 2008 2:16 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: "ending this weird Hinrich/Gordon war thingy."

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 8:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

amen

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 8:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think you're alone in seeing a rotation of Rose/Gordon/Hinrich as a good thing

It’s just Kirk and eventually Gordon will be paid far too much to keep both of them here. Gordon’s the better player and better fit with Rose, hence, why many of us are waiting for Kirk to be sent somewhere else.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 8:36 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kirk keeps looking like he did last night

and he’ll recoup his trade value in this league.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Guard Rotation

I think that Rose/Gordon/Kirk can be the best 3-guard rotation in the league. (Who is better?) Thabo can get minutes as the 4th guard or as a back-up to small forward. That being said, I am convinced that this team will go as far as Thomas and Noah take them. This team will be able to run on anyone, and if the bigs can continue to improve, we may sneak into the 7-8 spot.

by Cannoli on Oct 29, 2008 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Billups-hamilton-Stuckey would be my pick

by CJOliveira on Oct 29, 2008 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Close

but I like the Bulls trio better. Billups/Hamilton over any two we have right now; Stuckey is an interesting player, but I like ALL of the Bulls better. It will be interesting to see which trio has better overall stats at the end of the year. And remember, Kirk always gets under Hamilton’s skin, so we win the face-to-face.

by Cannoli on Oct 29, 2008 1:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lakers and Celtics are going to destroy a lot of teams

They are very good. They are very deep. They have multiple MVP candidates. They have proven head coaches and assistants.

We’re not in their class yet. Our average age is 24.9 years old. We’re green. We’ll get there. We’ll still compete. I just odn’t think we’ll be able to compete for the full 48 minutes.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll echo messwiththebull's sentiment and ask

whether we can compete. “Compete” means be in a close game at the end. With our youth and the size/girth advantage down low, We’ll have to manage our game pretty much perfectly to compete.

I’m not saying we definitely won’t compete; just that after last year, it’s a question in my mind. Can we compete with the Lakers/Celtics?

"It’d be ridiculous to hate someone for simply what they say in a sports blog. But I greatly dislike every syllable of your angst-filled, smarmy, nondescript, half-assed, elitist-garbage responses." –Rogerspark Kris

by bullhockey on Oct 29, 2008 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Now? No way?

In 3 or 4 years? You betcha.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Celtics could suck in 3 to 4 years...

every one of their stars is 31 or older

"Worker bees can leave.
Even drones can fly away.
The Queen is their slave."

by jpchi on Oct 29, 2008 9:45 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Over a long enough time line the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

we can’t compete today, while other young teams have frontcourts than can compete, such as a healthy Portland. Granted there aren’t many teams like a Portland, or perhaps even a Toronto, but the Bulls certainly can’t compete in the frontcourt with what they currently have on the roster.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gooden is not a center

The most obvious and disconcerting thing about opening night is that Gooden started at center. First, he is absolutely not a center. Second, it is obvious when he is the center we become a bad rebounding team, and our overall team defense suffers, and he cannot guard anyone in the post. Noah should start, and Gray should get the substitute minutes.

Now for all you Gordon fans. Just stop looking at the box score, and for one game take your eyes off the ball, and just follow Gordon around. You will puke or die laughing within minutes. When he is not shooting he is simply jaking it at all times. He doesn’t even make an effort to look like he is trying on defense, he makes half hearted attempts to run out on shooters and contest their shots while ducking his head and vearing off. At best he is faking at looking like he is trying. No way a guy like this should ever start an NBA game. He is acceptable as a third guard in limited minutes for instant offense. Actually it is not instant offense, since he is does not have a single offensive abililty other than shooting when wide open and not defended, which is worthless in the playoffs when even bad teams actually try to play defense. His body language is absolutely disgusting and reflective of his brain dead attitude. We simply cannot afford to play double midgets in the backcourt. Since Rose and Hinrich are going to have to split the point guard minutes, Thabo has to start unless you want to see more of Hughes. Thabo played well last season when he got regular extended minutes, and along with Noah is our best team defender. Considering that Rose is a rookie and defense is not a strength and Deng is not a defender, and Hinrich and Gordon are unathletic midget stiffs and Thomas is still walking around in a puppy dogs body and mind, we need somebody on the court to focus on defense and rebounding, Noah and Thabo are our best options and starting with Rose Deng and Thomas or Gooden give us our most balanced lineup. Hinrich and Gordon’s deficiencies don’t look as obvious as backups as they do as starters. Scoring, or should I say shooting is not everything, remember MJ and Pippen were all defense NBA and even defensive player of the year. Open your eyes people, Thabo may not be the answer, but Gordon and Hinrich never have been or never will be. And niether is Gooden, particlular as a center.

by BigWay on Oct 29, 2008 3:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

That's complete BS

Gordon’s defense was decent yesterday, he had a couple steals and even a block (Don’t know if it showed up in the box score or not, but it was a block and the commentators even said it).

Gordon’s not a great defender, but he does try and played well defensively yesterday. Redd had his most explosive moments against Thabo (who could do nothing against him)….

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 8:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In the 2 minutes Gordon was on Redd

Redd attacked him twice and I believe got fouls on both. Redd is one of the toughest matches BG will have all year though.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 11:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed. Redd was 13th in FTA last year, and 6th among guards.

He’s going to get fouled, no matter who plays him.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Would palm slapping the hardwood help?

Maybe some shorts tugging up to the hips. You know, ‘get loose, come get it’ body language.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

what a play!

“Jefferson in the back-court, pressured by Thomas who tips away the pass, it’s tracked-down by Rose, who lobs to Tyrus Thomas for the dunk.”

Athleticism, defense, transition, good decisions, and FINISH!

This is the future man!

Wow, that was the S*H**T man!
:-)

P.S. Less Thabo, More Ben Gordon.

Just sayin’……

by rtblues on Oct 29, 2008 4:40 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Where's Matt at now?

.. Kirk Did Awesome, BG proved why he’s only half of a shooting guard.

Luol actually surprised me, he’s startin to go up STRONG. I woulda liked to see Gray match up with Bogut sometime during the game, but other than that.. It looks like the bulls are going to be damn fun to watch this year

by Los on Oct 29, 2008 5:43 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Where did BG prove he was only half a SG?

Was that when he allowed Redd to get 3 quick 3’s at the start of the second half?

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 8:30 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am sure Thabo's

defensive assignment was not to leave Redd open to help out guarding lesser threats. Leaving Redd a good three steps away from you at the thee point line three times in a row is idiotic.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am sure the defense was supposed to rotate quicker

you know, the help defense VDN has been preaching, not to be afraid to help out (Thabo) because the man you leave behind will have a defender rotate over to him. The assists to Redd on those threes in the 3rd quarter came from Charlie V. and RJ.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Funny how that only happened

when Thabo was on the floor. I guess the other guys were not rotating only then.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 9:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

They weren't rotating all night

and got bailed out at times by RJ’s poor shooting night. The defense could have been better overall. BG got hit with his share of Redd in the 3rd and 4th as well, let’s not pretend Redd scored all 30 on Thabo. He did score about 15 on him, though.’

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

VDN's on it
After a film session, Del Negro said defensive rotations and transition were his emphases for improvement.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 10:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thabo got worked by Redd

no question, and not trying to paint a picture that says otherwise. He needs to play better, but he needs his 12-15 MPG each night to do that and this team will need contributions from him this season.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He can get those minutes

from the bench. Starting him just to yank him is not good for development.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he's on the bench

he’s not going to see those 12-15 MPG. Hughes will.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 9:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So it's either Thabo to start or Hughes for garbage time?

So if Thabo starts, Hughes won’t sniff the court? If that’s the case, why wouldn’t Del Negro play Hughes over Gordon or Hinrich later in the game?

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 9:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just have this

awful feeling that Vinny will start Hughes when he comes back. It should never happen but it will.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know...

…and, from the looks of one of the comments below, it’s only because they’re “big”. BLECH!!!

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 11:04 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well there are a few weeks left before

Hughes comes back and I hope Kirk and BG show Vinny without doubt Hughes has few playing minutes on this team.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, Hughes screws everything up

but I’ll worry about that in 2-4 weeks, not today.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I also think VDN is committed to playing a big guard

at the 2 for a decent amount of minutes. I don’t blame him, so it’s either Thabo or Hughes getting those big guard minutes. If both get those minutes, then I don’t know who will get screwed between Kirk and BG.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am not sure I follow

your meaning there. I don’t think starting Thabo means Hughes will not play.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 9:37 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In an ideal world, it would

but I agree with you. But I do think not starting Thabo means that Thabo will not play when Hughes returns.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Everyone got worked by Redd.

He shot over Tyrus…He shot over BG…He shot over anyone who was on him…That is the one thing Redd does well, shoot threes.

"The whole leverage thing, it's a difficult thing to gauge" -Paxson

by Dionysus2.0 on Oct 29, 2008 9:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know

it’s like they just saw Redd scoring and assumed Thabo’s fault. On at least 2, Thabo was rotating and the guy intended to rotate to Redd never did (in one case I caught it was Tyrus).

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't assume it was Thabo's fault

To me, last night just hammered home the point that when you play an elite shooting guard, they’re going to find a way to get their points. If your “defensive ace” can’t slow him down, then you’re better off putting out there a guy who can actually score some points himself.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

yes. yes. yes.

exactly.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:20 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And they did just that.

Last I saw Thabo got half the minutes both BG and Kirk did. What’s the problem again?

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it should be less than half

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It was

Thabo got 12 minutes, BG and Kirk had 26 apiece.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 2:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's been said elsewhere in this post, but warrants repeating

Rose, Gordon, and Hinrich are all so much better than Thabo that it’s hard to justify giving him even some development minutes in each game.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

ya got me.

?

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's what happens

when you take a one game sample size.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 3:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great start to the year

All the above and in the game thread captured what I feel. Rose seems to be the glue that can lift this team. TT was terrific. 41 minutes does send a message that TT is a key member of this team. I hope our enthusiasm doesn’t get wiped out in Boston. Great night!

by chgobr on Oct 29, 2008 7:54 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Bulls should use this starting lineup- Rose, Gordon, Deng, Thomas, Noah. They each play 30 minutes.
2nd unit- hinrich, hughes/sef, nocioni, gooden, gray 18 minutes each. Give or take a few minutes depending how well they play.

