FanPost

Here comes more (opening night) stats

[From the Diaries. Lineups, Lineups, Lineups. -Matt]

The NBA statistical world keeps growing.  Having raw +/- in NBA.com boxscores helps.  But, a bigger help is Basketball Value taking their +/- numbers to the next step.  Not only are they tracking 5 man lineups, but also individual players +/- controlled for pace.  They are also calulating on/off rebound rate so we'll be able to see how different players effect the team's rebounding rate.  The one downside is that this will be cumlative stats so this will be the only one game snapshot.

But that one game is worth a look.  Here's some thoughts.  On a per possession basis, Thomas and Wallace stand out even more.  The reason for that?  Scroll all the way to the right and look at the on/off rebound rates.  When they were off the floor the defensive rebounding went crapping.  Still a good idea to play Nocioni at PF for all those critical minutes?  And when Wallace was off the floor the offensive rebounding dropped from 39.7% to 27.3%.  Was it just Gordon going off in the 3rd or did it help having Thomas  and Wallace rebounding for most of that run?

The overall ratings suggest Gordon, Wallace, Deng, and Thomas played at least decent, everyone else not so much.  And before you say that those positive numbers were all the 3rd quarter, the third quarter makes up less than a 1/3 of Gordon, Deng, and Wallace's floor time.  And Duhon was on the floor for 9 1/2 minutes of the 3rd, and it didn't stop him from having an awful +/-.

Alot of the game had to do with lineups.  And alot of it is old news.  The team played well offensively with the Wallace/Thomas pairing as I expected.  The only time Wallace and Thomas were negative was a -4 stretch at the begining of the 2nd quarter when they were playing with Thabo Sefolosha, Chris Duhon, and Kirk Hinrich.  I realize foul trouble somewhat forced this lineup, but still.  Deng at SG anyone?  Again the only time Wallace/Thomas were negative was when Thomas was the 2nd best offensive player on the floor. The 2nd quarter was also pretty much a product of playing combinations of Duhon, Hinrich, and Sefolosha together.  This is one of the reaons, Kirk can't be doing the foul trouble thing on a regular basis. It frells up the entire rotation.    

Once again sample size is so small it's all nearly meaningless.  But when people are focusing on single plays like Noc hitting a 3-pointer, focusing on 4-5 minutes segments seems rather sound, especially when it matches predictions made based on last season's statistics.

FanPosts are user-created posts from the BlogABull community, and are to be treated as the opinions and views of that particular user, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

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