NBA Gauntlet for team and player analysis

by mindfeck on Oct 29, 2008 8:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Got's to Love It

The thing I enjoyed the most last night was the ball movement. Everyone was passing the ball and rotating on offense. It was beautiful. There were the times when Hinrich was running point and he did his old routine of standing still and dribbling back to the half court line. But at the same time he would wake up and start moving around as if they have been working with him……

I don’t know if it was just me or did anyone else notice that when Gordon first came out in the game; that they did not pass him the ball right away. He would be wide open and they would look at him and pass it to some one else. This happened for the first three plays he was out there.

by J Theory on Oct 29, 2008 8:25 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Watched the game from the Milwaukee feed

Every time Gordon touched the ball, you could hear some ignorant drunkard shouting “You suck Ben, you suck. Trade Gordon! Trade Gordon now”. As much as I was enjoying watching the game last night, couldn’t help but get pissed off at the sound of that guy’s voice. Ben’s an integral piece to this team and if last night served as a baseline for how they can perform, I think a playoff spot will be hard to miss out out.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 8:34 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

where I sat

it was a pretty pro-Ben crowd. I was worried that the contract talk would cause many to turn on him.

Though who knew BaB-Bass had the connections to sit behind the bench?

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 9:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I do in fact have connections in Chicago

Nothing I can get into here, though….

But I can tell you that I’,m neither a drunkard or an ignoramous. And the behavior described by snley is something I don’t condone and would never do. Even if it were Larry Hughes (and that’s saying something)

As long as BG is a Bull I want him to be the best he can be. That may be hard for you to wrap your head around seeing your apparent disgust for players like Gray, Nocioni and Thabo.

(Side note: Nocioni was a team-best +16 today, better than BG’s +13. Obviously you neglect to mention this in your evaluation of player performances…)

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 12:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The behavior is what I was describing as that of an "ignorant drunkard", not the opinion

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 1:08 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I got that :)

The post was directed at Matt, not you ;)

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't mention any +/-

on a game-by-game basis it’s more useful to assign it to lineups, not players. Noc didn’t really do anything of note (good or bad) so there was nothing much to say. Do you have any analysis of his game or just the +16?

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cheerleading on the court

Grit of impenetrable steel.

I got nothing on that +16 other than his defender couldn’t afford to leave him to guard Kirk, Deng, Rose or Gordon.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 1:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Grit

That’s the word I was looking for! ;)

Oh, and SPACING… Incredible spacing

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know you didn't.

You didn’t mention him amongst the people who contributed.

To me the point is scoring more than the opponents…

When your team outscores the enemy by 16 points in the 18 minutes you play you’re contributing in some kind of way. Don’t really care if it shows up in your normal easily statisticizable (Yes, I just made that word up) box scores.

Intangibles, I believe it’s called.

I believe in them. You don’t. That’s fine.

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 3:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

well let me know then: what did he do?

he did have a nice rebound where he also managed to take down two Bucks to the floor before they could get back on defense. You’re correct that it does not show up in the boxscore. Well, the rebound did, but that other stuff…

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let you know what the did?

This isn’t meant to be rude… But you do know what “intangible” means, right?

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um, intangibles are still evident somehow

You can say something like “Garnett changed the culture of the Celtics.” “D’Antoni got the Suns to buy into his philosophy.”

You need to get over your nit-picking habits. If you want exhaustive play-by-play breakdown of what Noce contributes, then ask Hubie Brown or Doug Collins. Noce didn’t have a huge game, but if he makes a good defensive rotation it deserves its own bullet point? He obviously didn’t have a bad game, but it’s not like I would value what he did over the value of the 5 other players who were far more important yesterday (Kirk, Rose, BG, Deng, Tyrus) just because of +/- numbers.

"I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Gonna kick some ass in the USA. Gonna climb a mountain, gonna sew a flag, gonna fly on an eagle. I’m gonna kick some butt, gonna drive a big truck. I’m gonna rule this world. I’m gonna kick some ass. I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Rock, flag, and eagle!"

by Ozzie Montana on Oct 29, 2008 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Point taken.

I will nit-pick less. (or at least try… ;) )

by BAB-Bass on Oct 31, 2008 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it means you can't quantify it

but you can at least give me some anecdotes.

Unless you’re confusing intangibles with ‘magic’.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

you also have to look at who he is playing against

your +/- is going to be higher against Charlie Bell and Dan Gadzuric than it is against Redd and Bogut. The Bulls have a great bench. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Bulls bench +/- was harder than the Bulls starters all year. They are going to be playing against the other teams bench and they SHOULD have an advantage

by DangerMouse on Oct 29, 2008 4:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Matt's not going to give Noc credit

for his time on the floor.

The coaches will. They’re aware that your 2nd unit is judged as a whole and when they go out there and put up +16 numbers together they really did a lot of thing right.

Besides, Matt wants Gordon to start which would take +8 of that +16 and move it to the 1st unit.

Can you twist this into a Matt bias against Noc? I think so. But he really doesn’t like Noc as is and really doesn’t like Noc as a 38 million dollar contract. I can’t really harp on him for the latter. Noc is way too expensive as a 2nd unit guy that is unlikely to ever be a 1st unit player.

by NBA Observer on Oct 30, 2008 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm still waiting to hear all these things Noc actually did on Tuesday

Just quoting a +/- number is lazy. I watched him and he didn’t do much. Though it’s better when he’s actively submarining things.

That lineup does get credit for being productive, absolutely.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 30, 2008 1:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My theory

You’ll never see it. At least not when the reflection is positive. You will see it when it is negative.

Question for ya. Paul Pierce was the MVP of the NBA Finals last year. Who was the most important player on the Celtics in their wins?

by NBA Observer on Oct 30, 2008 1:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

CAN ANYONE TELL ME WHAT HE DID THAT MY BIAS MADE ME MISS???

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 30, 2008 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

no they can't

NBAO…come on man…are you suggesting that Noc is the Bulls most important player??

by NormVanBeer on Oct 30, 2008 7:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's a pretty comical comparison

So you’re saying one of the greatest PFs of our generation might have contributed to a NBA title with his hard-nosed defense (which by the way isn’t intangible. You could see KG defending, rotating, boxing out, blocking shots, etc).

"I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Gonna kick some ass in the USA. Gonna climb a mountain, gonna sew a flag, gonna fly on an eagle. I’m gonna kick some butt, gonna drive a big truck. I’m gonna rule this world. I’m gonna kick some ass. I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Rock, flag, and eagle!"

by Ozzie Montana on Oct 30, 2008 2:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's even worse

You’re rooting for one of the Bulls players to play badly just so you can be right?

You don’t really sound like a Bulls-fan to me. No offense…

by BAB-Bass on Oct 30, 2008 7:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

ya know, I didn’t catch that. It’s meant to say its EASIER to identify when he’s mucking things up. It’s not ‘better’. May I never stoop to that level.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 30, 2008 11:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

That’s good to hear. :)

by BAB-Bass on Oct 31, 2008 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

As far as "Behind the numbers" of the 16+

Like I said it’s intangible so it doesn’t show up in the stats.

Think we’re just gonna have to agrre to disagree on this.

I won’t expect you to recognize Nocionis contributions in the future.. ;) (At least I will try to…)

by BAB-Bass on Oct 31, 2008 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

argh

I recognize it doesn’t show up in the stats (though +16 is a stat, no?). It should show up SOMEWHERE. I am not content with hearing that they exist but nobody (not just me, apparently, since I’ve asked several times )saw it.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 31, 2008 4:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, I'm realizing this

So I’m just gonna let it be.

by BAB-Bass on Oct 31, 2008 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

We won, but we were better than I expected

Reviewing the game flow you can see where the game shifts dramatically as Ben Gordon AND Andres Nocioni enter the game with under 5 minutes remaining in the 3rd quarter. The other lineup change is an exiting Derrick Rose.

Hinrich played really well in this stretch, the team rebounded, they missed too many close shots in the paint, but they did rebound the misses as it was Noah and Thomas playing “Rodman” stat padding right next to the rim. However, this same stretch was defended by Lue, Bell, Redd, Allen, and Gadzuric. With a stronger 5 man defensive unit, the intensity of the Hinrich, Gordon, Deng, Noc, Noah probably isn’t as strong.

The 50.6 FG% was a delight.

I missed most of the first half but did catch the commentary claiming that free throw shooting was keeping us in the game. We finishd the game +24 in FTA. Nice. The officials were not giving Jefferson his expected 6 fouls against while shooting, although he was begging for them. The Bucks also were +12 in the foul category. Yay Skiles defense.

One thing to watch from the Skiles Bucks is how they use Bogut. He is a low post threat, but you have to get him the ball and he needs to put up shots. He was getting it last night, but passing out to the perimeter trying to come rom down 6, down 8, down 10. We should be able to tell if a Skiles team just cant get points in the paint because his coaching strategy consistently goes away from it.

As for Rose, more please. More with Gordon please. The closing minutes were a pleasure to watch with the Rose, Gordon, Deng, THomas, Gooden group. I’d like to see more Noah closing games, but I expect he will be out there as the center if the game is close. We’ll need stops and noah gives us a better chance to get them than Gooden.

Short short analysis: The Skiles team that doesn’t rebound is a guaranteed loser.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 8:37 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Let's recap:

—Luol Deng played like one would expect from him. Nothing more, nothing less. No worries there.

—Thabo should not be playing except in limited-minute roles. Gordon and Hinrich are such far superior basketball players, it is actually kind of funny. That the coach might forget to play Thabo “development” minutes is not an excuse to start him.

—Gordon is awesome and showed why he should play a lot.

—Hinrich, too, had a very good game. Hinrich and Gordon should get 60 minutes between the two of them. For everyone who said even though Thabo is starting, Gordon/Hinrich will still “get their minutes”, they obviously did not.

—Noah is awesome.

—Thomas is awesome, independently of DRose.

This is an exciting team. The more the coaches start actually playing the better players, the more exciting it will be.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 8:47 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Every player who played had a positive overall impact...

…except Thabo. Yet, he “deserves” to start. Logical.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He started to pick up those two fouls

so Hinrich and Gordon didn’t have to pick them up.

Redd is going to score. Ray Allen is going to score on Friday. Thabo probably starts that game as well in order to pick up the fouls so Hinrich and Gordon won’t have to.

Wear down these shooters with Thabo’s defense. Wear down these shooters by making them chase Ben Gordon’s offense.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You really think that's the plan?

Starting the game w/ an intentional fouler of jumpshooters? If so, again, it did not slow Michael Redd down. yes, those guys will score, but they didn’t slow him down at all, considering 30 ppg will almost definitely be more than his season avg.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 8:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not the exact plan

but rather the expected outcome. Redd’s offense draws fouls whether he shoots it or not. Just chasing him draws fouls as the defender sometimes tugs or hip curls around the screener to keep up.

I’d rather Thabo absorb those fouls early than have Hinrich or Gordon get them and have to sit because they’re in foul trouble.

I missed the first quarter so I don’t have any recollection of what Thabo did. I just have the written reports.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think if that's the strategy you want

Hinrich can be the designated fouler.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That mucks up the rotation

You need Kirk to enter to spell Rose because he’s the only other ball handling option. If it’s anyone other than Kirk it’s 5 seconds off the shot clock to start because just to get to set up an offense will be delayed with ball pressure from the opponent.

Kirk showed you last night that he can lead the second unit effectively when he has Gordon and Noc and sometimes Deng as options to distribute to.

Look at it your way. Kirk starts with Rose. Kirk picks up the fouls. Gordon enters. Bulls score some points. Rose needs a rest. Thabo enters. Now it’s Thabo and Gordon for 6-8 minutes until Rose is ready and/or time has lapsed for Kirk’s foul trouble to let him come back in.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why are we picking fouls up again?

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know, I was playing along with NBAO's strategy. :)

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

They're not intentional

They are predictable. The good shooters that receive double screens do draw more fouls unless their defenders know they have stellar defensive rotation from their teammates as the play occurs.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah...

I think that’s a bit too much strategy.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

solution

never take Rose off the court :)

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Problem

His stamina drops off the map around mid February.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not so much his stamina

But the knee Tendonitis might become an issue again.

by RogersPark Kris on Oct 29, 2008 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just watched hi-lights on NBA.com...

…what did everyone think of Tyrus Thomas’s steal, dribble leading the fast break, w/ a pass to “can’t-finish” Ben Gordon?

And then they cut away to Skiles scowling. AWESOME!!!

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've never had a problem with Tyrus leading the break. Didn't get to see that play.

But, I loved the play where the Bucks trapped Derrick Rose at halfcourt to get the ball out his hands, Derrick found Tyrus in the middle of the court, and Tyrus created a 4 on 3 situation finding Noah under the basket for a dunk. There’s only a handful of PFs that can punish a team for trapping like that.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 9:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree.

It was just a sarcastic jab at all those who freaked out in past years when he “tried to do too much” and all he could do was “dunk and block shots.”

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's on the espn.com

recap, if you go to the recap over there.

by Jaina on Oct 29, 2008 9:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

They'll Pay

every time they try to trap Rose. Dallas tried it, and the Bulls came back for 20+ down in the 4th. He’s simply too good with the ball.

by Cannoli on Oct 29, 2008 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That was a ridiculously awesome play

That’s where I was screaming for more T2 and Noah this year…..

I loved seeing Tyrus play a pseudo SF role at times in the offense…

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I stopped the DVR

and replayed that for my roommate. I’ve been telling him how awesome Rose is, and used that as an example of something he does that doesn’t show up in the box score. They were trapping Rose because they wanted the ball out of his hands, that would never happen for any of our other “point” guards. That led to an easy bucket that we wouldn’t have got last year.

by runningman on Oct 29, 2008 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great regular season team

This team has quality guys up to 9 or 10 into the rotation. During a grueling 82 game season, they should be able to win alot of back-to-backs and 4 in 5 night games because of their depth. This might not translate into playoff series wins, but during the grind when alot of teams are not bringing their A game, the Bulls should do well…IMO.

by MuleTrain on Oct 29, 2008 8:54 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

That's what they've always been.

and I agree about this team.

Hopefully, though, guys like Rose, Thomas, Noah and Deng are still young enough that at least two of them will get over that plateau into “really goodness/greatness”.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Value BG and TT, trade Hughes and... what do we do with Thabo?

BG is a great player and should start beside Rose. Especially now with Hinrich returning to good form. BG struggles, let him take some air. And TT… man! And he is just a kid. He will be great. Charles Barkley style.
Hughes has no place and Thabo has potential but it doesn’t make sense having him playing so much with the Rose/BG/Kirk trio. Maybe he too should be traded or used to sweeten Larry’s trade

by JustAnotherFan on Oct 29, 2008 9:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

We need Thabo's length

But if we have to package him with Hughes to move Hughes that is OK so long as we’re getting back another guard. Preferably one that is tall and quick.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 10:53 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the backcourt of the future

is either Rose/Gordon or Rose/Hinrich. The point is you need a low cost 3rd guard to play 20 mpg. That’s what Thabo has a shot at becoming. Playing him can help determine if he’s right for that spot. If they do go Rose/Gordon, Thabo seems like a great low cost complement.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um...

They should first figure out if Gordon or Hinrich (one or the other, that is) can play 30-35 minutes next to Rose. That decision MUST be made this year. They just picked up Thabo’s option for 2009-2010. They can worry, if they’d like, about his situation after they’ve settled who the starters will be.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I couldn't agree more

but 10 minutes a game from Thabo won’t slow that. Now if Hughes comes back…..

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 2:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

um, yes it will

if it’s 10 minutes with Rose

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

If Rose plays 35 minutes, and Thabo is playing w/ him 10 of those, that leaves 25 minutes between Gordon and Hinrich. I’d rather have the full 35. Figure out the “best players”. Worry about the supporting cast later.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok but

it’s not like after 82 games of 25 minutes they’ll know less than if they played 82 games of 35 mintues. It will sort itself out long before then. In the meantime we still need to decide if Thabo is good enough to be the 3rd guard here long term.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But if you want to know about Thabo...They can deal w/ Thabo next yer.

And it’s 1/3 of the Rose’s playing time. That’s a lot. Would they know more 2,400 minutes than in 1,600? I think so. The larger the sample size, the better.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 3:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just don't see why we'll need a larger sample size,

given the variance of skills and abilities of Gordon/Hinrich. I think it will be pretty obvious who fits better with Rose and who should be moved.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:23 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But what if it isn't?

Or what if Hinrich gets hurt for a third of the season? it’d be nice to have that time back. Thabo is not that important this year. Like I said, figure things out between Hinrich and Gordon, move the other, and give Thabo 25 mins per game next year if ya want.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tyrus!! (Gordon & Vinny, too)

Tyrus was fantastic. It was a pleasure to see him play so well with all those minutes – but that was a lot of minutes. A great start, hopefully he’ll evolve into a 20 & 10 guy if he’s going to avg 40mpg.

Gordon had me shaking my head in the first half when he wasn’t playing well. I was surprised he was not the 1st guard off the bench, and feared his poor play was a sign he wouldn’t get much burn in the 2nd half (or even the rest of the season!).
But Gordon got his touch back in the second, and looked like the guy I remember. It will be interesting to see how he’s used as the season progresses.

I think the most promising trend I noticed last night was that Vinny will let these guys play through their mistakes. He let everyone play through and get the feel of the game (with the exception of Thabo and his 2 fouls in 6 seconds). This was true especially with the way Kirk & Gordon started out.

What a refreshing trend that is! I liked Skiles as a coach, and missed him when Boylan was running things. But it appears that Vinny has a lighter touch with the players which is needed right now. We’ll see if can hold them accountable (privately or publicly) when that time comes.

"I'm very important. I have many leather-bound books and my apartment smells of rich mahogany." - Ron Burgundy

by mdmnd9294 on Oct 29, 2008 9:25 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

mabe Vinny DID think about starting Ben

his comments in the Sun-Times:

‘’I just thought with Larry [Hughes] being out [shoulder] and Ben [Gordon] missing most of training camp, [the 6-7] Thabo gives us more size,’’ Del Negro said before the game. ‘’With Kirk coming off the bench, it helps our second unit. Like I’ve said all along, we’re going to have flexibility with the starting lineup.’’

To me, that sounds like he either wanted to go with Hughes or Ben, but only went with Thabo kinda by attrition.

by NormVanBeer on Oct 29, 2008 9:30 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting.

I like the Hinrich as second-unit-bringer-of-energy/ability-guy. (Although, if he wasn’t going to start Gordon, Hinrich still should have been the starter.) If either Rose or Gordon are starting poorly, Hinrich can spell either.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 9:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The good news is that with Thabo starting

he was still +3 in his stint and thus he departed the game with the Bulls in the lead. Once Hinrich entered the game the Bucks shifted the momentum, took the lead, and held it until Derrick Rose came back in for Kirk.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

not enough

I refuse to be content with a result if there’s a possibility they could’ve done better. Maybe they could’ve been +6?

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

It’s not “good enough” to win handily against the “worst team in the East”. Gordon and Hinrich were so much better than Thabo the whole game, it’s really, really tough to argue (because there is no factual evidence for it) they wouldn’t have won by even more had his 11+ been split between those two. Against a better team, that matters.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thabo was the only Bull yesterday with a Negative +/-, and really he was the only player who played poorly (Nocioni played ok, not great, but definately not bad):

http://www.nba.com/games/20081028/MILCHI/boxscore.html

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because of the 2nd half start

-6 in that stint.

He close a -2, but he was a wash(zero) if you subtract the last 76 seconds of garbage time.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was merely

indicating that not only did Thabo not look good or as efficient as the rest of our guards, but it showed up in the stats, where his +/- was the only one in the negative and 5 pts off his next closest performer on our team.

I don’t care so much that a -2, that’s minor….but the stats illustrate more what I saw in watching the game (And I didn’t like what I saw). I think it was despite Thabo’s poor play that we were only -2 when he was out there (as early on Gooden, Tyrus, Rose and most especially Deng played really well in Thabo’s first stint in the game).

I know it’s one game and wouldn’t be so down on Thabo if we didn’t ahve 2 light year’s better guards on our team, but facts are facts Gordon and Hinrich are light years better than Thabo….the game 1 experience on O and D proved it. Let’s focus on playing what we have first, rather than constantly thinking (future) especially when this future guy is only 11 months younger than our already solid and much better Gordon….

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please don't make me start shouting sample size already!

Being up or down roughly a basket less than halfway through the very first quarter of the season tells us absolutely nothing. The +/- for a single game are totally meaningless beyond the fun of discussing them, much less the +/- stats for a few minutes.

Man-slave, bring me my PB&J!

by wjb1492 on Oct 29, 2008 9:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Read my other posts

Before you start making judgments on a post you weren’t involved in.

The sample size for Thabo has been his career to date and the preaseason. He is an average player, who has not had the major strides of improvement…..but mostly he’s a poor shooter, and we have 2 VERY MUCH BETTER NOW and always will be better guards in Hinrich and Gordon who can play now and can play letter at at least an above average clip.

That’s the argument. Last night’s game was just another incident of a poor Thabo game.

I like Thabo, without Rose on our team, I’d be all for his development as our 3rd lead guard….but let’s face the facts, we have Rose, he needs some scorers beside him, Gordon’s a top scorer in this league (not a top player, but pure scorer/shooter, Gordon is as good as any for the minutes he plays)…..Hinrich has that hint of combo in him, but also can take PG responsibilities in stretches to either give Rose a breather or to have a 2 PG attack.

Thabo, well he’s a decent defender (not in Kirk’s league there though), he’s tall though. He can pass at times ok, he makes a lot of turnovers, he’s very apt to self confidence issues, he can’t shoot well, and he still is making rookie mistakes in his 3rd year.

Facts are Facts though regardless….Thabo will never be much more than an average guard in this league, and therefore he’ll never be in a Gordon class….and he’s not in the Hinrich class now at all….it’s silly all this Thabo needs to play 25 MPG talks…..have you watched him? With our gluttony of guards, it’s just not worth the effort.

by majoyenrac on Oct 30, 2008 7:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read all the comments

And if you notice, I specifically responded to NBAO’s use of +/- over a 4 minute period at the beginning of a game. That Thabo played 4 minutes to start the game and the Bulls were up by 3 points when he left is a fact, but it’s completely meaningless as far as any significance. Who the hell cares? It’s lovely that the Bulls were up by 3 at the specific point he was pulled, as opposed by down by 3, but you’re still talking a single possession away from potentially being tied and he was pulled with the Bucks in possession.

And if you’ve read any of my other posts, you know I’m one of the biggest (and few) vocal Kirk fans around here. I like Ben, too, and think he’s our best option at SG. I wasn’t disagreeing with you at all. But thanks for reminding me to read before making judgments. ;)

Man-slave, bring me my PB&J!

by wjb1492 on Oct 30, 2008 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No problem

I thought you were bashing me that’s all…

by majoyenrac on Oct 30, 2008 9:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Whoops

None of this changes the facts that when Thabo left the game the Bucks went on a run, took the lead, while the only thing the Bulls were doing to stay in the game was drawing fouls(good) to get to the line(still good).

But yea, sample size. It matters. Not that I made any argument that it doesn’t matter nor did I say everything in game 1 was indicative of how that will extend to more games.

by NBA Observer on Oct 30, 2008 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

To me, Thabo has to actually show something

considering he didn’t earn the starting spot in the first place, he has to be a difference-maker to keep it. Just being out there and continuing his bad preseason isn’t enough, even if they win.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 30, 2008 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I want to see Gordon start too.

He ‘earned’ it or something like that. Joking aside, we both wanted Gordon to start the opener. Ben Gordon is better.

We want the same things. We want the most out of players that can do what we ask of them. I just want to give VDN the chance to show me what he’s got before I crap all over him.

by NBA Observer on Oct 30, 2008 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

how about

we just go for the “best” players period, that’s an idea. What happens if the most out of someone isn’t as good as someone else?

i.e. – the most out of Thabo will never equal an average Ben (offensively)

by NormVanBeer on Oct 30, 2008 7:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think

THe only reason we’re going with Hughes is to hope he has a few of those pre injury T-Wolves games early in the year in the hope we can pull off a deadline trade. That’s also why there’s all this “Hughes had a great preseason” crap.

I hope he does it (plays well enough so we can trade him)….Thabo will be relegated to the bench then….and get little or no burn until mid season (if the Hughes trade doesn’t happen, then Hughes’ll be benched). Until then, we’ll see the Jacker play quite a bit, look awful in 4-5 straight games, have a huge game and have the announcers talk of how solid he’s been playing in the hopes of promoting trade value subconciously. Hell it worked with Big Ben (Ben was really active tonight on games where Ben mailed it in completely)…

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It was an ecouraging game to watch

I think we can safely say the Bulls will win more than 33 games like most “experts” are saying.

My brief synopsis:

Thabo: Did not look good, but to be fair, Redd was locked in last night and he was going to score 30 no matter who was guarding him. If Thabo isn’t going to help you defensively, then he should sit (which is what ended up happening).

Rose: Did not shoot well (and looked very hesitant to take any shot outside of 15 feet) but found ways to contribute. You can tell he has really made an impact in getting this team into more of an uptempo, fast break mode on offense.

TT: Very active, cut down on his stupid early fouls, was a presence down low. Still needs to work on his interior moves, but overall his performance was very promising.

Deng: Showed some early assertiveness and played well early. I don’t quite understand why he disappears late in the game. Perhaps he gets tired and starts to settle with those 25+ feet jumpers that are out of his range.

Gooden: Playing out of position. Looks to be more comfortable coming off the bench and playing the 4.

Hinrich: Playing with a chip on his shoulder. No matter how much of a “team player” he is, you just know he does not like a rookie pg coming in and taking his spot right off the bat. At least his trade value is increasing.

Gordon: came out shooting. Gordon will never be known as “gun-shy”. Struggled a bit early with his finishes near the basket, but rebounded from a shakey early start to shoot lights out. Defensively, I thought he played well at the keys, but get him down low in any kind of post position and you can do whatever to him. Still, of all the back court possible combinations , a Rose/Gordon one would be my starting choice.

Noah: Brought great energy off the bench and really played well. was a force defensively and on the boards. Offensively, not much of a factor last night.

Boston will pose all kinds of match up problems, but for now, things are looking up.

by RogersPark Kris on Oct 29, 2008 9:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

agree with your assessments in general

eventually I’m going to want Noah to be our starting center. He was very good in limited minutes, and frankly, he need his defensive intensity in there.

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 9:51 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Deng also disappeared at the end of the game

because he played less than half the quarter.

"Worker bees can leave.
Even drones can fly away.
The Queen is their slave."

by jpchi on Oct 29, 2008 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry to manage expectations

but Deng is not going to average 30 points a night. Sheesh….

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 10:02 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um...okay...

I don’t expect him to, I was just looking at the game flow and saw that might be an explanation. I’m sorry if you thought my explanation inferred that I thought he was going to average 30 in this league…

"Worker bees can leave.
Even drones can fly away.
The Queen is their slave."

by jpchi on Oct 29, 2008 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry

meant to jab at Kris for the initial ‘disappear’ comment.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well

I don’t think he’d score 30 pts a night, and wouldn’t expect him too. Facts are though he looked awesome in the first and second quarter, decent in the 3rd, and a forgotten shadow in the 4th.

It’s one game though, but unfortunately with Deng that’s been the case for his entire career sans the 1 series against Antoinne Walker.

But I would hardly call yesterday a bad Deng game, it was a great Deng game….still there are reasons for concern because he could do more on most nights.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't everyone's favorite "last piece of a championship team" James Posey guard him in that series as well?

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Posey

Focused mostly on Gordon (rewatch). Riley doubled up Gordon and tripled up Gordon because the Skilesian Bulls ran the same plays 98.5% of the time that featured Gordon and everyone else normally stood around and watched….but with Walker on Deng, Skiles knew he had the man.

THe few times Riley tried to put Posey on Deng, Gordon would light them up.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haven't watched anything from that series in quite some time

But, Deng was on the court a lot more than Walker

Game 1
LD 45 min JP 28 AW 30
Game 2
LD 39 JP 30 AW 24
Game 3
LD 36 JP 36 AW 23
Game 4
LD 43 JP 44 AW 15

Seems to me someone other than Walker must have been guarding Deng. Without watching the tape, I’d assume a large chunk of that fell to Posey.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It did, though a lot of times Posey/Walker were on the court together

Posey was able to prevent Deng from cutting to the basket as easily, but his jumpshot was so money that series that he was still able to get his baskets with a better defender on him.

"I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Gonna kick some ass in the USA. Gonna climb a mountain, gonna sew a flag, gonna fly on an eagle. I’m gonna kick some butt, gonna drive a big truck. I’m gonna rule this world. I’m gonna kick some ass. I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Rock, flag, and eagle!"

by Ozzie Montana on Oct 29, 2008 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

he disappeared in the 4th

because they were going to Gordon. They can’t shoot the ball at the same time. When one guy is scoring, the other guy shouldn’t go, “hey, its my turn.” That is the Larry Hughes brand of basketball.

I’m sick of people saying he disappeared in the 4th. He played last than half the 4th and Gordon had it going.

by DangerMouse on Oct 29, 2008 2:18 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

That was that game

Deng always disappears int he 4th…and while we went to Gordon for a few shots, had Deng been aggressive like he was in the start of the game we’d go for him.

Have you watched Deng the past 4 years? Don’t get sick of folks saying that he disappears in the 4th. The reason folks say it is HE DOES.

Now Deng’s a good player, but it’s that disappearance that keeps him good and not all star….

One game or two games is one thing, but not every game.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:32 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

doesn't matter anymore anyway

Rose is going to be the 4th quarter go-to guy. I’m ok with Deng staying ‘good’

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 3:59 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know and agree.

I’m just rebutting DangerMouse here.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 4:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought jpchi's point was....

…Deng only played five minutes, and only took one shot. Still had a block, rebound, assist. It was okay to “disappear” for this game at least. The team was ahead and others were showing up.

by tyger1147 on Oct 29, 2008 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you

are wrong on your “Kirk has a chip on his shoulder” crap. He has shown no signs of this at all. How do you know he’s not OK with Derrick taking his spot? From all I’ve read he’s been great with Derrick.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kirk was vocal and standing

while watching his teammates from the bench.

This Kirk is “cranky” crap is completely unfounded. It should stop.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I know Rose has metioned

that Kirk has been very helpful in showing him the ropes. I think Kirk can really shine in this role as Rose’s backup this year if he excepts it all year long. It gives us incredible depth at the guard spots.

by kig on Oct 29, 2008 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really think he

would be happy in this role. Maybe in a way it takes pressure off him.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He suits great for the role

His contract, however, not so much

by CJOliveira on Oct 29, 2008 1:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe the organization

isn’t worried about his contract as some in here are.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

they should be

since they’re the ones all Tax-scared.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You worry too

much over stuff you have no control over.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's called fandom.

maybe if you worried more you could contribute to the discussion.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

rawr

"I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Gonna kick some ass in the USA. Gonna climb a mountain, gonna sew a flag, gonna fly on an eagle. I’m gonna kick some butt, gonna drive a big truck. I’m gonna rule this world. I’m gonna kick some ass. I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Rock, flag, and eagle!"

by Ozzie Montana on Oct 29, 2008 3:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

::drops mic::

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fandom? More like

your obsession of BG making sure he gets his money.

I have real life issues to worry about.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sue come on now

This is a Bulls blog site. This also is presumably Matt’s job (I don’t know if he gets paid, but I presume he does and gets advertising funds—and deserves them for a job well done).

Your comment is ridiculous.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't say anything

that is not the truth. If you think it’s ridiculous so be it.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe you had some background or this was a joke...

but the whole “I have real life issues to worry about” thing I thought was you demoting Matt for doing his job and talking the Bulls on a Bulls web site instead of blabbing on and on about his personal life on here….was a bit much.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

no, these are not real issues and this isn't a real job

but I always get surly when that sentiment is shared (and it’s usually by Sue), because whatever your real-life situation, you’re on a sports blog. There’s an inherent perspective of assumed lunacy that comes with that.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know nothing of

Matt’s personal life. I don’t me to demean Matt for the job he does in here. Blogs like this one take a lot of time to do.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 4:42 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes, well

saying “you have no control so who cares” and that there’s more “real” issues, is exactly that: demeaning. (‘insulting’ is a better word)

I can take it and all, but that is what it is, so don’t be surprised if I am a jerk about it.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go back and read

what I said. I never said “so who cares”.

I’ve taken insults on here too.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If Rose and Tyrus come on

Then I bet Jerry opens up the check book…..I just see his point in not doing so after a 49 win team regressed to a 33 team without any real warning signs (given that we were universally hailed as the team to beat in the East with our depth, athleticism, presumed improvements of our solid young guys and coaching)….

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

consider it spending their way out of the Wallace mistake

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In Europe this happens all the time

and players accept the role.

That’s the finesse area where Vinny has to work. How to get guys to play together to win with more players playing 25-30 minutes instead of fewer players playing 40-45 minutes like the Suns played.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Winning is probably key.

If you’ve been demoted and the team is losing…it is quite easy to get frustrated. The whole team was that way last year. If your team is winning and you are contributing you should be relatively happy. Unless you are Hughes and are only worried about your own stat line.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hughes helps us

build a consensus on BAB. What else could we all agree on if it weren’t for Hughes and the push to not play him at all.

We don’t have Griffin and Wallace to kick around anymore.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

None of us

know what Kirk feels. However from what I’ve seen of him he has shown he is handling it very well.

by sue369 on Oct 29, 2008 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't Kirk say

His dream job was to play for the Bulls? And last year when he sucked, I believe Mac, Jurko and Harry talked to him in Jan or so and asked him which Chicago Athlete he’d most like to be, and Kirk said “me, I’ve got a great gig”—I heard it on the radio after Kirk and the team stunk it up and were looking disinterested….
So maybe just maybe, Kirk is motivated to play hard to prove his worth on our team in the future.

At least that’s what I hope. I don’t think Kirk wants to be traded, and he knows with Rose he’s not the future PG….so if he plays well next to and in relief of Rose, he might be able to keep his dream job especially considering the declining contract, and especially if we get to keep a cheap starting complimentary SG to take some burn.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 11:56 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Ditto

He could be like a manu (but much less talented) and i think it helps the bulls out. If we get rid of gooden and hughes, wouldnt we have the funds to sign gordon and keep hinrich? It cant be a lost cause financially, because it seems the only real reason we cant have both kirk and gordon on the same team is because of future finances….also, i wish deng didnt get 72 million…or at least doesnt get the incentives….

On Behalf of Sue, Wjb, Bullshooter, and all the other Hinrich fans...Ill keep the Hinrich Hope coming...There will be light....

by piccolomair on Oct 29, 2008 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on Thomas and Noah though

I like the idea, but it’s all contingent on Noah and THomas, because frankly if either comes on their more valuable than Hinrich or Gordon….and Tyrus’s upside is still a scary thought.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 12:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The most exciting part about last night for me was that no one had a really outstanding game

They won by double digits, albeit at home against a mediocre team, while still showing there’s a lot of room to grow. There are bound to be nights when we will all wonder how they ever won a game. Still, all the optimism that I lost through the preseason has quickly returned. This team is due for at least 40 wins and a playoff spot. If Rose and the defense develop well throughout the season, none of the top seeds in the East will want to be the ones to draw the Bulls in the first round.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 9:46 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm looking forward

to Vinny the communicator working some magic to rally the troops on the road in hostile territory.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was at the game too...

And my section (209) was only 3/4 full…the fans were pretty quiet all the way around except when Derrick Rose did something…then everyone popped big…the fans want to embrace him as the star of the team…it was a really cool feeling. Like Matt said, this was a really fun game to attend.

"The whole leverage thing, it's a difficult thing to gauge" -Paxson

by Dionysus2.0 on Oct 29, 2008 9:52 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Anyone catch the Comcast postgame show with Norm and Kendall?

Kendal Gill was saying that Derrick Rose is the most athletic point guard ever in the NBA. As a result, he also said Bulls fans have something really special to watch.

There won’t one NBA point guard that can guard Derrick once he elevates. Teams will have to guard him with their best defender with height and quickness. This frees up Ben Gordon.

I’m pumped.

by NBA Observer on Oct 29, 2008 11:06 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe

Gooden’s money becomes Gordon’s money in the offseason. Point is, if we win, and Gordon loves playing with Rose, and we give him the dough…hey, why not stay? It’s a great city.

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gooden's money becoming Gordon's money is key.

The team can afford to shell out for both Hinrich and Gordon because Hinrich ends right when Rose is due to get paid. If Hinrich is going to get back to 06/07 form, it’s not going to get much better than a Rose, Gordon, Hinrich backcourt.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Glad I've got some support in this

I feel like i’ve been shouting it from the BaB mountaintops. That backcourt could be lethal – and who cares if they’re short? The 80 pistons were brutal with Thomas, Dumars, and the Microwave. The Bulls backcourt would be bigger than they were.

You play your best three guards. End of story.

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've said

mostly on sportsline.com, not here, that our guard gluttony is the deepest 48 minute rotation in the league….the problem is minutes and Hughes (mostly Hughes)…..we’ll see what happens when Hughes comes back, how they play it, but I most certainly want HInrich and Gordon and Rose to be in the 29-30 minute range if not more, and that’s all the burn we have there. Keep Thabo for injury risk…

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 12:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's absolutely imperative that the Bulls

don’t try to “salvage” anything from Larry Hughes. Even if he has his one, shining day where all those bad shots fall, the League knows exactly what he is. There’s no mystery or upside left to Larry Hughes.

Mantra for Paxson and VDN: Don’t let financial mistakes become basketball mistakes.

Now repeat after me….

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know that from our perspective and agree

But last year Ben Wallace looked absolutely terrible, made at least $8M more than he should have, with probably $19-22M in the next 2 years more than he should have in his future contract….I only said he made $8M more than he should have last year because his name did help sell some tickets….but that’s getting over with now and he should be a $3M player making $14M this year and next year…

And he looked awful even to us fans…..and we don’t have the luxury of studying allt he tapes 15 times over, which GM’s and coaches did….

And yet we talked the talk of how dedicated he was and blah blah blah and somehow turned him into a decent talent-wise trade that will help our future.

We’ll do the same for Hughes, he’s not nearly as poor as Modern Big Ben, and will be of some value on the right team. I wonder if an Al Harrington for Larry Hughes might be in the mix? Hughes can play some PG and might not be as bad in a Nellie Ball lineup….GSW needs a PG at least while Ellis is down.

I don’t know if we need Al Harrington, and I personally prefer Noc, but Harrington’s versatility might not be a bad thing either (he’s a good player)…

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's the catch. Noah has to be ready to play 30+ minutes

by the end of the season. And then there’s the really big catch that Gray actually has to play 10-15 minutes. Add a couple of Malik Allen level backups and the team is okay. I’m willing to play Gray to keep Gordon at an acceptable price.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You'd be an IDIOT

to Dump Rose….hope you meant Gordon.

As for Dumping one of Hinrich and Gordon to get a 20-10 big man, I think anyone would but it’s impossibly hard to trade for a Big Man….a solid big man that is who’s not nearing hte end (Shaq, Jermaine) or severely becomes overpaid overnight and then falls apart (KMART), or dumb luck but still old (Camby)….it just doesn’t happen often.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's why I put the IF in caps

It is a big if. I’m actually excited about Tyrus playing well because Tyrus/Hinrich could then fetch you a legitimate player. Let’s not everyone shoot me down for potentially trading Tyrus.

by CJ Bulls on Oct 29, 2008 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm pretty sure you meant Hinrich/Gordon

Otherwise, I must flag you.

"I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Gonna kick some ass in the USA. Gonna climb a mountain, gonna sew a flag, gonna fly on an eagle. I’m gonna kick some butt, gonna drive a big truck. I’m gonna rule this world. I’m gonna kick some ass. I’m gonna rise up, gonna kick a little ass. Rock, flag, and eagle!"

by Ozzie Montana on Oct 29, 2008 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

vet minimum players are tax-free.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No they're not

A vet making the minimum for his experience level counts against the cap as a 2-year vet.

E.G. Michael Ruffin will get paid $1,141,838, being an 8th year pro. The Bulls will only have to pay him $797,581, the minimum salary for a guy with two years of experience. The rest will be paid by the league but the $797,581 is still counted against the Bulls for cap and luxury tax purposes.

This means that the Bulls still have to set aside a couple million, at a minimum, between the luxury tax and the salaries they pay their core guys, in order to fill out their roster.

And frighteningly, I believe Malik is making a tad above the league minimum.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 6:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Financial work to do

The Bulls need to be very careful because they’re still in a position where they’d hit the luxury tax trying to pay Gordon even if they let Gooden walk.

Assuming Gooden walks, they’ve still got a lot of salary tied up in Kirk, Noc and Hughes. And that $3M option on Thabo won’t look too good if it ends up costing us Gordon either.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It would be close, but they could do it.

But, paying Gordon does mean they likely have to resign Gray as well.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or not

There’s way too many balls in the air (with the economy, the cap could even decline next year) at this point. We just don’t have the margin for error we need.

Gray is another factor. I agree he should play as a potential Gooden replacement, but if he actually plays well some team might offer him a bigger deal than we can match and keep Gordon.

At the end of the day, I really dont see how we can pull it off without some more salary relief

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 3:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's right up against the wall.

The Bulls have 56.1 million committed for next season. So say they only have 14 million to spend. Obviously if Gordon gets a 12 or 13 million dollar a year offer he’s gone anyway because Ben isn’t one of Uncle Jerry’s favorites. If it’s a 10 million dollar a year offer then there’s some room to work. Until a team decides to pay Gordon his money or a trade changes the situation, I’ll hold out some hope things finally get worked.

by Scotter on Oct 29, 2008 4:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, let's think about it

That’s $56.1M for eight players. Add our draft pick at $1.5M or so, and you’ve got $57.6M for nine. At a minimum, you need three more guys making the minimum, which will be $825,497 (we don’t have a second round pick next year, so those players will count at least that much on the cap). So that’s another $2.5M. That brings us up to $60.1M. So ok, how much does that give us to spend?

If the salary cap goes up as it has historically, it gives us about $14M like you say. But everyone in the NBA seems to be crying like the economy is going to kill revenues. In which case the salary cap might stay about the same or go down. So if it stays the same, the we’ve got about $11M under the cap. If it goes down, it goes down to who knows where.

But wherever it ends up, other teams are going to know it. If OKC or Miami wants Gordon, they don’t necessarily have to pay him $13M/yr average, they can simply front load the contract to pay him $13M in the first year and $9M in the final year. That’d force the Bulls to pay the luxury tax to keep him, which I agree won’t happen, even if the overall contract is one the Bulls might consider if it’s back loaded.

That’s the thing, is everyone knows the score on the Bulls. They ain’t gonna pay the tax, and they’re going to be close enough to the tax threshold next year that a team can reasonably expect to get Gordon not by overpaying, but by simply re-ordering the payments to put the Bulls over the tax if they match the offer.

To prevent this, the Bulls need all of the following:
1. A favorably LT threshold next year when the off the cuff reaction is that it’ll be worse.
2. They can’t “luck” there way into a highly paid draft pick.
3. They have to be willing to go with all minimum salary guys on the rest of their team next year.
4. Then hope that Ben has a good year, but not good enough to make someone willing to front-load his contract to make even a marginally better offer than the Bulls.
5. Let’s not forget that part of that other salary the Bulls have committed is alloted to Hinrich, Hughes and Thabo. That makes Gordon somewhat less valuable to the Bulls and makes the Bulls a less attractive destination for him.

So I’d pretty much bank on losing him unless they knock some more salary off the books. And further, it probably has to be Hinrich, because trading Noc doesn’t eliminate the backcourt problem, trading Thabo probably doesn’t do enough to eliminate it, and trading Hughes is just plain old unlikely.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 7:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Better weather (anywhere)

no state income tax in Florida………

by hhirb on Oct 29, 2008 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's only a matter of time for Thomas

I think we might have seen a different side of the kid-turned-man. Tyrus Thomas is a major cog in the Bulls wheel this season. The real test will come Friday, when he pairs off with Garnett.

I think we’ll know how truly developed he is. My guess is, he’ll get into early foul trouble and render ineffective.

http://stillbullishinchicago.blogspot.com/

by Bullish on Oct 29, 2008 12:02 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Garnett looked awful yesterday too

Tyrus can really make a name for himself on ESPN friday

by Option27 on Oct 29, 2008 2:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

thank god Tom Dore's gone

now I don’t have to watch the ESPN telecast.

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's the TNT broadcasts I'm looking forward to

There’s only 3 more games against the Bucks to remind ourselves how lucky we are to not have Skiles and Boylan around. Doug Collins will be a constant reminder over the next couple seasons as Rose develops in an uptempo season.

We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan

by snley on Oct 29, 2008 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

when they showed Doug on the pre-game montage of great Bulls, I shuddered thinking this could’ve been the re-debut of Doug Collins. (starring Brook Lopez)

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by your friendly BullsBlogger on Oct 29, 2008 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know

I even don’t mind Stacey King….he’s not repeating himself like crazy because Dore cannot add anything to his discussions. Overnight the Bulls TV crew went from an "oh my God, what a terribly annoying bunch of reporters and doesn’t the team with the highest attendance in the league and a small in Chicago compared to the past but still huge outside CHicago fanbase, and a local rabid fanbase for a very very profitable franchise deserve to have professionals call the game?

to

a

God I love Neil Funk, he brought all the radio charm to the TV without missing a step, and actually makes the Bulls TV crew sound very knowledgeable and professional.

Good move in this offseason, a move that was so long overdue it should have happened in the MJ days.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quick thought

I dont know if its been mentioned or not in this thread, but watching the game the only thing I kept thinking of was how awesome Redd would be next to Rose as our starting SG. Is there any way we can package Kirk and Noc to their buddy Skiles and bring in Redd and a throw in. We can even throw in Thabo or take back more junk from them if need be just to make this thing work.

by NamingRightsOnSale on Oct 29, 2008 2:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

i don't think Hinrich and Skiles are buddies

Hinrich’s lousy play probably got Skiles fired. Skiles poor coaching probably ruined Kirk’s confidence.

by DangerMouse on Oct 29, 2008 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plus

You could just see that Hinrich hated Skiles in the past 2 games….only Nocioni (a pro’s pro) shook Skiles’s hand.

I think the reason for Hinrich’s godawful play was that he wanted to rid the team of Scott and Jimmy B.

Skiles didn’t help the cause by constantly calling out Kirk early,a nd Kirk’s immediate regression last year seemed to indicate something was up…..he was even mopier than ever.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does that make Kirk our MVP?

"Worker bees can leave.
Even drones can fly away.
The Queen is their slave."

by jpchi on Oct 29, 2008 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't follow

But prior to last year, you could have argued Kirk as our MVP, because he really was our leader and wasn’t really inferior to Deng and Gordon (those two seemed to be nipping past him, but you could have always argued the other way given Kirk’s setting the tone, controlling the offense, controlling the defense, etc….

Then the bottom fell out in Kirk’s game last year….

But if that’s not what you’re saying then I don’t know. Kirk is still a leader/captain on our team, and it seems Pax isn’t just going to give him away even with ROse.

by majoyenrac on Oct 29, 2008 9:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was implying that he possibly made us better

by getting both Skiles and Boylan fired…Thomas has gotten minutes…we went to the lottery and got a future star…and (so far) the players seem more enthusiastic

"Worker bees can leave.
Even drones can fly away.
The Queen is their slave."

by jpchi on Oct 30, 2008 12:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Only Noc shook Skiles hand

that they showed on television. I have no idea how any of them feel about him, but they’ve had plenty of time to bitch about him to the media if they wanted to and haven’t – I doubt very many of the guys didn’t say hello to Skiles. (although I can think of a couple…)

Man-slave, bring me my PB&J!

by wjb1492 on Oct 29, 2008 9:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

just because they don't like a guy

doesn’t mean they’re automatically going to go to the media to complain about him.

by Jaina on Oct 29, 2008 9:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think you can assume no one else greeted Skiles because they only showed Noc

on TV. Someone on RealGM said they were at the game and saw Lu give him a hug, so there’s at least one more person.

I guess my point was that guys who were not upset with him to the point that they refrained from bashing (or at a minimum thought it wise to maintain a public facade of civility) when the media was around asking about the firing probably took a second to acknowledge his presence in some way. None of that means they actually like or dislike Skiles. I saw the Noc handshake on TV, too, and I didn’t jump to the conclusion that it meant Noc was the only to do so.

Man-slave, bring me my PB&J!

by wjb1492 on Oct 29, 2008 11:09 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What good would it have done them to bash Skiles though

We don’t have any 30+ year old veterans on our team that would have kicked a man when he was down….just because they didn’t complain didn’t mean they liked the guy. You could see that they wanted to beat him very badly both games….especially in Kirk’s aggression.

by majoyenrac on Oct 30, 2008 7:36 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course they wanted to win and beat an old coach

My point was that just because Noc was shown on TV greeting Skiles doesn’t mean that other players did not. By the same token, saying hello to him doesn’t mean they didn’t want to win, or that they actually like him.

You linked Noc greeting Skiles as evidence that Kirk hated him – Kirk may or may not hate him, but Noc’s handshake as seen on TV has nothing to do with it. I thought it was an odd thing to throw in, and commented on it. That’s all.

Man-slave, bring me my PB&J!

by wjb1492 on Oct 30, 2008 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No

But you would have thought they would all have waved after the game or at least shook his hand….

Plus we haven’t seen Kirk play that gritty in a while….

And all the murmurs last year indicating that the big 3 that fell out with Skiles actually were Wallace, Joe Smith and Luol Deng….

But Hinrich’s year last year was just so shockingly bad, and then Hinrich’s play against Scott was so similar to past Kirk, that you have to wonder…

Skiles too has a history of issues with teammates and with his former players, so I think that’s in play.

Notice how Noc never shook Boylan’s hand though…

by majoyenrac on Oct 30, 2008 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yup.

Just because the camera didn’t catch it doesn’t mean they didn’t talk before or after the game. Perhaps Noc was the last person to say something. Perhaps they all caught up at the preseason game. Really, it means nothing even if none of them talked to him but Noc. Skiles wasn’t the destroyer of worlds and the players (minus Thabo) aren’t some quivering mess over it. No need to read any drama into it.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 30, 2008 12:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

my whole point

was just that just because they hadn’t been trashing him to the media, doesn’t mean they said hello to the guy.

also doesn’t meant they didn’t.

by Jaina on Oct 30, 2008 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

too bad we didn't sign duhon and malik allen to bloated contracts this summer

because those are two pieces that would have Skiles drooling as he made a pitch to Hammond to trade Redd for them.

by kig on Oct 29, 2008 3:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're not really

Considering a 16.2 PER player to be “worth” 75% of a 19.6 PER player … are you? Do I need to even waste breath on how illogical this is? By this logic – is a 9.8 PER player worth half of Redd? By this logic a 9.6 PER player is worth $8M. Huh?

Overall value or worth – considering PER as a proxy for this, leaving everything else aside for a moment, is not a linear function with (0, 0) as it’s starting point. A 20 PER player is worth much, much more than twice a 10 PER player or much more than 133% of a 15 PER player. This is where replacement value needs to be considered – for example, if you define a replacement level player to have a PER of 12 (pretty reasonable, about what Thabo would be expected to do), then you might say that a 20 PER player is actually worth twice what a 16 PER player is – their marginal value above replacement level (i.e. VORP) is double.

I’m not so naive as to value basketball players based only on PER, but it’s a decent proxy and a great place to start when considering a player’s value. But please, please, PLEASE don’t misuse it in this fashion.

(When I have time I need to write about some of the illogical plus-minus comments that have been made, i.e. Player A had a +/- of J on team X and is therefore better than Player B who had a +/- of K on Team Y….. :: shudder :: ).

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 10:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't even mention

That even once you establish that one player has a VORP of 8 PER while another has a VORP of 4, that doesn’t mean the former player is worth twice as much as the latter player (it’s not a linear function that starts with a VORP of zero either). I’d argue that due to the scarcity of elite players, the star player is actually worth more than twice his “good” counterpart … that marginal value from good to great is extremely, extremely difficult to replace.

I really like BG, and I hope we can retain him, but Michael Redd has 3 seasons with a PER over 20. I mean, it’s not even comparable … as an offensive player, Redd has been significantly better than BG.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 10:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If PER is an exponential function, salary is a log function

When you factor in the salary cap/luxury tax, I think you have to re-think what you’re getting at.

Without a detailed study, I’d think a balanced team with guys of above average PER (16-18) could be had under the luxury tax threshold. I’d think such a team would be consistently very good.

On the other hand, a team with a really kick ass guy and a bunch of average PER guys (15-16) would not be as good.

The reason for this would seem to be that if you really “pay a guy what he’s worth”, unless he’s really really great, you won’t have enough money to pay anyone else.

For example, if you can get Ben Gordon for $9M this year, and Redd costs $15.8M, then you’ve got $6.8M to spend somewhere else. That’s enough to pay a very good player. Perhaps, following your example below, it’s enough to get a second guy with a 4 VORP. So you get 2 4 VORP guys or one 8 VORP guy.

Now, I do understand your argument about truly elite players, but my guess is that you wouldn’t say Redd is a truly elite player. He’s certainly very good, and I’d take him over Gordon in the abstract, but in the grand scheme of things, he’s in about the same tier. Which is a second or third tier SG. Except he’s paid like he’s elite.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 11:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comparing players

One thing I rarely see but I do include in my own rating system (which is basically a linear stats weighting with a team adjustment that I’d have a hard time explaining logically) is a good comparison between players.

When we talk about VORP and how much better one guy is than another, I usually see really abstract discussions. What I do with my ratings is divide players up into tiers based on how many standard deviations they are from the top player. Either overall or at their position.

For example, Kobe Bryant rated out as the top SG last year. And it wasn’t even close. No other SG was within a standard deviation of his production level. So ok, that’s elite.

The second tier guys are a standard deviation away from Kobe. And they’re still pretty scarce. TMac, Wade, Manu, Iggy, Carter, Johnson.

The third tier guys are another deviation away. And they start to get pretty plentiful- 12 of em. So yeah, I’d take Kevin Martin before I’d take Redd or Gordon or Mike Miller or Anthony Parker, but they’re closer to each other than they are to Kobe.

by Sports2 on Oct 29, 2008 11:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can I presume

That Manu was within a SD of Kobe on a RATE basis, but that his lack of playing time in the regular season drove down his value? It’s a one-off case to be sure, but someone like that has more worth than a lesser player who’s more available in the regular season.

And I agree that Redd does not qualify as a “truly elite” player, I was simply making a point about the difficulty of comparing the value of two players – that you need to consider economic factors like scarcity into the equation rather than just on-the-court “value”. As you point out, there are other factors as well – i.e. available capital (salary cap), etc.

The thing is – with the cap on individual salaries, the truly elite player is worth leaps and bounds above the merely good players. LeBron or Chris Paul are probably “worth” $25M per year or so, much higher than the maximum salary. So I guess I disagree about assembling a team of 15-16 PER players, because you’d probably have to overpay them relative to their worth (see Hinrich, Kirk), whereas the one kickass player would be underpaid due to the CBA limits. I mean, Kirk makes $11M and LeBron makes around $15M, right?

Anyhow, fascinating stuff. How do you factor defense into your rating system? Adjusted plus/minus, or box score stats only? Do you factor Usage rate to the extent that Hollinger does?

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 30, 2008 12:19 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, Manu's in the same STDev on a rate basis

But this is actually one of those things that makes me question pure rate stats like PER, because it forces you to accept some strange assumptions. Like, I agree that Manu’s one of the league’s top players, but if you simply look at his rate, you’d have to conclude Popovich is a total numbskull for playing him so little.

In the end, I think it’s fair to give him a bonus for being very efficient, but he also has to be “punished” somehow for not being as efficient in long spurts as Kobe is. Because if he is, then he’s as good as Kobe and just terribly mis-used. So I don’t think you can necessarily say he’s worth more than a lesser player who’s “more available”. You have to have some accouting for availability.

Gordon falls into that same sort of issue by the way. He ranks near the top of the third tier guys in terms of rate of production, and toward the bottom in minutes played. And most of Bulls fandom’s disagreement on him comes from trying to understand this, it seems. Is he the victim of stupid coaches who can’t get over outward appearances, or is there something else that erodes his effectiveness when he plays too much per game, the way, I suppose, the Spurs must think Manu gets run down or something.

In general, my rating system is really simple… On my rating system, I just use box score stats because I’ve never had time to sit down and figure out how to parse a game log the way the guys at basketballvalue and 82games do. Plus I think it’s such noisy data that it ends up being frequently and horribly misused.

I’ll confess to never having rigorously tested my system the way I should, and I’m sure there’s something I miss horribly on, but when I look at how guys rate out, it generally confirms my beliefs about them.

I factor defense in two ways. First I use box score stats. So a player gets pluses for defensive rebounds, steals and blocks, and minuses for fouls.

Second, I calculate a net team productivity factor (team production – opponent production) and apply it on a per minute basis to the individual players on a team. I started this out to try and figure out a way to measure the contributions of guys like Bruce Bowen or Jason Collins. Guys that play more minutes than their measurable productivity tends to justify under most systems.

If that contribution exists, it has to show up in the reduced productivity of the opposition. So Bruce Bown gets a positive team contribution factor for playing a lot of minutes on a team that had a high net team productivity factor.

Still, there’s a downside to this, because if you’re dogmatic about this, you over count a guy like Bowen and you’d seriously mark down a good player on a bad team (say Elton Brand in his Bulls years).

And at the end of the day, while I think Bowen should get a plus up for contributing to a good team, I think most of the value should go to Tim Duncan. And while I think Brand shouldn’t be totally excused for playing on a bad team, you need to factor in that he was playing next to Dickie Simpkins, who was probably more responsible for the Bulls’ net negative productivity than Brand was.

So to compensate for that, I do something that really has no logical basis that can think of, except it tends to be accurate. I calculate the player’s difference between the % of a teams total productivity and the % of a team’s total minutes a player accounts for and multiply it by the absolute value of the team’s net production.

For a team with a positive net productivity over its opposition, this means every player gets rewarded an extra X% times his own productivity. Bruce Bowen gets rewarded for being part of a winning team, but so does Tim Duncan. Everyone gets the same percent, but Duncan gets a higher total, which makes sense because of his higher individual productivity.

On a losing team, doing it this way has the interesting effect of allowing good players to be penalized much less harshly than really bad players. Elton Brand, on the 99-00 Bulls, for example, only takes a 7% hit to his productivity.

This seems intuitively sensible if we recognize that you’ve got two counteracting factors. First, Brand’s stats were probably inflated artificially because he was the best option on an overmatched team. So you want to mark them down to gauge his “true value”. But you don’t want to mark him down too much, because he was a relatively productive guy compared to the alternatives.

Dickie Simpkins, on the other hand, gets penalized more in absolute terms and percentage terms both. So you want to mark down his productivity because his stats were somewhat inflated by virtue of being on the court in the first place, and because he was the basketball equivalent of a sucking chest wound. So he gets penalized something like 60% of the individual productivity that you’d measured simply by counting his productive stats.

All of which is to say, I don’t think this is a perfect measure at all (which is why I’m not out pimping it as such), but the end result is to account for productivity in a way that tends to make some sense.

by Sports2 on Oct 30, 2008 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Question
I calculate the player’s difference between the % of a teams total productivity and the % of a team’s total minutes a player accounts for and multiply it by the absolute value of the team’s net production.

By “total productivity”, are you using the output from your rating system before this “final” adjustment?

You’re right in that there’s no logical/scientific basis for this, but it is intuitive; the Bruce Bowens/Shane Battiers of the world deserve credit for their difficult-to-measure on-court effectiveness, and this method seems to be a way to conservatively provide some of the credit to them while allocating a disproportionate amount of the credit to the conventional “stars” of the team.

I really wish the adjusted plus/minus data was more readily available – it seems like it’s published on 82games once a year – and was analyzed to a greater degree. While there’s all sorts of interesting possibilities in that data, as you point out, “… I think it’s such noisy data that it ends up being frequently and horribly misused.” That should REALLY be the signature line for someone … hint, hint.

Gotta run – I’ll re-read your comment later and see if I have any additional questions/comments (I’ve got a couple thoughts on Gordon, to start with).

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 30, 2008 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sooo.... to sum up.

PER is the end-all, be-all for you, huh?

by tyger1147 on Oct 30, 2008 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please re-read my post

I never suggested that it was the be-all, end-all. Thanks.

My question is – how did you choose to determine that Gordon was worth 75% of Redd?

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 30, 2008 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know. I was being sarcastic. You're welcome.

First, I figured the cost was about 75%. That’s where I got that seemingly arbitrary number.

From there,it was impossible to not look at the comparisons and see PER through their first four seasons. That was obviously a starting point. I also looked at pts/36, FTA/36, FT, 3P, AST/36 and noticed that Gordon bested Redd in all those areas. I noticed he lagged in rebounding, stealing, turning the ball over and fouling.

However, in the context of the comment I was replying to, saying he’d be a great complement to Rose… and realizing what Gordon would be asked to do in that context (won’t be handling the ball and being the primary creator, for one), and knowing what that rebounding, TO’s, fouls, steals all go into PER, and I don’t think those are as important in this context (not just the TO’s, but because the others are defensive accounts for PER, and I think Gordon has been a better defender throughout his career than Redd), I think Redd’s PER stands out less.

Plus, I look at their salaries and think that $16 mil/yr is the absolute most I’d pay for Redd and $12 mil/yr is about the most I’d pay for Gordon.

And, of course, there’s subjective/bias opinion in it as well.

Certainly, my off-the-cuff remark and quick quasi-analysis didn’t take nearly as long as it did for me to write this, or for you to read it. It was more of a general understanding of the situations, intuitive guesses and a sarcastic remark.

Is Gordon 75% of the player Michael Redd? I don’t know. If Gordon signs for 75% of Redd, though, to play next to Rose (starting at $9 million, 6/68 compared to 6/91), I do think I’d be much more comfortable w/ it than I would be w/ Redd at his level.

Of course, you could have just asked this question first off…

by tyger1147 on Oct 30, 2008 10:58 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough

Although I would suggest that the difference in true shooting percentage between the two players is probably as significant a factor in their difference in value than turnovers, rebounds, etc. I believe that Redd is a much, much better player than Gordon, and I’d place myself firmly in the pro-Gordon camp here.

So pardon if the tone of my comment was poor, but I do continue to believe that the “Player X is kinda like Player Y, and Player Y makes $15M so Player X is worth $11M” is just dangerous logic that ends up in Kirk Hinrich being paid $11M, and more condemningly, Andres Nocioni being paid $8M.

Your post obviously had far more than just this spurious logic to support it, and I probably overreacted a bit.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 30, 2008 12:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

cool

i can definitely be wrong…

i will say that hinrich’s contract wasn’t that bad initially, it just is because he became a backup

And I think Redd is an absolute abhorrent defender, where Gordon is just average to below-average. And I think Gordon’s “value” is given a boost by the circumstances he’d have on the Bulls. it’s the same way Posey is for new Orleans. Is his contract bad in a vacuum? Sure. But if New Orleans somehow wins a championship and makes another Finals appearance, and they’re convinced he put them over the hump, was he “worth” the contract?

Kind of my same thinking in how I see Gordon being a complement to the rest of the players on the team, especially Rose. It’s convoluted and nuanced… but then most of my thinking is.

by tyger1147 on Oct 30, 2008 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

anyone else love the bucks' commentators

use of the word “accountability” in reference to skiles? i started laughing.

by Jaina on Oct 29, 2008 4:05 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

lol, missed that.

It’s a part of the doctrine.

They’re well prepared, I guess…

by BAB-Bass on Oct 29, 2008 4:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rose 1 x 0 Beasley

Man, Beasley sucked against New York lol

by JustAnotherFan on Oct 29, 2008 9:36 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

lol

duhon had better stats than him

by Jaina on Oct 29, 2008 9:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Meanwhile, the Knicks

looked a lot better after a certain benching happened. Think we can do that with Hughes? There is a precedent now.

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe that's the hidden cost of losing out on Mike D'Antoni

He’d have been smart enough to tell Hughes to find a warm seat on the end of the bench.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 10:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dude

VDN can just say it is for Thabo’s development or something. One of the magic pieces to make Thabo awesome. Benching Hughes. Even if it doesn’t work at least Hughes will be benched. VDN had the power to start Thabo and bench Kirk and Gordon. He should have the power to bench Hughes as well to help develop his “starter”. And since Hughes has been injured and unable to practice he’d have to come into the game after Gordon. But we’d just never take Gordon out so Hughes won’t ever get in.

It can work. It must work!

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 10:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

When's the last time there's been this much

of an apparent disconnect between a team and it’s fan base? I mean – EVERYONE on here wants Hughes to get Kerrigan’d or bought out of his contract or just flat-out benched, anything to keep him from getting on the court. But from the moment he was hired, VDN seems committed to making him an actual part of this team.

I like VDN and am not trying to rip him – he still hasn’t actually played Hughes in any meaningful regular-season minutes, so maybe there’s some Aaron Gray effect here – but it’s just interesting.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 10:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes and while I am guilty of the same

even I step back and realize that there may very well be value of playing Larry Hughes. The man may be able to contribute to winning in the proper role. Coaches evaluate players differently than fans do. When Redd hits 3 three’s in the third quarter, fans say Thabo is the asshole. The coaches say Tyrus is the asshole for not rotating and Thabo would have been an asshole had he not rotated over. The fan doesn’t even know Ty fucked up.

Maybe we should for once have some trust in the coaching staff and let their decisions play out on court before we act like we already know what’s going to happen.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 11:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't want Larry Hughes playing at all

but I realize I could very well be wrong and perhaps even unreasonable about this.

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 11:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's interesting

My inclination wasn’t to think that we were all wrong for not wanting to play Hughes … but I should probably acknowledge that it’s a possiblity, huh? :)

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 29, 2008 11:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Funny how

they mostly botched their rotations when Thabo was out there. Tyrus must have been doing that specially for him or something because he played nearly the entire game and seemed fine rotating with the rest of the guards. Redd got half of his points while Thabo was on the floor and the other half the entire rest of the game. But never no mind to that. It was all Tyrus and his not rotating when Thabo was on the floor that did it.

There is no reason ever to play Hughes. Perhaps on another team that doesn’t have Rose, Gordon, Hinrich, and Thabo. But our team does. Playing Hughes it like giving yourself a handicap. He is an inefficient shooter, plays outside our offense, a black hole once he gets the ball, low basketball IQ, a risky defender…oh, but he is tall. Well that does it. Start him. Hughes is too old and happily set in his ways for him to get any sort of second chance from me. Lets say his second chance was preseason and he sucked. But he is tall…so they will play him.k

Everything I post is speculation. I have no insider information nor ideas deemed concrete enough by those who are self-elected to regulate post content.

by cranscape on Oct 29, 2008 11:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just to restate to make clear

the Bulls were slow in their rotations all night. Redd was hot and killed them for it. Richard Jefferson put up something like 5 for 17 so he let them off the hook. Had he been hot too, because he had open looks, it could have been a different outcome.

This is a big reason why I believe VDN is emphasizing the inclusion of a big guard (or two) in the guard rotation: his defense is rotation/help based, you need size and length and quickness in that style defense. One reason Rose should be awesome in it is because not only is he lightening quick, but he’s a big PG. Thabo can rotate out to cover a 1, 2, 3, and 4. Hughes can. Kirk can rotate out on a 1 and 2, BG arguably a 1 and 2 as well. Defense is key, it sets the tone, which is probably why VDN wanted a big guard starting last night. When matchups allow, I would not be surprised to see him spot start Kirk. Who knows?

by messwiththebull on Oct 29, 2008 11:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree in that

I thought our rotations were horrible – I’m trying to figure out how all these Skiles-coached players could have slipped this far (hopefully early season rust + small sample size) – but otherwise Cranscape, you’re totally preaching the choir.

"You ain’t as hot as I is / all of these false prophets is not messiahs /
You don’t know how high the sky is / the square mileage of earth or what pi is." - Nas

by Jivas on Oct 30, 2008 12:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I don't mind if the rest of the rookies do well,

just not Beasley. Reason being: I’m sooooooo tired of the “Bulls shoulda picked Beasley” crap.

It wasn’t just his stat line, either: to me he looked like a perimeter player. Got outmuscled, outsized and outhustled for rebounds. Bad D.

And another: if you can’t score on the Knicks, you suuuuuuuuuuuuuuck.

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 29, 2008 10:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good point MPG

Who was his match up? Quentin Richardson? Man, that’s an even uglier debut than I thought

by JustAnotherFan on Oct 29, 2008 10:35 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Actually, I got to watch it because I'm in NYC

and he was really, really bad. He couldn’t keep the knicks off hte boards: David Lee, Malik Allen, and Wilson Chandler ripped him up (same guys guarded him). Almost all of his shots were from the outside, on the three point stripe; and frankly,they were wide open. He did take Allen off the dribble for a lay up that was sweet, but on the whole he looked disinterested, pouty, and something I never thought I’d say. He looked soft.

Mario Chalmers, on the other hand, blew me away. Great D, tough shooting, good court vision. He doesn’t have the athletic ability to be a star, but he was a brilliant pick in the second round, and he’ll be a quality point guard in the years to come. He has that Noah-esque quality to him. Namely: he won’t win you a championship, but you could win a championship with him as your starter.

There was something else, a little sublter than Beasley’s poor basketball performance. Two times, Dewayne Wade rolled his eyes at him. He also seemed kind of outside the loop on defense, in huddles…kind of like he was in his own little world. When he got knocked down, nobody helped him up.

I think he will score handily in the League, but just watching him in an NBA setting reinforced how much better Rose fits us (purely in a basketball sense). Reason being: he’s a perimeter guy. He’s not the post presence we’re looking for. His shots will definitely fall at some point, but I’m not sure the way in which he scores will. In other words, don’t think we passed up Amare Stoudemire. We passed up the jerkhead version of Glenn Robinson.

The poster formerly known as Freethefro.

by MPG on Oct 30, 2008 8:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

ouch

Nice commentary. I didn’t think his rebounding in college would in any way translate to the NBA game. It was surprising to see Marc Stein, Ric Bucher, David Thorpe, Chad Ford, and John Hollinger all say he would.

OK. He’s a rookie. But his rebounds in HS and College come from ‘Rodman Offense’, aka throw it at the rim and then go get your miss and put it back in.

Surround him with athletic defenders that jump to get boards and he corrals very few of other player misses and even fewer of his own misses.

He’ll get closer to double doubles with more minutes. Not much can change his attitude other than himself.

by NBA Observer on Oct 30, 2008 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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